Gullible-Swimsuit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,468

lifetime

Volume

$1.45M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$266

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 10:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 100% +$52

Other

16% 100% +$0

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 2 10am et	124	$28.9K	13,451	15,614	-2,163	open	—	03-02 15:51
bitcoin up or down march 2 4pm et	75	$26.1K	13,183	13,183	+0	open	—	03-02 21:59
bitcoin up or down february 25 10am et	71	$21.2K	10,670	10,667	+3	open	—	02-25 15:58
bitcoin up or down march 2 7am et	280	$18.8K	11,809	7,203	+4,606	open	—	03-02 12:56
bitcoin up or down march 2 3pm et	47	$18.4K	9,252	9,252	+0	open	—	03-02 20:58
will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	3	$17.2K	11,482	5,741	+5,741	open	—	01-31 21:52
btc updown 15m 1772466300	57	$16.5K	10,563	6,058	+4,506	open	—	03-02 15:59
btc updown 15m 1770621300	2	$15.1K	7,576	7,576	+0	open	—	02-09 07:31
bitcoin up or down on february 2	39	$14.0K	7,184	7,184	+0	open	—	02-02 16:39
bitcoin up or down february 26 10am et	12	$13.4K	6,750	6,750	+0	open	—	02-26 15:57
btc updown 15m 1772008200	10	$13.0K	6,500	6,500	+0	open	—	02-25 08:45
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	20	$12.3K	7,480	4,821	+2,659	open	—	04-08 20:47
btc updown 15m 1772439300	21	$11.9K	8,235	3,735	+4,500	open	—	03-02 08:28
will solana dip to 70 january 26 1	3	$11.5K	5,756	5,763	-7	open	—	02-01 20:26
btc updown 15m 1772130600	20	$11.0K	7,030	4,020	+3,009	open	—	02-26 18:43
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 liv1	7	$10.7K	5,340	5,339	+0	open	—	04-08 20:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	16	$10.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	01-29 10:48
bitcoin up or down march 5 10am et	161	$9.8K	4,904	4,904	+0	open	—	03-05 15:56
bitcoin up or down march 4 3am et	9	$9.6K	4,794	4,794	+0	open	—	03-04 08:55
btc updown 15m 1772463600	9	$9.4K	4,711	4,711	+0	open	—	03-02 15:12
btc updown 4h 1772715600	40	$9.4K	4,713	4,713	+0	open	—	03-05 16:57
bitcoin up or down march 4 10am et	50	$9.3K	4,651	4,651	+0	open	—	03-04 15:52
bitcoin up or down march 1 1pm et	9	$9.2K	4,616	4,616	+0	open	—	03-01 18:59
bitcoin above 72k on march 18	13	$9.2K	4,600	4,600	+0	open	—	03-18 15:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$9.0K	4,605	4,600	+5	open	—	03-01 09:13
btc updown 15m 1772316000	10	$9.0K	4,500	4,500	+0	open	—	02-28 22:14
bitcoin up or down march 4 4am et	25	$8.9K	4,888	4,083	+805	open	—	03-04 10:00
btc updown 15m 1772388000	8	$8.6K	4,313	4,313	+0	open	—	03-01 18:14
bitcoin up or down march 4 4pm et	179	$8.6K	4,305	4,305	+0	open	—	03-04 22:09
uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 bet1	8	$8.5K	4,250	4,250	+0	open	—	04-16 20:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 10:06:12	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x019794…
07-20 10:04:48	btc updown 5m 1784541600	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe9a81e…
07-19 16:55:40	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6b7ee2…
07-17 15:27:19	btc updown 15m 1784301300	Up	BUY	2,096	100¢	$2,094	0xbd65b0…
07-17 15:27:13	btc updown 15m 1784301300	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xb1e696…
07-17 15:27:10	btc updown 15m 1784301300	Up	BUY	1,604	100¢	$1,603	0xd82ead…
07-17 09:09:01	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8c6eab…
07-17 09:08:30	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x692606…
07-17 09:08:03	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x3a3ba1…
07-17 09:07:42	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xcfc267…
07-17 09:05:22	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5b036d…
07-17 09:05:18	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xe92f0b…
07-17 09:03:37	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7d9ccc…
07-17 09:00:00	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe43144…
07-17 08:59:52	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0xa3d359…
07-17 08:59:21	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb4f9cc…
07-16 20:14:07	btc updown 15m 1784232000	Down	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x158590…
07-16 20:13:23	btc updown 15m 1784232000	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5db88a…
07-15 19:00:04	btc updown 15m 1784141100	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x58d9e5…
07-15 18:59:58	btc updown 15m 1784141100	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1731c3…
07-14 14:06:49	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3fd0a6…
07-14 14:05:49	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x89f522…
07-14 14:05:43	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4da5a…
07-14 14:05:31	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	43	100¢	$42	0x910c7c…
07-14 14:04:31	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x2b2b8c…
07-14 14:03:50	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x7ac583…
07-14 14:03:50	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b7c46…
07-14 14:02:25	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xcca04e…
07-14 14:01:41	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xda7401…
07-14 14:01:35	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x7b0e34…
07-14 14:01:25	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xae8d65…
07-14 14:00:34	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc16b63…
07-14 14:00:28	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x96709a…
07-14 14:00:04	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x4601d8…
07-14 13:59:55	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xe4ef6d…
