Realized P&L
+$1.39K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.76K
Hit rate
68.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
3,386
lifetime
Volume
$357.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$105
Open exposure
$39.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 17:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
77% 50% $-149
Politics
22% 50% +$1,541
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? No -12,709 $-12,605 100¢ $-12684 $-78 06-23 20:27
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No -4,878 $-4,888 100¢ $-4873 +$15 06-30 23:16
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +2,956 $2,228 100¢ $2.9K +$714 06-27 00:36
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +5,941 $1,782 36¢ $2.2K +$386 06-30 16:29
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,962 $2,127 72¢ $2.1K +$6 06-27 12:21
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? No +1,970 $1,792 99¢ $2.0K +$167 06-22 10:36
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +1,950 $1,878 99¢ $1.9K +$61 06-17 03:54
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +3,245 $1,843 50¢ $1.6K $-237 06-29 16:24
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? No +1,240 $1,174 100¢ $1.2K +$63 06-17 10:27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No -1,207 $-1,187 100¢ $-1206 $-19 06-03 14:11
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No -728 $-822 100¢ $-728 +$94 06-26 05:32
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +800 $630 80¢ $636 +$6 06-30 09:11
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? No -576 $-570 100¢ $-575 $-5 06-08 06:02
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No -544 $-734 99¢ $-538 +$196 06-27 00:29
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +694 $530 73¢ $506 $-24 06-30 17:11
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +400 $357 94¢ $375 +$18 06-18 07:57
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -395 $-355 87¢ $-345 +$9 06-28 14:51
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +400 $330 82¢ $328 $-2 06-30 07:19
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +381 $146 86¢ $325 +$179 06-27 06:13
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -300 $-297 100¢ $-300 $-3 06-11 06:11
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No -269 $-426 99¢ $-267 +$159 06-27 00:46
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +391 $255 66¢ $260 +$5 06-30 22:11
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +278 $229 92¢ $254 +$25 06-19 14:31
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +600 $328 40¢ $243 $-85 06-30 14:51
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +300 $243 80¢ $242 $-2 06-24 10:11
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No +220 $208 94¢ $207 $-1 06-23 07:17
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? No -200 $-198 100¢ $-200 $-2 06-11 06:11
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? No -200 $-198 100¢ $-199 $-1 06-14 10:10
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? No +200 $190 100¢ $199 +$9 06-16 03:08
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +200 $80 92¢ $185 +$105 06-30 23:11