Gullible-Swimsuit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,538

lifetime

Volume

$1.49M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$269

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 07:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 100% +$52

Other

16% 100% +$0

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 2 10am et	124	$28.9K	13,451	15,614	-2,163	open	—	03-02 15:51
bitcoin up or down march 2 4pm et	75	$26.1K	13,183	13,183	+0	open	—	03-02 21:59
bitcoin up or down february 25 10am et	71	$21.2K	10,670	10,667	+3	open	—	02-25 15:58
bitcoin up or down march 2 7am et	280	$18.8K	11,809	7,203	+4,606	open	—	03-02 12:56
bitcoin up or down march 2 3pm et	47	$18.4K	9,252	9,252	+0	open	—	03-02 20:58
will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	3	$17.2K	11,482	5,741	+5,741	open	—	01-31 21:52
btc updown 15m 1772466300	57	$16.5K	10,563	6,058	+4,506	open	—	03-02 15:59
btc updown 15m 1770621300	2	$15.1K	7,576	7,576	+0	open	—	02-09 07:31
bitcoin up or down on february 2	39	$14.0K	7,184	7,184	+0	open	—	02-02 16:39
bitcoin up or down february 26 10am et	12	$13.4K	6,750	6,750	+0	open	—	02-26 15:57
btc updown 15m 1772008200	10	$13.0K	6,500	6,500	+0	open	—	02-25 08:45
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	20	$12.3K	7,480	4,821	+2,659	open	—	04-08 20:47
btc updown 15m 1772439300	21	$11.9K	8,235	3,735	+4,500	open	—	03-02 08:28
will solana dip to 70 january 26 1	3	$11.5K	5,756	5,763	-7	open	—	02-01 20:26
btc updown 15m 1772130600	20	$11.0K	7,030	4,020	+3,009	open	—	02-26 18:43
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 liv1	7	$10.7K	5,340	5,339	+0	open	—	04-08 20:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	16	$10.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	01-29 10:48
bitcoin up or down march 5 10am et	161	$9.8K	4,904	4,904	+0	open	—	03-05 15:56
bitcoin up or down march 4 3am et	9	$9.6K	4,794	4,794	+0	open	—	03-04 08:55
btc updown 15m 1772463600	9	$9.4K	4,711	4,711	+0	open	—	03-02 15:12
btc updown 4h 1772715600	40	$9.4K	4,713	4,713	+0	open	—	03-05 16:57
bitcoin up or down march 4 10am et	50	$9.3K	4,651	4,651	+0	open	—	03-04 15:52
bitcoin up or down march 1 1pm et	9	$9.2K	4,616	4,616	+0	open	—	03-01 18:59
bitcoin above 72k on march 18	13	$9.2K	4,600	4,600	+0	open	—	03-18 15:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$9.0K	4,605	4,600	+5	open	—	03-01 09:13
btc updown 15m 1772316000	10	$9.0K	4,500	4,500	+0	open	—	02-28 22:14
bitcoin up or down march 4 4am et	25	$8.9K	4,888	4,083	+805	open	—	03-04 10:00
btc updown 15m 1772388000	8	$8.6K	4,313	4,313	+0	open	—	03-01 18:14
bitcoin up or down march 4 4pm et	179	$8.6K	4,305	4,305	+0	open	—	03-04 22:09
uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 bet1	8	$8.5K	4,250	4,250	+0	open	—	04-16 20:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 07:03:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x982e12…
08-08 16:00:42	btc updown 4h 1786190400	Up	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0xa50496…
08-08 15:59:36	btc updown 4h 1786190400	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcd5158…
08-08 15:58:28	btc updown 4h 1786190400	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x0f19e6…
08-08 11:31:21	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x49cff8…
08-08 11:27:37	will bitcoin reach 72k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd0f250…
08-06 16:00:33	btc updown 15m 1786031100	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa53957…
08-06 15:59:45	btc updown 15m 1786031100	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x56bcd5…
08-05 16:06:24	spy closes above 740 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3,435	100¢	$3,432	0xbbcfde…
08-05 16:03:23	spy closes above 735 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1,037	100¢	$1,036	0xd11d1f…
08-05 15:51:15	btc updown 4h 1785931200	Up	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0xdd1ea0…
08-04 15:59:54	bitcoin above 64k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1,839	100¢	$1,837	0x092015…
08-04 15:58:26	btc updown 4h 1785844800	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x96e64e…
08-04 15:58:20	btc updown 4h 1785844800	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x484da7…
08-04 15:57:57	btc updown 4h 1785844800	Up	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x5bd6b7…
08-04 15:49:32	bitcoin up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x0f678d…
08-03 16:07:50	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcd58ad…
08-03 16:04:15	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x9121ce…
08-03 16:01:27	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc18f8…
08-03 16:01:18	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf8bd3a…
08-03 16:01:03	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd2548d…
08-03 16:00:18	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7bc3cb…
08-03 15:59:57	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	1,288	100¢	$1,287	0xcd6dc8…
08-03 15:57:47	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xb21c71…
08-03 15:57:05	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x89b950…
08-03 15:57:02	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	761	100¢	$760	0x7face8…
08-03 15:57:02	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2b8421…
08-03 15:57:02	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x03e94f…
08-03 15:57:00	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0x41a664…
08-02 12:24:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x224e8c…
08-01 15:57:32	bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	Up	BUY	900	100¢	$899	0xd725ea…
08-01 15:57:21	bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x29f7e2…
08-01 15:57:12	bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x18d9a3…
08-01 15:57:03	bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x78c22c…