07-13 14:57:16	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	783	100¢	$782	0x90d630…
07-13 14:57:10	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x79ab37…
07-13 14:57:05	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x2b53c8…
07-13 14:57:02	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0xc0348d…
07-13 14:50:07	bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,070	0x01c054…
07-11 15:15:02	btc updown 15m 1783782000	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7f23a3…
07-11 15:14:20	btc updown 15m 1783782000	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x647d4d…
07-11 15:14:17	btc updown 15m 1783782000	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x9ba5be…
07-11 15:14:05	btc updown 15m 1783782000	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xbb1aca…
07-11 15:13:53	btc updown 15m 1783782000	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x81741c…
07-11 15:13:47	btc updown 15m 1783782000	Up	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0xa58c0e…
07-10 22:14:07	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x757b24…
07-10 06:30:29	btc updown 15m 1783664100	Down	BUY	348	100¢	$348	0x73d1d1…
07-10 06:29:05	btc updown 15m 1783664100	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8e3d05…
07-10 06:28:40	btc updown 15m 1783664100	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x912621…
07-10 06:28:40	btc updown 15m 1783664100	Down	BUY	301	100¢	$301	0x50ccc0…
07-08 08:54:49	bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	4,100	100¢	$4,096	0x0db87d…
07-07 19:29:59	btc updown 15m 1783451700	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb53356…
07-07 19:29:53	btc updown 15m 1783451700	Up	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0xa60403…
07-07 19:28:46	btc updown 15m 1783451700	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x5ed816…
07-05 13:59:11	bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9d9960…
07-05 12:29:19	btc updown 15m 1783253700	Up	BUY	515	100¢	$515	0x9821c9…
07-05 12:29:04	btc updown 15m 1783253700	Up	BUY	485	100¢	$484	0x5f5d91…
07-04 18:08:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xeb35e4…
07-04 18:08:29	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6945b8…
07-01 16:00:17	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	SELL	3,838	100¢	$3,835	0x8e676e…
07-01 15:59:13	bitcoin above 60k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	3,838	99¢	$3,800	0xb6e3aa…
07-01 15:30:25	btc updown 15m 1782918900	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x995d8b…
07-01 15:29:02	btc updown 15m 1782918900	Up	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6e6ebd…
07-01 15:28:50	btc updown 15m 1782918900	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x14dcd0…
07-01 15:28:29	btc updown 15m 1782918900	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd6aec5…
07-01 15:28:20	btc updown 15m 1782918900	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x2c7802…
07-01 15:28:04	btc updown 15m 1782918900	Up	BUY	186	100¢	$185	0xf4be04…
07-01 15:24:58	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xac470c…
07-01 15:24:58	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Up	BUY	1,221	100¢	$1,220	0x6445ff…
07-01 15:24:46	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb6aa81…
07-01 15:24:46	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9db01c…
07-01 15:24:38	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa55c4a…
07-01 15:24:19	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x310e91…
07-01 15:24:17	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf15fb1…
07-01 15:24:17	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc92ef1…
07-01 15:24:17	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc572d2…
07-01 15:24:13	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x75aefd…
07-01 15:24:10	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x79f48d…
07-01 15:24:10	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x786c45…
07-01 15:24:10	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1aac0f…
07-01 15:24:05	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa54bfe…
07-01 15:24:04	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Up	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x176391…
07-01 15:24:02	btc updown 5m 1782919200	Up	BUY	182	100¢	$181	0x406a9d…
07-01 15:14:59	btc updown 15m 1782918000	Up	BUY	885	100¢	$884	0x3680ea…
07-01 15:14:44	btc updown 15m 1782918000	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x4a5cbc…
07-01 15:14:38	btc updown 15m 1782918000	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x67d20f…
07-01 15:14:22	btc updown 15m 1782918000	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x31f641…
07-01 15:14:17	btc updown 15m 1782918000	Up	BUY	910	100¢	$909	0x7ca7a6…
06-29 15:00:20	btc updown 5m 1782744900	Down	BUY	3,800	99¢	$3,762	0x0dcae7…
06-29 14:08:28	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	3,462	100¢	$3,458	0xa8789b…
06-29 14:06:59	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd36908…
06-29 14:05:11	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd231ca…
06-29 14:00:29	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68b091…
06-29 14:00:10	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x4b7060…
06-29 14:00:08	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x6c0084…
06-29 13:58:13	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x54e41f…
06-29 13:57:59	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x08f354…
06-29 09:59:35	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe1dd39…
06-29 09:58:14	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	575	100¢	$574	0x868c98…