Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
open
Total volume
$5,658
$125 in 24h
Trades
269
Unique wallets
76
Liquidity
$2,895
Latest YES mid
42¢
Latest NO mid
57¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-02 08:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $97 | $35 | +$62 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $403 | $411 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 19 | $366 | $310 | +$56 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $82 | $447 | $365 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $30 | $158 | $128 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $16 | $75 | $60 |
| Median | 4 | $42 | $39 | +$3 |
| Below median | 11 | $21 | $107 | $86 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | — | $112 | $112 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $374 | $52 | +$322 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $397 | $35 | +$362 |
| unranked | 26 | $68 | $623 | $555 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | +260 | $121 | $206 | 20 | 07-02 07:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d6c…3407 | No | +178 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-10 18:06 |
| High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | Yes | +154 | $36 | $369 | 9 | 06-19 20:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xec1e…9153 | No | +126 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 06-05 09:51 |
| Unique-Liquidity 0xe0d9…8483 | No | +114 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-02 07:10 |
| Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 06-19 18:55 |
| Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | +81 | $61 | $139 | 2 | 06-12 21:21 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +80 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 06-10 18:06 |
| Aged-Scenery 0x2814…5596 | No | +80 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 06-03 04:08 |
| Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | Yes | +62 | $25 | $44 | 9 | 06-19 20:18 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +50 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 07-02 07:10 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +50 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-11 01:45 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +50 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-18 22:21 |
| Second-Hand-Ceramic 0xbd53…8dd1 | No | +45 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 06-08 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +45 | $22 | $22 | 5 | 06-25 14:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0013…4e39 | Yes | +42 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-02 08:40 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +40 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-09 07:14 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +28 | $15 | $36 | 4 | 06-16 00:36 |
| Dependent-Millimeter 0x9b22…3a92 | Yes | +28 | $9 | $73 | 7 | 06-19 20:17 |
| Acidic-Angora 0x7253…9190 | Yes | +25 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-01 11:46 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $13 | $38 | 5 | 07-02 07:10 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-16 13:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xbeb9…ad83 | No | +17 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-11 07:51 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +12 | $5 | $88 | 9 | 06-12 21:21 |
| Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | +8 | $4 | $44 | 2 | 07-02 08:40 |
| Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-19 20:35 |
| Scratchy-Octavo 0xf12f…7a8c | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 19:46 |
| Haunting-Exhusband 0xaaf2…ca27 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 05:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x2130…ffb2 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-19 20:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $6 | 2 | 06-08 20:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 08:40:56 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 48¢ | $20 | 0xb46e24… |
| 07-02 08:40:56 | (anonymous) 0x0013…4e39 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 48¢ | $20 | 0xb46e24… |
| 07-02 07:10:52 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 30 | 49¢ | $15 | 0xcafe85… |
| 07-02 07:10:52 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 48¢ | $24 | 0xcafe85… |
| 07-02 07:10:52 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xcafe85… |
| 07-02 07:10:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 23 | 51¢ | $12 | 0xcafe85… |
| 07-02 07:10:52 | Unique-Liquidity 0xe0d9…8483 | No | BUY | 114 | 52¢ | $60 | 0xcafe85… |
| 06-30 05:35:05 | Haunting-Exhusband 0xaaf2…ca27 | No | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x0bae88… |
| 06-30 05:35:05 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x0bae88… |
| 06-29 12:20:52 | Demanding-Stake 0x703d…80f6 | No | SELL | 31 | 52¢ | $16 | 0xadeadf… |
| 06-29 12:20:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xadeadf… |
| 06-29 12:20:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 48¢ | $13 | 0xadeadf… |
| 06-25 14:51:43 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 15 | 47¢ | $7 | 0xd32cbc… |
| 06-25 14:51:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 47¢ | $14 | 0xd32cbc… |
| 06-25 14:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 47¢ | $7 | 0xd32cbc… |
| 06-24 17:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x1de8…c148 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0xb18c65… |
| 06-24 17:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 47¢ | $0 | 0xb18c65… |
| 06-24 16:51:47 | (anonymous) 0x1de8…c148 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x39553a… |
| 06-24 16:51:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x39553a… |
| 06-22 20:08:14 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xb6e944… |
| 06-22 20:08:14 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | SELL | 50 | 50¢ | $25 | 0xb6e944… |
| 06-22 20:08:14 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | SELL | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0xb6e944… |
| 06-21 19:46:35 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x8a6084… |
| 06-21 19:46:35 | Scratchy-Octavo 0xf12f…7a8c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x8a6084… |
| 06-20 02:46:32 | Hungry-Flan 0xb25f…4724 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x5326bd… |
| 06-20 02:46:32 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x5326bd… |
| 06-19 20:52:13 | Tiny-Drug 0xaf75…9cd0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x8541db… |
| 06-19 20:52:13 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x8541db… |
| 06-19 20:47:28 | Dependent-Narrative 0x33fe…d8d0 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x34c4e9… |
| 06-19 20:47:28 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x34c4e9… |
