Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
open
Total volume
$6,935
$125 in 24h
Trades
343
Unique wallets
94
Liquidity
$2,895
Latest YES mid
38¢
Latest NO mid
62¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-19 22:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+50.5¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $90
vs crowd: 49% YES on $2.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $193 | $60 | +$132 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $569 | $490 | +$79 |
| 🐟 Fish | 24 | $547 | $371 | +$176 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 40 | $91 | $508 | $417 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $90 | — | +$90 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $83 | $218 | $135 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $19 | $112 | $93 |
| Median | 5 | $58 | $62 | $4 |
| Below median | 15 | $178 | $142 | +$36 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | — | $157 | $157 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $404 | $52 | +$352 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $489 | $44 | +$445 |
| unranked | 32 | $79 | $642 | $563 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Near-Season 0xb003…97e1 | Yes | +207 | $95 | $170 | 8 | 07-11 04:37 |
| Light-Front 0xb26c…0eb0 | Yes | +200 | $90 | $90 | 3 | 07-19 13:39 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +200 | $90 | $233 | 11 | 07-10 21:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d6c…3407 | No | +178 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-10 18:06 |
| Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | +174 | $83 | $304 | 30 | 07-19 22:54 |
| High-Alarm 0x9238…b73e | Yes | +154 | $36 | $369 | 9 | 06-19 20:17 |
| Unique-Liquidity 0xe0d9…8483 | No | +129 | $68 | $140 | 3 | 07-09 14:30 |
| Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | +129 | $53 | $53 | 2 | 07-19 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xec1e…9153 | No | +126 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 06-05 09:51 |
| Offbeat-Tshirt 0x4b51…da79 | No | +100 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 06-19 18:55 |
| Plaintive-Retreat 0x3f6f…e536 | No | +95 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-04 15:52 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +84 | $40 | $40 | 4 | 07-05 21:59 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +84 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 07-05 18:22 |
| Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | No | +81 | $61 | $139 | 2 | 06-12 21:21 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +80 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 06-10 18:06 |
| Aged-Scenery 0x2814…5596 | No | +80 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 06-03 04:08 |
| Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109…450b | Yes | +62 | $25 | $44 | 9 | 06-19 20:18 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +50 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-11 01:45 |
| Second-Hand-Ceramic 0xbd53…8dd1 | No | +45 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 06-08 08:34 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +40 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-09 07:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +40 | $20 | $24 | 6 | 07-12 08:30 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +28 | $15 | $36 | 4 | 06-16 00:36 |
| Dependent-Millimeter 0x9b22…3a92 | Yes | +28 | $9 | $73 | 7 | 06-19 20:17 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $13 | $38 | 5 | 07-02 07:10 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-16 13:24 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +18 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-10 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xbeb9…ad83 | No | +17 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-11 07:51 |
| Acidic-Angora 0x7253…9190 | Yes | +15 | $9 | $18 | 2 | 07-08 15:09 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +12 | $5 | $88 | 9 | 06-12 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x50de…9798 | Yes | +8 | $4 | $8 | 3 | 07-10 21:02 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-17 19:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3dd…975f | No | +5 | $3 | $12 | 4 | 07-17 00:15 |
| Bare-Patch-Airbag 0xc9af…91e5 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-19 20:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-06 06:28 |
| Scratchy-Octavo 0xf12f…7a8c | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-05 14:57 |
| Haunting-Exhusband 0xaaf2…ca27 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 05:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x2130…ffb2 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-19 20:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $6 | 2 | 06-08 20:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 22:54:46 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x56df5b… |
