(anonymous) 0x1491f3…84fd70
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$5.19K
Unrealized P&L
+$97
Hit rate
55.0%
Resolved (90d)
1,926
Trades (90d)
12,812
15,184 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$317.6K
$367.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$21.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 10-31 14:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 102 days
Categories
Other
61% 43% -$7,156
Politics
23% 42% -$752
Sports
8% 54% -$186
Tech
5% 55% -$2
Crypto
2% 60% +$22
Pop-Culture
1% 29% -$194
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 461 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +3,064 $2,957 97¢ $3.0K +$29 10-30 04:24
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,940 98¢ $2.9K -$2 10-19 19:48
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,904 96¢ $2.9K -$17 10-27 14:27
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,633 $1,565 94¢ $1.5K -$25 10-22 22:24
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +6,125 $1,102 22¢ $1.3K +$245 10-24 17:58
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +794 $755 94¢ $744 -$10 10-23 11:36
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +3,852 $539 19¢ $732 +$193 10-24 17:58
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +800 $496 68¢ $540 +$44 10-29 17:48
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +516 $496 98¢ $506 +$11 10-15 17:33
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +700 $599 68¢ $473 -$126 10-22 18:42
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +507 $456 92¢ $465 +$9 10-22 13:56
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +458 $442 96¢ $441 -$2 10-25 22:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +600 $342 72¢ $432 +$90 09-30 08:30
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +418 $401 95¢ $398 -$3 10-16 17:30
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? No +400 $384 97¢ $386 +$2 10-27 02:01
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +400 $388 96¢ $384 -$3 10-22 01:47
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +588 $435 62¢ $368 -$68 10-22 09:55
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? No +351 $339 97¢ $339 +$1 10-15 20:01
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +500 $332 66¢ $332 +$0 10-29 17:48
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No +332 $323 98¢ $327 +$4 10-30 15:59
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +400 $328 78¢ $310 -$18 10-31 04:07
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +480 $374 64¢ $310 -$65 10-02 17:58
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +300 $252 98¢ $294 +$42 10-25 21:36
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +447 $338 64¢ $284 -$54 10-22 09:55
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,487 $384 19¢ $283 -$101 10-22 23:40
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No +267 $259 97¢ $260 +$1 10-23 14:34
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +400 $276 64¢ $258 -$18 10-29 17:47
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +300 $255 84¢ $250 -$4 10-29 15:20
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +600 $270 40¢ $237 -$33 10-21 14:40
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +400 $260 59¢ $236 -$24 10-22 05:39