Realized P&L
+$9.80K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.77K
Hit rate
78.0%
Resolved
402
Trades
5,945
lifetime
Volume
$666.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$112
Open exposure
$49.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 19:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 110 days
Categories
Other
82% 67% +$11,195
Politics
17% 60% -$1,500
Crypto
1% 67% +$132
Tech
0% 0% -$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +8,565 $5,846 73¢ $6.3K +$406 10-15 19:29
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +7,477 $5,946 78¢ $5.8K -$114 10-27 19:21
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +5,588 $4,677 94¢ $5.3K +$576 10-21 01:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +5,000 $4,580 90¢ $4.5K -$55 10-24 16:23
will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026 No +4,738 $3,077 91¢ $4.3K +$1,235 10-19 07:00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +3,400 $2,722 92¢ $3.1K +$423 07-23 20:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +2,800 $2,066 86¢ $2.4K +$356 09-10 22:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2,000 $1,780 88¢ $1.8K -$10 10-26 04:22
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +1,554 $1,207 92¢ $1.4K +$223 10-18 06:33
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +1,507 $1,085 92¢ $1.4K +$294 09-25 05:01
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1,300 $1,113 95¢ $1.2K +$124 10-20 12:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +1,300 $1,150 94¢ $1.2K +$72 10-26 04:23
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -1,117 -$3,410 96¢ $-1067 +$2,343 10-24 16:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +1,585 -$93 64¢ $1.0K +$1,104 09-27 08:06
will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026 No +1,070 $750 92¢ $990 +$239 08-11 01:43
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -959 -$884 98¢ $-941 -$57 09-13 09:41
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $580 74¢ $745 +$165 08-22 14:05
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +700 $543 90¢ $626 +$84 09-09 05:24
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +600 $495 100¢ $598 +$104 09-23 22:57
Trump out as President before 2027? No -600 -$552 96¢ $-575 -$23 07-11 05:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +2,000 $540 28¢ $550 +$10 10-27 01:37
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $500 68¢ $540 +$40 10-26 20:53
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +600 $495 86¢ $516 +$21 10-21 08:08
us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027 No +1,100 $286 40¢ $445 +$159 09-29 14:52
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -395 -$396 100¢ $-394 +$2 09-26 04:39
US recession by end of 2026? No -400 -$316 92¢ $-370 -$54 05-24 19:55
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +400 $350 89¢ $356 +$6 10-23 22:03
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -339 -$244 95¢ $-324 -$79 06-05 12:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 No +300 $237 100¢ $299 +$62 08-17 13:18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +293 $172 97¢ $285 +$113 08-31 13:19