Realized P&L
+$21.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$74
Hit rate
70.1%
Resolved
25,332
Trades
461,587
lifetime
Volume
$2.23M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$639
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 10-27 09:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 147 days
Categories
Other
98% 48% +$21,748
Sports
1% 28% +$0
Crypto
0% 41% -$13
Politics
0% 43% -$99
Tech
0% 45% +$54
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 13463 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +283 $222 77¢ $217 -$5 09-13 21:33
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +284 $60 23¢ $67 +$6 09-13 21:34
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +40 $23 92¢ $37 +$14 07-27 16:01
will turkey join the abraham accords before 2027 No +36 $33 96¢ $35 +$2 07-28 00:02
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No +32 $27 93¢ $30 +$3 09-07 15:06
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +30 $16 98¢ $29 +$13 09-14 12:01
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +21 $10 96¢ $20 +$9 09-14 14:39
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +20 $17 84¢ $17 $0 09-13 18:07
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +20 $17 72¢ $14 -$3 09-13 22:41
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +14 $12 96¢ $13 +$1 09-13 12:42
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +12 $6 90¢ $11 +$5 06-28 07:18
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +13 $9 80¢ $11 +$2 09-12 15:50
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 09-13 14:34
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +10 $5 98¢ $10 +$5 09-14 13:16
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 09-14 17:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 07-01 07:14
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +10 $3 98¢ $10 +$7 09-14 12:19
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No +10 $7 97¢ $10 +$3 07-25 05:23
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 09-13 16:36
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 07-22 05:34
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 +$0 09-13 15:25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10 $7 86¢ $9 +$2 07-26 10:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +10 $7 64¢ $6 -$1 09-16 22:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +10 $3 63¢ $6 +$3 09-12 15:54
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +10 $8 62¢ $6 -$2 09-12 23:45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +20 $2 29¢ $6 +$3 09-13 22:37
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +10 $3 54¢ $5 +$2 09-13 06:27
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +10 $7 46¢ $5 -$2 09-13 03:27
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$1 06-28 17:11
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$1 09-14 01:17