Sophisticated-Bicycle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$92.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$873

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

46,305

Trades

787,307

lifetime

Volume

$83.7M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

$32.8K

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 11-09 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 278 days

Categories

Other

92% 60% +$49,111

Sports

8% 55% +$45,238

Crypto

0% 56% -$1,615

Politics

0% 50% -$504

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 3593 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Lakers vs. Hawks	Hawks	+6,037	$3,160	52¢	$3.2K	+$9	11-09 20:59
Pelicans vs. Warriors	Warriors	+3,500	$2,737	82¢	$2.9K	+$150	11-09 21:55
Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	+5,777	$2,736	48¢	$2.7K	+$8	11-09 21:45
Nuggets vs. Rockets	Rockets	+3,000	$2,178	62¢	$1.8K	-$332	11-09 19:15
Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5	Under	+3,250	$1,625	46¢	$1.5K	-$114	11-09 21:19
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	No	+2,583	$1,599	52¢	$1.3K	-$256	10-10 11:47
Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5	Over	+2,500	$1,232	54¢	$1.3K	+$105	11-09 19:20
Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5	Under	+2,625	$1,321	50¢	$1.3K	+$4	11-09 20:50
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?	No	+1,722	$1,679	76¢	$1.3K	-$373	10-10 11:30
Wizards vs. Pistons	Pistons	+1,500	$1,207	82¢	$1.2K	+$15	11-09 17:00
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Under	+1,750	$892	66¢	$1.2K	+$262	10-10 02:06
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova	Aryna Sabalenka	+1,000	$650	94¢	$945	+$295	11-09 16:34
Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Vikings	+1,731	$906	52¢	$891	-$15	11-09 20:45
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)	Pelicans	+1,900	$984	46¢	$883	-$100	11-09 21:45
Cavaliers vs. Hornets	Cavaliers	+1,122	$842	76¢	$847	+$6	11-09 19:39
Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	+1,000	$765	76¢	$765	+$0	11-09 21:22
Bills vs. Vikings	Vikings	+2,000	$740	36¢	$730	-$10	11-09 15:14
Spread: Bills (-2.5)	Bills	+1,226	$701	58¢	$717	+$16	11-09 18:42
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)	Rockets	+1,750	$929	40¢	$709	-$220	11-09 19:15
Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5	Over	+1,400	$672	50¢	$693	+$21	11-09 16:41
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)	Hawks	+1,275	$645	50¢	$644	-$1	11-09 21:04
Bills vs. Vikings	Bills	+1,000	$630	64¢	$635	+$5	11-05 15:36
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)	Rockets	+1,750	$807	36¢	$621	-$186	11-09 19:15
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)	Pelicans	+1,400	$682	44¢	$609	-$74	11-09 21:45
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)	Lakers	+1,200	$588	50¢	$594	+$6	11-09 21:12
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)	Hawks	+1,225	$584	46¢	$570	-$15	11-09 20:06
Grizzlies vs. Raptors	Raptors	+1,000	$565	56¢	$555	-$10	11-09 18:06
Will Spain win on 2026-11-12?	No	+3,000	$540	18¢	$555	+$15	11-09 15:34
Pelicans vs. Warriors	Pelicans	+3,000	$640	18¢	$525	-$115	11-09 13:33
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Hawks	+862	$484	60¢	$513	+$29	11-09 19:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	1,669	$619.0K	1,235,279	0	+1,235,279	No	-$108	07-19 18:46
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	619	$306.7K	611,202	0	+611,202	No	+$90	07-19 18:55
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	884	$284.7K	570,778	0	+570,778	No	-$4	07-19 18:54
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?	694	$258.4K	517,429	0	+517,429	No	-$22	07-15 18:55
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?	820	$247.6K	496,385	0	+496,385	No	-$11	07-15 18:55
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?	973	$232.6K	461,692	0	+461,692	No	+$206	07-09 19:55
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?	544	$184.0K	367,258	0	+367,258	No	+$77	07-14 18:55
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?	671	$176.6K	348,518	0	+348,518	No	+$249	07-11 20:50
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?	359	$173.8K	347,019	0	+347,019	No	-$15	07-14 18:55
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	1,098	$172.5K	327,886	0	+327,886	No	+$816	07-03 21:52
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	919	$165.1K	330,690	0	+330,690	No	+$3,183	06-25 20:04
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	798	$157.9K	314,511	452	+314,059	No	+$2,816	06-25 23:24
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	1,256	$144.3K	288,132	0	+288,132	No	+$98	06-14 16:57
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?	613	$136.3K	267,574	0	+267,574	No	+$327	07-09 19:59
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	295	$136.0K	272,418	0	+272,418	Spain	-$825	07-14 18:55
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	1,132	$134.4K	266,975	0	+266,975	No	+$92	06-14 16:57
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?	578	$132.9K	260,359	0	+260,359	No	+$162	07-06 18:51
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?	726	$127.6K	248,969	0	+248,969	No	+$254	07-06 18:55
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?	308	$126.6K	251,407	0	+251,407	No	-$17	07-18 20:52
