Realized P&L
+$1.39K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.77K
Hit rate
68.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
3,823
lifetime
Volume
$420.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$110
Open exposure
$20.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 18:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
79% 50% $-149
Politics
20% 50% +$1,541
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +6,654 $5,733 86¢ $5.8K +$23 07-20 22:21
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +3,692 $2,579 75¢ $2.8K +$190 07-20 13:01
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +4,141 $1,035 46¢ $1.9K +$890 07-20 22:31
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +1,967 $1,569 82¢ $1.6K +$44 07-20 01:27
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +1,548 $1,251 88¢ $1.4K +$119 07-07 14:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,000 $884 90¢ $895 +$11 07-19 21:49
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,550 $802 56¢ $860 +$58 07-21 18:46
Trump out as President before 2027? No -600 $-552 92¢ $-555 $-3 07-11 05:36
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -580 $-522 93¢ $-540 $-18 07-02 10:39
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +700 $561 76¢ $536 $-26 07-14 06:42
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +400 $357 97¢ $389 +$32 06-18 07:57
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +400 $334 91¢ $364 +$30 07-11 18:30
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +411 $257 79¢ $324 +$67 07-21 19:20
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +400 $330 80¢ $322 $-8 06-30 07:19
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +374 $92 84¢ $314 +$222 07-19 22:09
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No +220 $208 93¢ $205 $-3 06-23 07:17
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -222 $-160 88¢ $-194 $-35 06-05 12:59
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +200 $80 91¢ $182 +$102 06-30 23:11
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +191 $105 83¢ $158 +$53 07-01 08:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +200 $146 78¢ $157 +$11 06-30 15:27
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? No +152 $135 90¢ $136 +$1 07-17 15:27
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +266 $149 43¢ $114 $-34 07-18 05:01
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-95 98¢ $-98 $-3 07-11 14:05
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +100 $84 94¢ $95 +$10 07-11 20:39
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -60 $-62 92¢ $-56 +$6 06-30 13:55
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +355 $51 12¢ $44 $-7 07-20 06:38
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +241 $49 17¢ $41 $-8 07-12 09:34
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $28 20¢ $39 +$11 06-24 16:46
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +40 $18 80¢ $32 +$14 06-22 21:29
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -26 $-39 92¢ $-24 +$16 07-01 11:54