(anonymous) 0x1491f3…84fd70
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$7.70K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.45K
Hit rate
57.9%
Resolved
2,497
Trades
14,443
lifetime
Volume
$341.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$21.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 10-29 17:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Other
62% 42% -$6,601
Politics
23% 42% -$800
Sports
8% 54% -$186
Tech
5% 55% -$2
Crypto
1% 63% +$80
Pop-Culture
1% 29% -$194
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 456 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,940 98¢ $2.9K -$2 10-19 19:48
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,904 97¢ $2.9K -$2 10-27 14:27
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +3,852 $539 64¢ $2.4K +$1,907 10-24 17:58
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +6,125 $1,102 32¢ $2.0K +$857 10-24 17:58
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,633 $1,565 95¢ $1.5K -$18 10-22 22:24
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +794 $755 93¢ $737 -$17 10-23 11:36
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +700 $599 75¢ $525 -$74 10-22 18:42
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +800 $496 64¢ $508 +$12 10-29 17:48
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +516 $496 98¢ $504 +$8 10-15 17:33
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No +500 $489 98¢ $491 +$2 09-28 08:23
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +507 $456 90¢ $458 +$2 10-22 13:56
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +458 $442 97¢ $443 +$0 10-25 22:58
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +418 $401 95¢ $398 -$3 10-16 17:30
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +588 $435 68¢ $397 -$38 10-22 09:55
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +400 $388 96¢ $385 -$3 10-22 01:47
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? No +400 $384 96¢ $384 $0 10-27 02:01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +600 $342 64¢ $381 +$39 09-30 08:30
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +480 $374 70¢ $338 -$36 10-02 17:58
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? No +351 $339 96¢ $338 -$1 10-15 20:01
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +400 $324 84¢ $334 +$10 10-26 21:00
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +500 $332 66¢ $332 +$0 10-29 17:48
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +447 $338 68¢ $302 -$36 10-22 09:55
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +300 $252 92¢ $278 +$26 10-25 21:36
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,487 $384 18¢ $260 -$124 10-22 23:40
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No +267 $259 97¢ $259 +$0 10-23 14:34
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes — +300 $255 84¢ $250 -$4 10-29 15:20
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +600 $270 40¢ $243 -$27 10-21 14:40
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +400 $260 60¢ $242 -$18 10-22 05:39
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +250 $237 95¢ $238 +$1 10-28 13:26
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +508 $235 44¢ $221 -$14 10-28 06:05