Offbeat-Tshirt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.21K

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

87.3%

Resolved

919

Trades

4,004

lifetime

Volume

$81.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$602

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 19:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Sports

75% 93% -$362

Other

24% 59% -$849

Politics

1% 0% $0

Crypto

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	-300	-$282	96¢	$-286	-$4	10-17 07:23
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	No	+200	$113	90¢	$181	+$68	06-19 18:55
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$68	76¢	$75	+$7	05-28 19:29
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	+1,490	$131	3¢	$38	-$93	10-29 15:48
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?	No	+43	$19	38¢	$17	-$2	10-26 14:16
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$4	94¢	$5	+$1	05-27 22:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	372	$9.8K	23,635	22,568	+1,066	No	+$293	04-15 20:50
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	13	$2.3K	1,158	1,158	-0	No	+$1	10-26 18:43
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	99	$1.0K	6,673	4,128	+2,545	No	-$224	03-08 13:57
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	8	$846	300	600	-300	open	—	10-17 07:23
nba was bkn 2026 02 07	4	$792	400	400	+0	Nets	+$0	02-07 21:58
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	11	$740	700	100	+600	Yes	+$34	06-14 18:38
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	26	$555	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$15	02-27 11:17
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 int2	2	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$0	02-24 21:51
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	43	$489	2,488	2,500	-12	No	-$19	03-11 20:44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	47	$471	3,016	937	+2,079	Yes	-$201	08-18 18:06
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	9	$435	300	220	+80	open	—	10-25 18:37
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	95	$421	15,197	11,927	+3,270	No	-$150	04-08 20:33
nba uta phi 2026 03 04 points quentin grimes 16pt5	4	$380	400	0	+400	No	-$280	03-05 04:08
ucl ata1 bvb 2026 02 25 bvb	73	$378	3,600	3,413	+186	No	-$47	02-25 19:26
nba hou sas 2026 03 08 points kevin durant 25pt5	3	$372	187	187	-0	No	+$3	03-09 02:45
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?	12	$362	498	0	+498	No	+$136	07-01 03:19
nba mia cle 2026 03 27 points bam adebayo 20pt5	2	$360	181	181	+0	No	+$2	03-28 02:16
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	4	$360	200	200	+0	Yes	+$38	03-18 21:16
nba mia cha 2026 03 17 points miles bridges 15pt5	8	$353	178	178	+0	No	+$3	03-18 02:09
nba phi cle 2026 03 09 rebounds evan mobley 9pt5	5	$345	174	174	+0	No	+$2	03-10 01:53
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	10	$345	410	0	+410	Yes	+$65	06-15 03:47
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	56	$345	2,810	2,810	+0	No	+$25	06-12 21:01
nba mia cha 2026 03 17 points moussa diabate 8pt5	3	$343	173	173	-0	No	+$2	03-18 02:42
nba mia cle 2026 03 27 points james harden 21pt5	2	$340	171	171	+0	No	+$2	03-28 02:16
nba mia cle 2026 03 27 points norman powell 20pt5	2	$340	171	171	+0	No	+$2	03-28 02:16
nba phi cle 2026 03 09 points donovan mitchell 26pt5	3	$337	173	173	+0	No	+$8	03-10 01:52
nba was mia 2026 03 10 rebounds bam adebayo 10pt5	7	$336	169	169	-0	No	+$3	03-11 02:46
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	113	$330	7,152	7,152	+0	No	-$20	03-17 20:19
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	31	$327	4,300	2,810	+1,490	open	—	10-29 15:48
ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 mnc1	69	$325	8,000	5,638	+2,362	No	+$25	01-20 19:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 19:28:28	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	41	6¢	$2	0xd6b7d2…
10-29 16:51:29	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4ae4fd…
10-29 16:50:49	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0xdecae1…
10-29 16:30:44	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xd92c97…
10-29 15:48:43	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xb1283b…
10-28 21:30:28	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: FC Bayern München O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xb568f5…
10-28 21:19:38	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: FC Bayern München O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb029dc…
10-28 19:32:17	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x257a60…
10-28 19:31:16	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: Team to Advance	FC Bayern München	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf3c7f3…
10-28 17:01:11	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: FC Bayern München O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xbb9d75…
10-28 17:00:49	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: FC Bayern München O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x437494…
10-26 21:44:33	Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Kane	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x851ad4…
10-26 18:43:20	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xa7295d…
10-26 17:20:03	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x9f8c2a…
10-26 17:11:50	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x1a5cd8…
10-26 16:13:30	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd140c5…
10-26 16:13:30	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0xa3f131…
10-26 16:13:30	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	272	100¢	$272	0x8e5963…
10-26 16:13:30	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x667031…
10-26 15:39:57	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xfda54e…
10-26 15:34:35	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xb08443…
10-26 15:34:35	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x1c31a7…
10-26 14:26:57	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x482ddd…
10-26 14:26:20	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x0ec941…
10-26 14:16:39	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	43	43¢	$19	0x2f7c92…