| 06-19 20:40:29 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x598912… |
| 06-19 20:40:29 | Tiny-Drug 0xaf75…9cd0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x598912… |
| 06-19 20:38:10 | Hungry-Flan 0xb25f…4724 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x0ed591… |
| 06-19 20:38:10 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x0ed591… |
| 06-19 20:35:46 | Dependent-Narrative 0x33fe…d8d0 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x8d1ac3… |
| 06-19 20:35:46 | Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x8d1ac3… |
| 06-19 20:18:07 | Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x4fbef7… |
| 06-19 20:18:07 | Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x4fbef7… |
| 06-19 20:18:07 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x4fbef7… |
| 06-19 20:17:52 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xda3147… |
| 06-19 20:17:52 | (anonymous) 0x4af2…3e4e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xda3147… |
| 06-19 20:17:50 | High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | Yes | SELL | 45 | 49¢ | $22 | 0xc662e1… |
| 06-19 20:17:50 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 49¢ | $0 | 0x2aedaf… |
| 06-19 20:17:50 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 45 | 49¢ | $22 | 0xc662e1… |
| 06-19 20:17:50 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x351082… |
| 06-19 20:17:50 | Dependent-Millimeter 0x9b22…3a92 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x351082… |
| 06-19 20:17:50 | (anonymous) 0x2130…ffb2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 49¢ | $0 | 0x2aedaf… |
| 06-19 19:55:59 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x186349… |
| 06-19 19:55:59 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x186349… |
| 06-19 18:55:58 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 58 | 50¢ | $29 | 0xee986f… |
| 06-19 18:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0xee986f… |
| 06-19 18:55:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xee986f… |
| 06-19 18:55:58 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | No | BUY | 27 | 50¢ | $13 | 0xee986f… |
| 06-19 12:20:38 | Salty-Talk 0xbe49…d9f8 | No | SELL | 13 | 50¢ | $6 | 0x722845… |
| 06-19 12:20:38 | Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | No | BUY | 13 | 50¢ | $6 | 0x722845… |
| 06-19 10:45:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x469973… |
| 06-19 10:45:43 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | No | SELL | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x469973… |
| 06-18 22:44:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x2b1d7b… |
| 06-18 22:44:55 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 15 | 52¢ | $8 | 0x2b1d7b… |
| 06-18 22:44:55 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 48¢ | $6 | 0x2b1d7b… |
| 06-18 22:23:13 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 93 | 48¢ | $44 | 0x3f8a38… |
| 06-18 22:23:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 48¢ | $44 | 0x3f8a38… |
| 06-18 22:21:56 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 47¢ | $3 | 0xf27043… |
| 06-18 22:21:56 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 57 | 47¢ | $27 | 0xf27043… |
| 06-18 22:21:56 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 50 | 53¢ | $26 | 0xf27043… |
| 06-18 17:45:46 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 45¢ | $18 | 0xc2220e… |
| 06-18 17:45:46 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 15 | 54¢ | $8 | 0xc2220e… |
| 06-18 17:45:46 | Embellished-Scratch-Board 0x23cb…0357 | No | SELL | 54 | 55¢ | $29 | 0xc2220e… |
| 06-17 12:25:53 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x8b4b87… |
| 06-17 12:25:53 | Tiny-Drug 0xaf75…9cd0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x8b4b87… |
| 06-17 12:13:41 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 55¢ | $11 | 0xd0d6ed… |
| 06-17 12:13:41 | Dependent-Millimeter 0x9b22…3a92 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0xd0d6ed… |
| 06-16 13:24:49 | (anonymous) 0xda6a…02b7 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 43¢ | $7 | 0xba7bb0… |
| 06-16 13:24:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 43¢ | $0 | 0xba7bb0… |
| 06-16 13:24:49 | Hungry-Flan 0xb25f…4724 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xba7bb0… |
| 06-16 13:24:49 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | No | SELL | 10 | 57¢ | $6 | 0xba7bb0… |
| 06-16 00:36:09 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | SELL | 37 | 45¢ | $17 | 0x2143e9… |
| 06-16 00:36:09 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x2143e9… |
| 06-16 00:36:09 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 45¢ | $8 | 0x2143e9… |
| 06-13 11:14:28 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x97cb92… |
| 06-13 11:14:28 | Demanding-Stake 0x703d…80f6 | No | SELL | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x97cb92… |
| 06-12 21:21:55 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x45a9fd… |
| 06-12 21:21:55 | (anonymous) 0xda6a…02b7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $4 | 0x45a9fd… |
| 06-12 21:21:52 | High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | Yes | BUY | 99 | 36¢ | $36 | 0x493ea9… |
| 06-12 21:21:52 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x493ea9… |
| 06-12 21:21:52 | Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | BUY | 160 | 62¢ | $100 | 0x493ea9… |
| 06-12 21:21:52 | Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x493ea9… |
| 06-12 21:21:52 | Suspicious-Woodland 0x370c…3eb1 | No | SELL | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x493ea9… |
| 06-12 21:21:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x7e34c5… |
| 06-12 21:21:52 | (anonymous) 0x2130…ffb2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x7e34c5… |
| 06-12 21:21:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 6 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x493ea9… |
| 06-12 21:21:52 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | SELL | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x493ea9… |
| 06-11 07:51:10 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 6 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x85385d… |
| 06-11 07:51:10 | (anonymous) 0xda6a…02b7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x85385d… |
| 06-11 07:51:09 | (anonymous) 0xbeb9…ad83 | No | BUY | 17 | 59¢ | $10 | 0xf970fb… |
| 06-11 07:51:09 | Dependent-Narrative 0x33fe…d8d0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xf970fb… |
| 06-11 07:51:09 | High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xf970fb… |
| 06-11 01:51:58 | Tiny-Drug 0xaf75…9cd0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x9098ab… |
| 06-11 01:51:58 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x9098ab… |
| 06-11 01:49:13 | Hungry-Flan 0xb25f…4724 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x7c6306… |