Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.48K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.23K
Hit rate
94.9%
Resolved (7d)
21
Trades (7d)
127
6,210 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$14.0K
$696.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$112
Open exposure
$66.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 07:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 116 days
Categories
Other
81% 68% +$12,683
Politics
18% 60% -$700
Crypto
1% 67% +$132
Tech
0% 0% -$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? No +8,937 $6,321 95¢ $8.5K +$2,169 11-04 06:11
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? No +8,648 $6,788 94¢ $8.1K +$1,342 11-09 14:56
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +5,921 $4,984 95¢ $5.6K +$627 11-06 13:57
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +6,706 $5,282 83¢ $5.6K +$284 11-08 23:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +5,000 $4,580 97¢ $4.8K +$258 10-24 16:23
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +4,738 $3,077 95¢ $4.5K +$1,424 10-19 07:00
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +4,428 $2,495 84¢ $3.7K +$1,203 11-06 16:27
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +3,700 $2,795 95¢ $3.5K +$720 11-01 21:56
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? Yes +2,514 $2,238 88¢ $2.2K -$13 11-07 03:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2,000 $1,780 92¢ $1.8K +$50 10-26 04:22
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +1,754 $1,381 93¢ $1.6K +$258 10-30 14:17
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1,642 $1,444 96¢ $1.6K +$124 11-10 05:59
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31 No +5,393 $2,959 26¢ $1.4K -$1,530 11-07 23:59
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +1,507 $1,085 94¢ $1.4K +$339 09-25 05:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,484 $1,188 92¢ $1.4K +$169 10-30 07:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +1,300 $1,150 97¢ $1.3K +$112 10-26 04:23
will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026 No +1,070 $750 95¢ $1.0K +$263 08-11 01:43
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? No +1,311 $541 77¢ $1.0K +$468 11-05 14:15
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $580 99¢ $987 +$407 08-22 14:05
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No -959 -$884 99¢ $-946 -$62 09-13 09:41
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? Yes +1,927 $634 41¢ $790 +$156 11-09 04:09
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +849 $531 92¢ $777 +$246 09-30 23:04
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? No +706 $684 100¢ $703 +$19 10-30 00:45
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +700 $543 94¢ $662 +$118 09-09 05:24
Trump out as President before 2027? No -600 -$552 98¢ $-587 -$35 07-11 05:36
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? No +625 $547 93¢ $581 +$34 11-02 05:36
will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026 No +523 $475 96¢ $500 +$25 10-30 09:44
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? No +564 $433 80¢ $448 +$15 11-05 11:55
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -395 -$396 99¢ $-393 +$3 09-26 04:39
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +400 $350 97¢ $388 +$38 10-23 22:03