10-26 11:11:02	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x6347cd…
10-25 18:37:08	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x6e2f7d…
10-25 15:16:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x7fe380…
10-19 09:33:20	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x3efa75…
10-18 11:12:06	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xe58e8f…
10-17 13:50:26	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xbada24…
10-17 07:23:03	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xee89b7…
10-15 17:45:32	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$11	0x7aeed3…
10-13 19:04:21	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x4b8599…
10-13 14:18:14	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$10	0x50b421…
10-13 14:17:08	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x4bd54a…
10-13 08:33:31	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	67	9¢	$6	0xa6f65d…
10-12 14:12:53	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x504fe2…
10-12 11:09:09	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe62f5c…
10-12 10:26:51	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0x18f82a…
10-12 06:53:41	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	3¢	$19	0x1cccf1…
10-11 18:31:01	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	3¢	$4	0xea7b2b…
10-11 15:35:42	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	3¢	$9	0x4ef93b…
10-11 14:28:28	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x0527b8…
10-11 10:51:00	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	96¢	$68	0xcb6b3d…
10-10 20:15:06	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	195	94¢	$183	0x9739be…
10-10 17:55:09	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x9203a2…
10-10 17:10:58	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	3¢	$3	0xa326ed…
10-10 16:45:33	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$10	0x04738d…
10-10 15:19:27	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0x4481c8…
10-10 11:49:10	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0x655236…
10-10 07:27:51	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0xffbbe9…
10-09 21:34:11	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$32	0xbe9d08…
10-09 20:56:11	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x04ad92…
10-09 05:49:30	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$14	0x22e120…
10-08 12:44:17	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x1306ae…
10-08 07:31:43	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	3¢	$20	0xe1ee4c…
10-07 09:48:08	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x209fed…
10-06 23:25:43	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xf3b30a…
10-06 21:41:38	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xe7c2f0…
10-06 17:15:42	Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0xe4ac18…
10-06 06:38:12	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x9da786…
10-05 15:48:46	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	3¢	$3	0x502d93…
10-05 15:45:52	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x90f605…
10-05 14:07:10	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xc3b99c…
10-05 05:55:25	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	320	95¢	$304	0x43b717…
10-01 01:29:15	Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x5df583…
09-30 14:41:09	Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa705df…
09-29 04:28:42	Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe1135b…
09-29 02:49:23	Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x584bc6…
09-28 17:38:26	Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xe0a023…
09-28 17:17:08	Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xde207f…
09-28 17:05:00	Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x66e785…
09-23 12:19:58	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x07cd32…
09-22 19:28:01	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	No	SELL	340	2¢	$6	0x51074b…
09-22 17:42:07	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	No	BUY	400	2¢	$9	0x609b27…
09-22 16:07:40	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	No	SELL	205	3¢	$5	0x5bcdf3…
09-22 16:07:28	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	No	SELL	205	3¢	$5	0x75bbda…
09-22 03:08:59	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0x79e040…
09-21 17:24:19	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	No	SELL	215	7¢	$15	0x963910…
09-21 17:24:19	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	No	SELL	215	7¢	$15	0x65350f…
09-21 17:22:09	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	No	SELL	113	7¢	$8	0x66e927…
09-21 13:44:56	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	No	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x4f8986…
09-21 09:25:42	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x3c405a…
09-21 09:22:45	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x019bef…
09-20 20:56:38	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4548e1…
09-17 19:39:46	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Manchester City FC	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x36ffd2…
09-17 19:10:01	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xbffbf4…
09-17 19:04:33	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x6a27a9…
09-17 19:03:37	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xbdc383…
09-17 19:03:18	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x9d47e6…
09-12 22:31:31	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	88¢	$70	0xa439bc…
09-12 14:58:18	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	9¢	$7	0x58b45e…
09-12 10:34:07	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf28468…
09-02 18:51:40	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x94f890…
09-02 18:49:12	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0xe69c5d…
09-02 18:45:21	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x4ae715…
08-22 19:26:36	Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x381026…
08-20 19:19:40	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	No	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0x672d83…
08-20 19:19:33	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	No	BUY	76	14¢	$11	0x74e970…