| 07-19 22:54:46 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x56df5b… |
| 07-19 13:39:16 | Attentive-Algebra 0x8e4f…4594 | Yes | SELL | 218 | 41¢ | $91 | 0x9e45cc… |
| 07-19 13:39:16 | Experienced-Goodie 0xc93c…52f1 | Yes | BUY | 118 | 41¢ | $49 | 0x9e45cc… |
| 07-19 13:39:16 | Light-Front 0xb26c…0eb0 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 42¢ | $40 | 0x9e45cc… |
| 07-19 13:39:16 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x9e45cc… |
| 07-18 06:14:04 | (anonymous) 0xf6a1…e373 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xdc76d6… |
| 07-18 06:14:04 | Light-Front 0xb26c…0eb0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xdc76d6… |
| 07-17 19:57:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 43¢ | $3 | 0x593370… |
| 07-17 19:57:37 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 43¢ | $3 | 0x593370… |
| 07-17 00:15:44 | (anonymous) 0xa3dd…975f | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x5d7d5f… |
| 07-17 00:15:44 | (anonymous) 0xf6a1…e373 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x5d7d5f… |
| 07-13 16:13:23 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | SELL | 40 | 43¢ | $17 | 0x748fa3… |
| 07-13 16:13:23 | Shy-Calcification 0x1431…a949 | No | SELL | 40 | 57¢ | $23 | 0x748fa3… |
| 07-12 08:30:52 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xce7739… |
| 07-12 08:30:52 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xce7739… |
| 07-11 04:37:14 | Near-Season 0xb003…97e1 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 45¢ | $18 | 0xf0688b… |
| 07-11 04:37:14 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 45¢ | $23 | 0xf0688b… |
| 07-11 04:37:14 | (anonymous) 0xa3dd…975f | No | SELL | 9 | 54¢ | $5 | 0xf0688b… |
| 07-11 02:54:11 | (anonymous) 0xa3dd…975f | No | BUY | 7 | 54¢ | $4 | 0xebaa1d… |
| 07-11 02:54:11 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | SELL | 28 | 46¢ | $13 | 0xebaa1d… |
| 07-11 02:54:11 | Near-Season 0xb003…97e1 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 46¢ | $16 | 0xebaa1d… |
| 07-11 02:53:08 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x62042c… |
| 07-11 02:53:08 | Near-Season 0xb003…97e1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x62042c… |
| 07-11 02:52:26 | Near-Season 0xb003…97e1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xcabbba… |
| 07-11 02:52:26 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xcabbba… |
| 07-10 21:02:35 | Attentive-Algebra 0x8e4f…4594 | Yes | SELL | 342 | 46¢ | $158 | 0x618280… |
| 07-10 21:02:35 | Near-Season 0xb003…97e1 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 47¢ | $38 | 0x618280… |
| 07-10 21:02:35 | (anonymous) 0x50de…9798 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x618280… |
| 07-10 21:02:35 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x618280… |
| 07-10 21:02:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 46¢ | $92 | 0x618280… |
| 07-10 21:02:35 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 46¢ | $23 | 0x618280… |
| 07-10 14:33:16 | Shy-Calcification 0x1431…a949 | No | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xe7b4dd… |
| 07-10 14:33:16 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 18 | 51¢ | $9 | 0xe7b4dd… |
| 07-10 14:33:16 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 22 | 51¢ | $11 | 0xe7b4dd… |
| 07-10 14:33:13 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 22 | 52¢ | $11 | 0xf045a6… |
| 07-10 14:33:13 | Near-Season 0xb003…97e1 | Yes | SELL | 78 | 48¢ | $38 | 0xf045a6… |
| 07-10 14:33:13 | Light-Front 0xb26c…0eb0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 48¢ | $48 | 0xf045a6… |
| 07-09 23:31:14 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | SELL | 40 | 47¢ | $19 | 0xa06206… |
| 07-09 23:31:14 | Near-Season 0xb003…97e1 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 47¢ | $19 | 0xa06206… |
| 07-09 14:30:20 | Unique-Liquidity 0xe0d9…8483 | No | BUY | 83 | 53¢ | $44 | 0x7f3281… |
| 07-09 14:30:20 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x7f3281… |
| 07-09 14:30:20 | Near-Season 0xb003…97e1 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 47¢ | $37 | 0x7f3281… |
| 07-08 15:09:44 | Shy-Calcification 0x1431…a949 | No | BUY | 36 | 51¢ | $18 | 0x6f13fd… |
| 07-08 15:09:44 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 36 | 51¢ | $18 | 0x6f13fd… |
| 07-08 15:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0x5309d1… |
| 07-08 15:09:43 | Acidic-Angora 0x7253…9190 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x5309d1… |
| 07-08 15:09:40 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x1287b7… |
| 07-08 15:09:40 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 51 | 48¢ | $24 | 0x1287b7… |
| 07-08 15:09:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 46 | 52¢ | $24 | 0x1287b7… |
