Variable-Ski — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$189.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.74K

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

1,964

Trades

12,485

lifetime

Volume

$5.93M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$475

Open exposure

$344

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-27 18:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Other

91% 39% -$173,186

Sports

9% 38% -$17,410

Crypto

0% 50% +$1,073

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	—	+17,205	$4,084	2¢	$344	-$3,739	10-27 19:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
usc psg av 2026 08 12 btts	9	$80.5K	51,301	51,301	+0	Yes	+$22,008	08-12 19:49
Juventus FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score	8	$55.8K	39,388	39,388	+0	Yes	+$16,920	09-06 20:41
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	25	$52.5K	37,524	36,954	+570	Yes	+$16,035	04-27 20:54
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	197	$40.9K	96,713	0	+96,713	No	-$40,893	05-27 19:52
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	32	$40.0K	26,555	26,555	+0	Yes	+$13,008	04-29 20:26
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	36	$39.9K	76,380	0	+76,380	Yes	+$36,444	05-30 15:14
cs2 fly pain 2026 06 07	2	$39.0K	25,350	25,350	+0	paiN	+$11,636	06-07 16:41
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?	27	$36.1K	42,073	36,935	+5,137	No	-$3,155	05-23 16:23
cs2 furia aur1 2026 10 17	24	$31.8K	40,000	11,580	+28,420	FURIA	+$17,837	10-17 15:42
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs	20	$30.6K	90,060	0	+90,060	Spirit	-$30,595	09-06 13:56
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$30.2K	19,349	19,343	+6	Yes	+$8,494	09-06 15:56
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	25	$29.7K	20,564	20,564	+0	9z	+$7,325	05-28 17:32
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	7	$29.0K	19,735	19,735	+0	Yes	+$4,590	05-18 23:39
cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09	12	$27.5K	18,273	18,273	+0	B8	+$7,379	06-09 19:41
cs2 ast10 fut 2026 04 11	7	$27.3K	18,241	18,000	+241	FUT Esports	+$7,080	04-11 17:56
Eagles vs. Bears	11	$27.0K	25,000	25,000	+0	Bears	+$8,531	09-29 02:37
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	3	$26.6K	17,429	17,429	+0	Team Falcons	+$8,174	05-15 20:10
cs2 k271 nemi1 2026 09 03	12	$26.3K	17,996	17,996	+0	K27	+$8,304	09-03 13:40
Swansea City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Score	25	$26.1K	63,799	0	+63,799	No	-$26,079	09-05 19:49
cs2 fal2 g2 2026 09 04	14	$25.4K	17,400	17,400	+0	Team Falcons	+$5,077	09-04 16:29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	7	$25.3K	17,233	17,233	+0	Yes	+$6,495	05-05 20:56
efl ply exe 2026 08 10 btts	32	$25.2K	64,566	0	+64,566	No	-$25,153	08-10 20:27
Getafe CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: Both Teams to Score	6	$24.9K	20,150	20,150	+0	Yes	+$13,887	09-13 18:14
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	68	$23.5K	45,418	4,000	+41,418	No	-$20,097	05-20 20:00
j1100 ngr avi 2026 04 19 avi	40	$23.5K	20,696	20,696	+0	No	+$16,935	04-19 09:11
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	49	$22.7K	20,904	20,904	+0	TheMongolz	+$10,953	10-24 10:20
Sabres vs. Bruins	15	$22.6K	15,408	15,408	+0	Sabres	+$5,646	05-02 02:07
Canadiens vs. Sabres	4	$21.7K	25,818	15,818	+10,000	Canadiens	-$5,158	05-19 02:18
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-09?	13	$21.7K	20,171	15,854	+4,318	No	+$4,826	10-20 20:32
Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Stockport County FC: Both Teams to Score	20	$21.6K	13,996	13,996	+0	Yes	+$6,323	05-24 12:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:35:44	Will Al-Shamal win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	4,188	13¢	$544	0xf07a89…
10-27 19:35:29	Will Al-Shamal win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	2,375	13¢	$309	0x615b4e…
10-27 19:35:18	Will Al-Shamal win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x3db037…
10-27 19:35:17	Will Al-Shamal win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0x2679e6…
10-27 19:35:15	Will Al-Shamal win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	4,050	13¢	$526	0x9b4275…
10-27 19:28:42	Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	3,204	17¢	$545	0x146876…
10-27 19:27:26	Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	1,183	16¢	$189	0x60ad21…
10-27 19:26:56	Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x34bac3…
10-27 19:26:42	Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	34	16¢	$6	0x3604e0…
10-27 19:26:41	Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	2,963	16¢	$474	0xb3b033…