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?	253	$125.1K	250,363	0	+250,363	No	-$5	07-15 18:55
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	333	$124.6K	247,126	0	+247,126	Argentina	+$480	07-19 18:59
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?	495	$124.6K	244,101	0	+244,101	No	+$301	07-11 20:59
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?	529	$124.2K	242,996	0	+242,996	Yes	-$5,548	07-07 15:59
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?	326	$121.7K	240,240	0	+240,240	No	+$66	07-09 19:12
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	684	$118.7K	230,401	0	+230,401	No	+$3,275	07-11 20:36
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	368	$118.3K	236,545	0	+236,545	Belgium	+$1,228	07-06 23:59
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?	419	$117.6K	232,927	0	+232,927	No	+$43	07-19 18:53
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?	337	$117.5K	234,495	0	+234,495	No	-$37	07-15 18:56
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	710	$110.0K	219,475	0	+219,475	England	+$604	07-11 20:56
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	456	$109.3K	217,252	441	+216,811	No	-$83	06-13 22:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 21:58:27	Spread: Vikings (-3.5)	Vikings	BUY	73	25¢	$18	0x11f400…
11-09 21:58:03	Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xea12a2…
11-09 21:58:03	Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x754918…
11-09 21:55:10	Pelicans vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	250	82¢	$205	0x10735c…
11-09 21:54:48	Pacers vs. Mavericks	Pacers	BUY	250	38¢	$95	0xe4c8e6…
11-09 21:47:15	Will Club Aurora win on 2026-11-09?	No	BUY	117	48¢	$56	0xbf3fbc…
11-09 21:45:06	Spread: Warriors (-10.5)	Pelicans	BUY	250	51¢	$128	0xce8ed9…
11-09 21:45:06	Spread: Warriors (-10.5)	Pelicans	BUY	175	52¢	$91	0x91d647…
11-09 21:45:06	Spread: Warriors (-9.5)	Pelicans	BUY	175	47¢	$82	0x2c7fbe…
11-09 21:45:06	Spread: Warriors (-9.5)	Pelicans	BUY	175	48¢	$84	0x21e9da…
11-09 21:45:06	Spread: Warriors (-8.5)	Pelicans	BUY	175	44¢	$77	0x06a153…
11-09 21:45:04	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe9118d…
11-09 21:35:25	Spread: Rockets (-6.5)	Nuggets	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x75acb9…
11-09 21:34:51	Wizards vs. Pistons	Wizards	BUY	87	18¢	$16	0x731d93…
11-09 21:34:46	Wizards vs. Pistons	Wizards	BUY	163	18¢	$29	0xcc11f2…
11-09 21:33:52	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	188	47¢	$88	0x2c72f2…
11-09 21:31:25	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	57	47¢	$27	0x2520f0…
11-09 21:30:39	Will Club Aurora win on 2026-11-09?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x2165c3…
11-09 21:24:48	Spread: Bills (-5.5)	Vikings	BUY	250	57¢	$142	0x2dbc77…
11-09 21:24:07	Will Italy vs. France end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xcd3f77…
11-09 21:22:49	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	BUY	250	76¢	$190	0xf12054…
11-09 21:20:10	Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x2cb092…
11-09 21:19:36	Spread: Spurs (-7.5)	Spurs	BUY	175	54¢	$94	0xeb842b…
11-09 21:19:28	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Nuggets	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x307a19…
11-09 21:19:06	Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	250	46¢	$115	0x4e5d1a…
11-09 21:17:54	Spread: Warriors (-10.5)	Warriors	BUY	83	46¢	$38	0x8040c0…
11-09 21:17:37	Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5	Over	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0x251c6d…
11-09 21:17:25	Pelicans vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5	Over	BUY	175	48¢	$84	0x02ca6a…
11-09 21:12:00	Spread: Hawks (-1.5)	Lakers	BUY	250	49¢	$122	0x60cfa1…
11-09 21:10:06	Spread: Bills (-4.5)	Vikings	BUY	250	54¢	$135	0x446c23…
11-09 21:07:18	Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	250	45¢	$112	0x4b477d…
11-09 21:06:52	Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x376065…
11-09 21:06:49	Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xf0eab3…
11-09 21:05:52	Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5	Over	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x8c927e…
11-09 21:05:43	Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5	Under	BUY	175	47¢	$82	0xfce1e4…
11-09 21:05:30	Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x6cf4b2…
11-09 21:04:51	Spread: Hawks (-1.5)	Hawks	BUY	175	50¢	$88	0x042344…
11-09 21:03:45	Spread: Warriors (-9.5)	Pelicans	BUY	175	49¢	$86	0x7b229c…
11-09 21:03:42	Pacers vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5	Under	BUY	175	48¢	$84	0x83365a…
11-09 21:03:28	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Nuggets	BUY	104	50¢	$52	0xcb8fce…
11-09 21:03:13	Will Club Aurora win on 2026-11-09?	No	BUY	46	48¢	$22	0xcaf7a3…
11-09 21:03:10	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Nuggets	BUY	169	51¢	$86	0x253f96…
11-09 20:59:42	Lakers vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	250	53¢	$132	0x15c045…
11-09 20:50:30	Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5	Under	BUY	175	49¢	$86	0xb989d8…
11-09 20:49:57	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Rockets	BUY	149	48¢	$72	0xc97951…
11-09 20:45:48	Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)	Pacers	BUY	250	44¢	$110	0x9003fe…
