Realized P&L
-$31.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
59.0%
Resolved
6,125
Trades
15,961
lifetime
Volume
$772.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$48
Open exposure
$632
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-15
last 10-27 05:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Other
71% 37% -$33,306
Crypto
26% 41% +$3,185
Sports
3% 40% -$985
Politics
0% 45% -$46
Tech
0% 32% -$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 290 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +616 $201 44¢ $268 +$68 10-12 08:15
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +593 $98 16¢ $92 -$6 10-12 08:16
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? Yes +806 $137 10¢ $77 -$61 10-12 08:16
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +193 $38 19¢ $37 -$2 10-26 17:42
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +121 $24 18¢ $22 -$2 08-25 13:35
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +54 $26 38¢ $21 -$5 08-25 13:35
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +153 $19 12¢ $18 -$1 10-25 18:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +13 $10 92¢ $12 +$2 10-24 04:22
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +10 $7 100¢ $10 +$3 09-02 07:44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 07-27 05:30
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +95 $10 8¢ $8 -$1 10-09 13:43
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +8 $6 84¢ $6 $0 07-22 03:41
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +6 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 08-26 09:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +12 $6 42¢ $5 -$1 10-17 15:55
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +144 $3 3¢ $5 +$2 08-25 11:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-23 12:54
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +227 $6 2¢ $4 -$1 10-14 07:16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +6 $5 64¢ $4 -$1 08-29 20:23
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +72 $4 5¢ $4 +$0 10-27 03:25
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +18 $4 17¢ $3 -$1 10-26 09:23
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $7 22¢ $3 -$4 09-23 20:53
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +4 $4 56¢ $2 -$2 08-06 14:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 10-03 11:35
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 10-03 11:36
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +2 $2 96¢ $2 $0 08-13 21:59
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10 $2 17¢ $2 -$1 08-17 09:53
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +114 $3 1¢ $1 -$1 09-26 11:10
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +27 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 08-18 17:36
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +22 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 09-16 15:41
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +24 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-14 07:18