10-27 19:26:18	Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	5,040	20¢	$1,006	0x38c9a6…
10-27 19:10:08	Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	1,300	40¢	$520	0x350d8b…
10-27 19:08:35	UD Castellonense vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xa2e5c3…
10-27 19:08:33	UD Castellonense vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x7d651b…
10-27 19:08:12	UD Castellonense vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd574dc…
10-27 19:08:11	UD Castellonense vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x53e0a8…
10-27 19:08:09	UD Castellonense vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xde76fe…
10-27 19:08:08	UD Castellonense vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x804e9c…
10-27 19:08:02	UD Castellonense vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	706	45¢	$318	0xed4611…
10-27 19:06:02	UD Castellonense vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	618	46¢	$284	0x5c9c5c…
10-27 19:03:39	UD Castellonense vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	629	48¢	$302	0xef890b…
10-27 19:01:23	Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	1,455	40¢	$582	0x08d2b8…
10-27 18:59:35	Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	1,826	40¢	$730	0x338b2e…
10-27 18:49:30	Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2,905	100¢	$2,902	0x4eeccb…
10-27 17:54:42	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4,000	30¢	$1,200	0x411371…
10-27 17:53:59	Hamburger SV vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2,905	36¢	$1,046	0x3488a8…
10-27 17:53:29	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2,714	30¢	$814	0x2a4810…
10-27 17:52:45	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,628	29¢	$472	0x6b9e4a…
10-27 17:42:30	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	5,000	31¢	$1,550	0x86c420…
10-27 17:39:26	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,844	34¢	$627	0x095925…
10-27 17:38:17	Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Cambridge United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	573	59¢	$338	0x28dac6…
10-27 17:12:33	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x287408…
10-27 17:12:30	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,554	51¢	$793	0xb09fef…
10-27 17:07:29	VfL Bochum vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	600	57¢	$342	0x5a82c2…
10-27 16:56:30	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs. Esteghlal FC Tehran: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,299	23¢	$299	0x624c12…
10-27 16:26:30	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner	TYLOO	BUY	5,000	26¢	$1,300	0x7b9172…
10-27 16:13:26	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs. Esteghlal FC Tehran: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2,000	45¢	$900	0x1f7446…
10-27 16:12:41	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	3,400	53¢	$1,802	0xef1596…
10-27 15:10:26	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	SELL	7,200	81¢	$5,832	0xa7ae64…
10-27 14:40:12	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	5,000	23¢	$1,168	0xd6c80b…
10-27 14:28:26	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	5,000	55¢	$2,750	0x42dcc4…
10-27 14:20:57	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	2,200	55¢	$1,210	0xf57a62…
10-27 14:02:47	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	SELL	530	60¢	$317	0x41b49c…
10-27 13:43:35	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	SELL	372	62¢	$230	0xaa655f…
10-27 13:43:35	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	SELL	156	62¢	$97	0x2d5408…
10-27 09:59:35	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	DENDELE CS	BUY	5,000	42¢	$2,100	0x432f7e…
10-27 09:59:09	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	5,000	27¢	$1,350	0x0fba04…
10-27 06:10:12	Daejeon Citizen FC vs. Vissel Kobe: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	721	56¢	$404	0x46bf87…
10-27 06:09:24	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	160	44¢	$70	0xaef886…
10-27 06:08:42	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	5,000	27¢	$1,350	0x01e603…
10-26 21:11:18	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	3,900	100¢	$3,896	0xa2e1ae…
10-26 20:52:47	Walsall FC vs. Salford City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	1,277	55¢	$702	0x321a4a…
10-26 20:51:23	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2,000	36¢	$720	0x5b9c49…
10-26 20:50:00	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5,000	19¢	$950	0x43dfbe…
10-26 20:48:50	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	242	40¢	$97	0x36d140…
