Realized P&L
+$7.96K
Unrealized P&L
+$559
Hit rate
64.7%
Resolved
947
Trades
5,084
lifetime
Volume
$461.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$8.43K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-06 10:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 261 days
Categories
Other
52% 54% -$1,204
Sports
23% 64% +$8,147
Politics
19% 66% +$865
Crypto
4% 45% +$6
Tech
1% 57% -$134
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$281
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -1,276 -$1,162 98¢ $-1248 -$85 05-14 00:24
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +1,106 $1,040 99¢ $1.1K +$54 09-29 13:12
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No +741 $539 97¢ $717 +$178 11-02 00:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +600 $418 100¢ $599 +$181 11-03 04:09
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -598 -$425 99¢ $-591 -$167 08-30 13:01
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +605 $461 96¢ $580 +$119 08-11 12:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +600 $402 78¢ $465 +$63 11-05 01:29
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +500 $446 85¢ $425 -$21 10-05 06:36
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +644 $466 62¢ $396 -$70 10-22 01:05
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No +286 $223 98¢ $280 +$57 07-25 03:35
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -299 -$241 92¢ $-274 -$33 07-02 03:16
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +333 $219 73¢ $244 +$24 11-06 05:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +333 $220 70¢ $231 +$12 11-06 00:22
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +217 $154 94¢ $206 +$51 08-24 20:10
will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026 No +203 $150 96¢ $195 +$45 06-17 10:40
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +266 $133 73¢ $195 +$62 08-08 17:19
will daylight savings time become permanent in the us in 2026 20260715155938043 No +211 $152 92¢ $195 +$44 08-05 04:11
No one announced as next James Bond? No +220 $166 85¢ $187 +$21 10-27 02:28
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +199 $114 94¢ $186 +$72 06-08 17:32
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +75 $58 90¢ $68 +$9 08-28 00:11
Will Drake release a new album by December 31? No +34 $26 93¢ $32 +$5 10-20 17:50
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,065 -$23 2¢ $-24 -$1 07-07 19:26
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +0 $2 98¢ $0 -$2 06-09 20:20
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $60 66¢ $0 -$60 10-28 01:12