Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$461
Trades
44
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$9,298
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-26 14:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $3 | $1 | +$3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $7 | $36 | $29 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $15 | $300 | $285 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Median | 3 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | $1 | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| unranked | 7 | $15 | $317 | $303 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x809d…c03d | No | +318 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 06-17 18:00 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 18:00 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +72 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-17 18:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +47 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 18:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb5a…8008 | Yes | +29 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-11 22:55 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-17 18:00 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 23:28 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-12 06:10 |
| Dutiful-Truth 0xe01a…c409 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $3 | 4 | 06-14 22:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 23:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 14:34:50 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x9a86e0… |
| 06-26 14:34:50 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9a86e0… |
| 06-25 14:52:52 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xce14c9… |
| 06-25 14:52:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xce14c9… |
| 06-24 09:39:11 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x44d23d… |
| 06-24 09:39:11 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x44d23d… |
| 06-18 08:10:58 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5fce39… |
| 06-18 08:10:58 | Scarce-Cormorant 0x9f16…7013 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5fce39… |
| 06-17 18:00:35 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 72 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xace7c6… |
| 06-17 18:00:35 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0xace7c6… |
| 06-17 18:00:35 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xace7c6… |
| 06-17 18:00:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 47 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xace7c6… |
| 06-17 18:00:35 | (anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d | No | SELL | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0xace7c6… |
| 06-17 18:00:35 | Scarce-Cormorant 0x9f16…7013 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xace7c6… |
| 06-17 18:00:35 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xace7c6… |
| 06-17 18:00:35 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xace7c6… |
| 06-17 18:00:35 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xace7c6… |
| 06-17 18:00:35 | (anonymous) 0x809d…c03d | No | BUY | 318 | 94¢ | $300 | 0xace7c6… |
| 06-14 22:06:58 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x9b199b… |
| 06-14 22:06:58 | Dutiful-Truth 0xe01a…c409 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9b199b… |
| 06-14 22:03:57 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xf68145… |
| 06-14 22:03:57 | Dutiful-Truth 0xe01a…c409 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xf68145… |
| 06-14 20:05:33 | Dutiful-Truth 0xe01a…c409 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xb117a0… |
| 06-14 20:05:33 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xb117a0… |
| 06-12 06:10:33 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xdc9546… |
| 06-12 06:10:33 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0xdc9546… |
| 06-11 22:55:09 | (anonymous) 0xfb5a…8008 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x3d5b46… |
| 06-11 22:55:09 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x3d5b46… |
| 06-05 06:28:46 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x6c95f6… |
| 06-05 06:28:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x6c95f6… |
| 06-05 06:10:16 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4a2bf9… |
| 06-05 06:10:16 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4a2bf9… |
| 05-31 23:28:38 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x695cdc… |
| 05-31 23:28:38 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x695cdc… |
| 05-31 23:28:38 | Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8 | No | SELL | 0 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x695cdc… |
| 05-31 23:28:38 | Immediate-Killer 0x67bb…fe9f | Yes | SELL | 47 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x695cdc… |
| 05-31 23:27:22 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | No | BUY | 1 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x0c9afa… |
| 05-31 23:27:22 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x0c9afa… |
| 05-31 23:27:22 | Immediate-Killer 0x67bb…fe9f | Yes | BUY | 47 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x0c9afa… |
| 05-31 23:27:22 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0c9afa… |
| 05-31 19:14:44 | (anonymous) 0x815c…14d2 | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x9dec05… |
| 05-31 19:14:44 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x9dec05… |
| 05-28 15:00:37 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x19d2f5… |
| 05-28 15:00:37 | Dutiful-Truth 0xe01a…c409 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x19d2f5… |