08-01 15:54:44	ethereum above 1700 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x2a03de…
07-30 15:30:23	btc updown 5m 1785425100	Down	BUY	833	100¢	$832	0xb1649d…
07-30 15:30:08	btc updown 5m 1785425100	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x507447…
07-30 15:30:03	btc updown 5m 1785425100	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xba7149…
07-30 15:29:59	btc updown 5m 1785425100	Down	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,498	0x5ade9c…
07-30 15:29:56	btc updown 5m 1785425100	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x6a38ba…
07-30 15:29:56	btc updown 5m 1785425100	Down	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x51ca51…
07-30 15:29:33	btc updown 5m 1785425100	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e1dc0…
07-29 15:24:45	btc updown 5m 1785338400	Up	BUY	2,950	100¢	$2,947	0xdd853d…
07-29 15:24:45	btc updown 5m 1785338400	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb00273…
07-29 15:24:44	btc updown 5m 1785338400	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xce89ad…
07-29 15:24:44	btc updown 5m 1785338400	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x89e93d…
07-29 15:24:44	btc updown 5m 1785338400	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x44806a…
07-29 15:24:32	btc updown 5m 1785338400	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa620ad…
07-29 15:22:15	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfcee11…
07-28 20:00:50	nvda up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd4e597…
07-28 20:00:01	nvda up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	663	100¢	$661	0x41d5d5…
07-28 19:56:44	spy up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0x01c240…
07-28 19:52:20	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe2f72a…
07-28 19:52:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1b1bf…
07-24 07:34:12	will spy reach 770 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa87045…
07-23 15:39:55	bitcoin up or down on july 23 2026	Down	BUY	299	100¢	$298	0x4e047e…
07-23 15:39:51	bitcoin up or down on july 23 2026	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x9f4832…
07-23 15:39:46	bitcoin up or down on july 23 2026	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x5957c2…
07-23 15:39:42	bitcoin up or down on july 23 2026	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc3b135…
07-23 15:39:36	bitcoin up or down on july 23 2026	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb84d21…
07-23 15:33:37	bitcoin up or down on july 23 2026	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f4d33…
07-23 15:29:58	btc updown 15m 1784819700	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab97d6…
07-23 15:29:54	btc updown 15m 1784819700	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdf8d15…
07-23 15:29:45	btc updown 15m 1784819700	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf89688…
07-23 15:29:24	btc updown 15m 1784819700	Up	BUY	913	100¢	$912	0x6e1d4d…
07-23 10:37:03	will spy reach 800 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c225d…
07-23 10:35:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5486b6…
07-23 10:35:04	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc006b6…
07-22 16:00:24	bitcoin above 66k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xa2e910…
07-22 16:00:03	bitcoin above 66k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4,211	95¢	$4,000	0x5f0693…
07-20 10:06:12	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x019794…
07-20 10:04:48	btc updown 5m 1784541600	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe9a81e…
07-19 16:55:40	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6b7ee2…
07-17 15:27:19	btc updown 15m 1784301300	Up	BUY	2,096	100¢	$2,094	0xbd65b0…
07-17 15:27:13	btc updown 15m 1784301300	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xb1e696…
07-17 15:27:10	btc updown 15m 1784301300	Up	BUY	1,604	100¢	$1,603	0xd82ead…
07-17 09:09:01	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8c6eab…
07-17 09:08:30	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x692606…
07-17 09:08:03	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x3a3ba1…
07-17 09:07:42	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xcfc267…
07-17 09:05:22	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5b036d…
07-17 09:05:18	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0xe92f0b…
07-17 09:03:37	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7d9ccc…
07-17 09:00:00	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe43144…
07-17 08:59:52	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0xa3d359…
07-17 08:59:21	bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb4f9cc…
07-16 20:14:07	btc updown 15m 1784232000	Down	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x158590…
07-16 20:13:23	btc updown 15m 1784232000	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5db88a…
07-15 19:00:04	btc updown 15m 1784141100	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x58d9e5…
07-15 18:59:58	btc updown 15m 1784141100	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1731c3…
07-14 14:06:49	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3fd0a6…
07-14 14:05:49	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x89f522…
07-14 14:05:43	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4da5a…
07-14 14:05:31	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	43	100¢	$42	0x910c7c…
07-14 14:04:31	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x2b2b8c…
07-14 14:03:50	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x7ac583…
07-14 14:03:50	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b7c46…
07-14 14:02:25	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xcca04e…
07-14 14:01:41	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xda7401…
07-14 14:01:35	bitcoin up or down july 14 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x7b0e34…