(anonymous) 0x1491f3…84fd70
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$7.77K
Unrealized P&L
-$83
Hit rate
57.8%
Resolved
2,471
Trades
14,235
lifetime
Volume
$333.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$18.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 10-29 09:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Other
62% 42% -$6,679
Politics
23% 42% -$794
Sports
8% 54% -$186
Tech
5% 55% -$2
Crypto
1% 63% +$80
Pop-Culture
1% 29% -$194
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 456 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,940 98¢ $2.9K -$2 10-19 19:48
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,904 97¢ $2.9K -$2 10-27 14:27
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,633 $1,565 96¢ $1.6K +$1 10-22 22:24
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +6,125 $1,102 20¢ $1.2K +$92 10-24 17:58
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +794 $755 93¢ $737 -$18 10-23 11:36
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +3,852 $539 16¢ $636 +$96 10-24 17:58
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +700 $599 74¢ $514 -$84 10-22 18:42
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +516 $496 98¢ $504 +$8 10-15 17:33
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +507 $456 97¢ $492 +$36 10-22 13:56
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No +500 $489 98¢ $491 +$2 09-28 08:23
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +458 $442 97¢ $442 +$0 10-25 22:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +600 $342 69¢ $414 +$72 09-30 08:30
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +418 $401 95¢ $398 -$3 10-16 17:30
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +588 $435 68¢ $397 -$38 10-22 09:55
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +400 $388 96¢ $384 -$3 10-22 01:47
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? No +400 $384 96¢ $384 $0 10-27 02:01
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +480 $374 72¢ $343 -$31 10-02 17:58
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? No +351 $339 96¢ $336 -$3 10-15 20:01
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +400 $324 84¢ $334 +$10 10-26 21:00
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +447 $338 68¢ $302 -$36 10-22 09:55
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +300 $252 98¢ $294 +$42 10-25 21:36
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,487 $384 18¢ $260 -$124 10-22 23:40
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No +267 $259 97¢ $259 +$0 10-23 14:34
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +250 $237 94¢ $235 -$2 10-28 13:26
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +508 $235 46¢ $234 -$1 10-28 06:05
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +400 $260 58¢ $232 -$28 10-22 05:39
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +600 $270 36¢ $219 -$51 10-21 14:40
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No +301 $244 70¢ $211 -$33 10-20 21:26
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +184 $176 97¢ $178 +$1 09-27 19:06
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +200 $154 84¢ $169 +$15 07-17 20:16