Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$60
Trades
20
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$9,298
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-12 06:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $1 | $1 | +$0 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $2 | $19 | $17 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $11 | — | +$11 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| unranked | 4 | $9 | $12 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xfb5a…8008 | Yes | +29 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-11 22:55 |
| Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-31 23:27 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 23:28 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-12 06:10 |
| Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | +14 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-12 06:10 |
| Dutiful-Truth 0xe01a…c409 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 15:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 23:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 06:10:33 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xdc9546… |
| 06-12 06:10:33 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0xdc9546… |
| 06-11 22:55:09 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x3d5b46… |
| 06-11 22:55:09 | (anonymous) 0xfb5a…8008 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x3d5b46… |
| 06-05 06:28:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x6c95f6… |
| 06-05 06:28:46 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x6c95f6… |
| 06-05 06:10:16 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4a2bf9… |
| 06-05 06:10:16 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4a2bf9… |
| 05-31 23:28:38 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x695cdc… |
| 05-31 23:28:38 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x695cdc… |
| 05-31 23:28:38 | Immediate-Killer 0x67bb…fe9f | Yes | SELL | 47 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x695cdc… |
| 05-31 23:28:38 | Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8 | No | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x695cdc… |
| 05-31 23:27:22 | Immediate-Killer 0x67bb…fe9f | Yes | BUY | 47 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x0c9afa… |
| 05-31 23:27:22 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x0c9afa… |
| 05-31 23:27:22 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | No | BUY | 1 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x0c9afa… |
| 05-31 23:27:22 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0c9afa… |
| 05-31 19:14:44 | (anonymous) 0x815c…14d2 | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x9dec05… |
| 05-31 19:14:44 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x9dec05… |
| 05-28 15:00:37 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x19d2f5… |
| 05-28 15:00:37 | Dutiful-Truth 0xe01a…c409 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x19d2f5… |