| 07-08 15:06:37 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x1ae88a… |
| 07-08 15:06:37 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x1ae88a… |
| 07-07 20:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x4cba1e… |
| 07-07 20:43:49 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x4cba1e… |
| 07-06 06:28:58 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x5384d4… |
| 07-06 06:28:58 | (anonymous) 0xe63a…0679 | No | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x5384d4… |
| 07-06 02:26:34 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | SELL | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0x70c43d… |
| 07-06 02:26:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 25 | 54¢ | $14 | 0x70c43d… |
| 07-05 23:47:34 | (anonymous) 0x50de…9798 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x03c042… |
| 07-05 23:47:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x03c042… |
| 07-05 21:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x50de…9798 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 46¢ | $4 | 0xcad7a4… |
| 07-05 21:59:07 | (anonymous) 0x0013…4e39 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 46¢ | $4 | 0xcad7a4… |
| 07-05 21:59:04 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 34 | 47¢ | $16 | 0x9638d6… |
| 07-05 21:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x0013…4e39 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 47¢ | $16 | 0x9638d6… |
| 07-05 18:22:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 53¢ | $16 | 0x721a8f… |
| 07-05 18:22:08 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 34 | 52¢ | $17 | 0x721a8f… |
| 07-05 18:22:08 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x721a8f… |
| 07-05 18:22:08 | Unique-Liquidity 0xe0d9…8483 | No | SELL | 69 | 53¢ | $36 | 0x721a8f… |
| 07-05 14:57:07 | (anonymous) 0xa3dd…975f | No | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x0eabdc… |
| 07-05 14:57:07 | Scratchy-Octavo 0xf12f…7a8c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x0eabdc… |
| 07-04 15:52:40 | Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | SELL | 95 | 63¢ | $60 | 0x75a804… |
| 07-04 15:52:40 | Plaintive-Retreat 0x3f6f…e536 | No | BUY | 95 | 63¢ | $60 | 0x75a804… |
| 07-03 04:53:13 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x31886f… |
| 07-03 04:53:13 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x31886f… |
| 07-02 08:40:56 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 48¢ | $20 | 0xb46e24… |
| 07-02 08:40:56 | (anonymous) 0x0013…4e39 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 48¢ | $20 | 0xb46e24… |
| 07-02 07:10:52 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 30 | 49¢ | $15 | 0xcafe85… |
| 07-02 07:10:52 | Unique-Liquidity 0xe0d9…8483 | No | BUY | 114 | 52¢ | $60 | 0xcafe85… |
| 07-02 07:10:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 23 | 51¢ | $12 | 0xcafe85… |
| 07-02 07:10:52 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 48¢ | $24 | 0xcafe85… |
| 07-02 07:10:52 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xcafe85… |
| 06-30 05:35:05 | Haunting-Exhusband 0xaaf2…ca27 | No | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x0bae88… |
| 06-30 05:35:05 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x0bae88… |
| 06-29 12:20:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xadeadf… |
| 06-29 12:20:52 | Demanding-Stake 0x703d…80f6 | No | SELL | 31 | 52¢ | $16 | 0xadeadf… |
| 06-29 12:20:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 48¢ | $13 | 0xadeadf… |
| 06-25 14:51:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 47¢ | $14 | 0xd32cbc… |
| 06-25 14:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 47¢ | $7 | 0xd32cbc… |
| 06-25 14:51:43 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 15 | 47¢ | $7 | 0xd32cbc… |
| 06-24 17:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x1de8…c148 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0xb18c65… |
| 06-24 17:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 47¢ | $0 | 0xb18c65… |
| 06-24 16:51:47 | (anonymous) 0x1de8…c148 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x39553a… |
| 06-24 16:51:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x39553a… |
| 06-22 20:08:14 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | SELL | 50 | 50¢ | $25 | 0xb6e944… |
| 06-22 20:08:14 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | SELL | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0xb6e944… |
| 06-22 20:08:14 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xb6e944… |
| 06-21 19:46:35 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x8a6084… |
| 06-21 19:46:35 | Scratchy-Octavo 0xf12f…7a8c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x8a6084… |
| 06-20 02:46:32 | Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x5326bd… |
| 06-20 02:46:32 | Hungry-Flan 0xb25f…4724 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x5326bd… |