Will England win on 2026-11-15?
open
Total volume
$178
$188 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$511
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-11-15
First seen
2026-11-05
last 11-08 05:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-28.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $21
vs crowd: 29% YES on $178)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | — | $35 | $35 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $56 | $56 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $51 | $29 | +$22 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $21 | $21 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $20 | $20 |
| Median | 4 | $23 | $20 | +$3 |
| Below median | 5 | $28 | $14 | +$14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $32 | $32 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $14 | $14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intentional-Sidewalk 0x8ef3…ca7a | Yes | +110 | $23 | $23 | 7 | 11-07 22:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x5f6e…9ede | Yes | +71 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 11-08 05:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x7272…1a25 | No | +33 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 11-07 22:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xffc6…2da7 | No | +27 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 11-08 05:52 |
| All-Cinema 0x7517…0353 | No | +26 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 11-07 22:29 |
| Tremendous-Assignment 0x5bc5…c64d | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 11-08 05:52 |
| Embellished-Slipper 0x0ef3…b502 | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-08 05:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-05 21:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xb78d…33d5 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 11-07 19:48 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-08 05:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xb323…e253 | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-08 05:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-07 18:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x9da0…98c4 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-07 17:59 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-07 18:32 |
| Ornery-Trailer 0x6ac6…4b98 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-08 05:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-08 05:57:37 | (anonymous) 0xf921…547c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xd155ce… |
| 11-08 05:57:37 | Embellished-Slipper 0x0ef3…b502 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xd155ce… |
| 11-08 05:52:31 | Ornery-Trailer 0x6ac6…4b98 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x388030… |
| 11-08 05:52:31 | (anonymous) 0xf921…547c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x388030… |
| 11-08 05:52:22 | (anonymous) 0x5f6e…9ede | Yes | BUY | 36 | 31¢ | $11 | 0xe9ce77… |
| 11-08 05:52:22 | (anonymous) 0xb323…e253 | No | BUY | 9 | 70¢ | $6 | 0xe9ce77… |
| 11-08 05:52:22 | (anonymous) 0xffc6…2da7 | No | BUY | 27 | 69¢ | $19 | 0xe9ce77… |
| 11-08 05:52:12 | Tremendous-Assignment 0x5bc5…c64d | No | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x09b210… |
| 11-08 05:52:12 | (anonymous) 0x5f6e…9ede | Yes | BUY | 35 | 31¢ | $11 | 0x09b210… |
| 11-08 05:52:12 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x09b210… |
| 11-08 05:52:12 | (anonymous) 0xad7e…2876 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x09b210… |
| 11-07 22:29:49 | (anonymous) 0x7272…1a25 | No | BUY | 33 | 79¢ | $26 | 0xdee3d0… |
| 11-07 22:29:49 | Intentional-Sidewalk 0x8ef3…ca7a | Yes | BUY | 33 | 21¢ | $7 | 0xdee3d0… |
| 11-07 22:29:48 | All-Cinema 0x7517…0353 | No | BUY | 26 | 79¢ | $21 | 0x4d0823… |
| 11-07 22:29:48 | Intentional-Sidewalk 0x8ef3…ca7a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x4d0823… |
| 11-07 19:48:48 | (anonymous) 0xb78d…33d5 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x8f1081… |
| 11-07 19:48:48 | Intentional-Sidewalk 0x8ef3…ca7a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x8f1081… |
| 11-07 18:34:39 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 8 | 79¢ | $6 | 0xc97997… |
| 11-07 18:34:39 | Intentional-Sidewalk 0x8ef3…ca7a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xc97997… |
| 11-07 18:32:10 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x5bcb55… |
| 11-07 18:32:10 | (anonymous) 0xad7e…2876 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x5bcb55… |
| 11-07 17:59:22 | Intentional-Sidewalk 0x8ef3…ca7a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x649568… |
| 11-07 17:59:22 | (anonymous) 0x9da0…98c4 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x649568… |
| 11-07 17:16:39 | Intentional-Sidewalk 0x8ef3…ca7a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xe63749… |
| 11-07 17:16:39 | (anonymous) 0x8373…f0bc | Yes | SELL | 26 | 21¢ | $5 | 0xe63749… |
| 11-07 17:15:43 | Intentional-Sidewalk 0x8ef3…ca7a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xdf4cf2… |
| 11-07 17:15:43 | (anonymous) 0xb78d…33d5 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xdf4cf2… |
| 11-05 21:19:33 | Embellished-Slipper 0x0ef3…b502 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x361758… |
| 11-05 21:19:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 15 | 70¢ | $10 | 0x361758… |