10-26 20:48:39	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x75259f…
10-26 20:48:36	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	68	40¢	$27	0x4c127d…
10-26 20:48:30	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	185	40¢	$74	0x5f8d88…
10-26 20:46:59	Walsall FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	476	55¢	$262	0x6bfdc6…
10-26 20:42:11	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1,400	51¢	$714	0x49c6a7…
10-26 20:38:06	Walsall FC vs. Salford City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	924	45¢	$416	0x5cbc94…
10-26 20:28:39	Walsall FC vs. Salford City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	856	52¢	$445	0x21e307…
10-26 20:27:57	Walsall FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	844	48¢	$405	0xb0b873…
10-26 20:23:35	Walsall FC vs. Salford City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2,036	55¢	$1,120	0xdd80c4…
10-26 20:21:41	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3,336	33¢	$1,101	0x015f95…
10-26 20:19:45	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3,000	33¢	$990	0x9d6263…
10-26 20:10:00	CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	7,824	100¢	$7,817	0x463612…
10-26 19:49:44	Will Odense BK win on 2026-10-26?	No	SELL	900	97¢	$873	0x542be4…
10-26 19:49:03	FC Andorra vs. Burgos CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	7,603	100¢	$7,596	0xa2ce93…
10-26 19:48:59	FC Andorra vs. Burgos CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x79a40f…
10-26 19:48:57	FC Andorra vs. Burgos CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	745	100¢	$744	0xa570df…
10-26 19:48:57	FC Andorra vs. Burgos CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x4f2303…
10-26 19:19:32	FC Andorra vs. Burgos CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2,673	51¢	$1,363	0x315990…
10-26 19:18:54	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	SELL	3,117	100¢	$3,114	0xd442a9…
10-26 19:18:15	Will Odense BK win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	900	58¢	$522	0xac20c9…
10-26 19:15:57	FC Andorra vs. Burgos CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3,554	51¢	$1,813	0xb06f6c…
10-26 18:06:02	FC Andorra vs. Burgos CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	927	53¢	$491	0x2a0d09…
10-26 18:05:32	CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,674	52¢	$871	0x306b8e…
10-26 18:04:56	FC Andorra vs. Burgos CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,223	53¢	$648	0xd76346…
10-26 18:04:08	CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,841	52¢	$957	0x0529fd…
10-26 18:02:21	CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3,019	52¢	$1,570	0x9f5435…
10-26 18:01:29	CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,289	51¢	$658	0x74ae47…
10-26 17:50:41	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	DENDELE CS	SELL	600	66¢	$396	0x4c9052…
10-26 17:49:33	Will Al Ahli Saudi FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	2,606	95¢	$2,476	0x9cb71e…
10-26 17:49:33	Will Al Ahli Saudi FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	161	95¢	$153	0x6c35f0…
10-26 17:49:32	Will Al Ahli Saudi FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	2,479	95¢	$2,355	0xd48a38…
10-26 17:46:14	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	3,117	38¢	$1,184	0xc7a713…
10-26 17:28:56	Will Al Ahli Saudi FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	744	50¢	$372	0xb8e4f3…
10-26 17:28:17	Will Al Ahli Saudi FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	1,456	50¢	$728	0x8d9603…
10-26 17:26:33	Will Al Ahli Saudi FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	1,500	53¢	$795	0xc49c15…
10-26 17:25:14	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	DENDELE CS	BUY	600	53¢	$318	0xde0618…
10-26 17:22:32	Will Al Ahli Saudi FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xea8b1b…
10-26 17:22:32	Will Al Ahli Saudi FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	301	58¢	$174	0x65f4d3…
10-26 17:22:30	Will Al Ahli Saudi FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	108	58¢	$63	0xbab3e0…
10-26 17:22:29	Will Al Ahli Saudi FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	1,080	58¢	$626	0x1f7c0c…
10-26 17:22:27	Will Al Ahli Saudi FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	53	58¢	$31	0x62720d…
10-26 17:20:12	Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,522	20¢	$304	0x1b755b…
10-26 17:19:08	Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1,783	22¢	$392	0xbb326a…
10-26 17:16:32	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	No	SELL	3,549	93¢	$3,301	0x007508…
10-26 17:13:44	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	No	SELL	3,549	76¢	$2,698	0x868500…