Realized P&L (30d)
-$1.88K
Unrealized P&L
+$209
Hit rate
58.8%
Resolved (30d)
936
Trades (30d)
9,785
15,008 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$274.7K
$362.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$21.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 10-30 20:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
61% 42% -$7,226
Politics
23% 41% -$751
Sports
8% 54% -$186
Tech
5% 55% -$2
Crypto
2% 60% +$22
Pop-Culture
1% 29% -$194
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 461 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +3,064 $2,957 97¢ $3.0K +$20 10-30 04:24
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,940 98¢ $2.9K -$2 10-19 19:48
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +3,000 $2,904 96¢ $2.9K -$18 10-27 14:27
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,633 $1,565 94¢ $1.5K -$26 10-22 22:24
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +6,125 $1,102 22¢ $1.3K +$214 10-24 17:58
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +794 $755 95¢ $755 +$0 10-23 11:36
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +3,852 $539 19¢ $732 +$193 10-24 17:58
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +516 $496 98¢ $506 +$10 10-15 17:33
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +800 $496 62¢ $500 +$4 10-29 17:48
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +507 $456 95¢ $481 +$25 10-22 13:56
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No +458 $442 96¢ $441 -$2 10-25 22:58
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +700 $599 62¢ $430 -$168 10-22 18:42
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +418 $401 95¢ $398 -$3 10-16 17:30
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +588 $435 67¢ $394 -$41 10-22 09:55
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? No +400 $384 96¢ $385 +$1 10-27 02:01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +600 $342 64¢ $384 +$42 09-30 08:30
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +400 $388 96¢ $383 -$4 10-22 01:47
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? No +351 $339 97¢ $340 +$1 10-15 20:01
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +500 $332 66¢ $332 +$0 10-29 17:48
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No +332 $323 98¢ $326 +$4 10-30 15:59
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +480 $374 68¢ $324 -$50 10-02 17:58
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +447 $338 66¢ $297 -$41 10-22 09:55
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +300 $252 98¢ $294 +$42 10-25 21:36
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,487 $384 19¢ $283 -$101 10-22 23:40
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No +267 $259 97¢ $260 +$1 10-23 14:34
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +300 $255 86¢ $260 +$4 10-29 15:20
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +400 $276 64¢ $258 -$18 10-29 17:47
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +600 $270 40¢ $237 -$33 10-21 14:40
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +600 $54 39¢ $234 +$180 10-21 12:57
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +400 $260 58¢ $234 -$26 10-22 05:39