11-09 20:45:19	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Vikings	BUY	250	51¢	$128	0x500682…
11-09 20:45:10	Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x1d95f9…
11-09 20:39:25	Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5	Under	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0xd273c2…
11-09 20:31:19	Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x03080a…
11-09 20:30:25	Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	134	45¢	$60	0xfefe4e…
11-09 20:29:30	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Vikings	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x1c5233…
11-09 20:27:40	Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0x990bea…
11-09 20:26:42	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Vikings	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x44f5d2…
11-09 20:24:00	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Vikings	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0x8b45ea…
11-09 20:17:40	Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5	Over	BUY	53	45¢	$24	0x85c6a2…
11-09 20:15:24	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Hornets	BUY	175	49¢	$86	0x9ecd2e…
11-09 20:14:49	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x918905…
11-09 20:14:18	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Rockets	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x118949…
11-09 20:13:15	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Vikings	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x174ad7…
11-09 20:10:52	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Rockets	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x60e84b…
11-09 20:10:00	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb84f63…
11-09 20:09:36	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Vikings	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb55e19…
11-09 20:09:31	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbb654d…
11-09 20:09:28	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	227	47¢	$107	0x8ca33d…
11-09 20:09:15	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x13e3f1…
11-09 20:09:12	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	223	47¢	$105	0xaf5d2c…
11-09 20:08:30	Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5	Under	BUY	175	50¢	$88	0xe3f18e…
11-09 20:07:07	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	BUY	250	77¢	$192	0xcac98d…
11-09 20:06:48	Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x8882b0…
11-09 20:06:21	Spread: Hawks (-2.5)	Hawks	BUY	175	47¢	$82	0x2e9f5d…
11-09 20:03:42	Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)	Mavericks	BUY	250	47¢	$118	0xa84ba0…
11-09 20:01:01	Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x5590d4…
11-09 20:00:04	Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x37a499…
11-09 19:57:49	Grizzlies vs. Raptors	Grizzlies	BUY	42	44¢	$18	0x429f6d…
11-09 19:57:45	Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xa10afb…
11-09 19:56:30	Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)	Hornets	BUY	41	46¢	$19	0xddcffb…
11-09 19:56:28	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Hawks	BUY	77	57¢	$44	0x8f4744…
11-09 19:56:10	Grizzlies vs. Raptors	Grizzlies	BUY	125	44¢	$55	0xc3fa96…
11-09 19:55:24	Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)	Hornets	BUY	62	46¢	$29	0xa8cf56…
11-09 19:54:24	Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)	Pacers	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x12abfb…
11-09 19:50:09	Will Belgium win on 2026-11-12?	No	BUY	138	48¢	$66	0xa7f393…
11-09 19:49:58	Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5	Under	BUY	95	52¢	$49	0x248f10…
11-09 19:46:27	Will Belgium win on 2026-11-12?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x4b01b8…
11-09 19:44:45	Spread: Bills (-7.5)	Vikings	BUY	250	67¢	$168	0x491c94…
11-09 19:44:33	Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)	Hornets	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xea5ee8…
11-09 19:39:18	Cavaliers vs. Hornets	Cavaliers	BUY	250	75¢	$188	0x7f32af…
11-09 19:38:28	Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Nuggets	BUY	48	54¢	$26	0xc124db…
11-09 19:36:27	Pacers vs. Mavericks	Pacers	BUY	191	39¢	$74	0x15962f…
11-09 19:32:21	Spread: Bills (-2.5)	Vikings	BUY	42	42¢	$18	0xd0fa49…
11-09 19:31:58	Will Italy vs. France end in a draw?	No	BUY	120	75¢	$90	0x45cbe4…
11-09 19:28:18	Lakers vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	250	52¢	$130	0x2f6705…
11-09 19:26:28	Spread: Rockets (-6.5)	Rockets	BUY	175	41¢	$72	0x5267b6…
11-09 19:23:31	Spurs vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	250	22¢	$55	0xb17a8d…
11-09 19:22:28	Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	175	49¢	$86	0x7e847e…
11-09 19:22:06	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Hawks	BUY	162	59¢	$96	0xdae80c…
11-09 19:20:46	Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5	Over	BUY	250	52¢	$130	0x79e94a…
11-09 19:20:43	Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 42.5	Over	BUY	250	58¢	$145	0x647956…
11-09 19:18:51	Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-09?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf21689…
11-09 19:18:37	Spread: Pistons (-10.5)	Pistons	BUY	32	48¢	$15	0xdaa87e…