Realized P&L
+$1.39K
Unrealized P&L
+$171
Hit rate
68.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
2,599
lifetime
Volume
$278.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$107
Open exposure
$15.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
72% 50% $-149
Politics
28% 50% +$1,541
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? No -2,844 $-2,815 98¢ $-2796 +$19 06-09 22:18
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +2,250 $2,174 98¢ $2.2K +$29 06-08 08:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No -1,207 $-1,187 99¢ $-1191 $-4 06-03 14:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +900 $864 97¢ $873 +$8 06-08 01:22
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +887 $789 90¢ $799 +$9 06-09 07:05
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No -728 $-723 99¢ $-719 +$4 06-07 23:56
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1,345 $652 50¢ $666 +$13 06-09 21:33
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +796 $592 78¢ $622 +$30 06-08 00:12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? No -576 $-570 99¢ $-571 $-1 06-08 06:02
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +837 $515 64¢ $531 +$16 06-09 07:50
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -566 $-505 88¢ $-497 +$8 06-09 20:14
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +730 $514 68¢ $496 $-17 06-06 11:09
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +535 $415 86¢ $457 +$42 06-09 17:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No -600 $-384 64¢ $-387 $-3 06-03 10:46
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +400 $312 75¢ $300 $-12 06-09 23:10
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +305 $298 98¢ $298 +$0 06-03 00:24
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +294 $232 78¢ $228 $-5 06-09 07:02
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 21 million barrels per day in May? No -223 $-226 98¢ $-219 +$6 06-08 07:59
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -222 $-160 84¢ $-185 $-25 06-05 12:59
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -196 $-182 94¢ $-183 $-1 06-08 10:43
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +230 $136 78¢ $178 +$42 06-09 02:39
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +200 $146 76¢ $153 +$7 06-07 22:29
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-104 64¢ $-127 $-23 05-30 19:12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +400 $132 31¢ $124 $-8 06-08 11:33
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +140 $85 65¢ $91 +$6 06-06 22:39
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 20 million barrels per day in May? No -71 $-75 99¢ $-70 +$5 06-05 15:22
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +65 $58 90¢ $59 +$1 05-29 19:24
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May? Yes +285 $22 16¢ $47 +$25 06-04 19:33
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +280 $47 16¢ $46 $-1 06-08 23:29
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +30 $27 91¢ $27 +$0 06-07 00:54