Realized P&L
-$2.97M
Unrealized P&L
+$23.6K
Hit rate
54.8%
Resolved
155,065
Trades
799,413
lifetime
Volume
$57.2M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$72
Open exposure
$200.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 10-27 12:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Other
80% 38% -$2,731,221
Crypto
14% 48% -$312,906
Sports
6% 47% +$102,079
Politics
1% 41% -$32,476
Tech
0% 33% +$1,129
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 13494 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +53,075 $46,637 98¢ $52.0K +$5,376 10-23 14:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +43,093 $35,462 94¢ $40.5K +$5,046 10-27 12:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +26,377 $14,310 62¢ $16.5K +$2,175 10-25 21:00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +19,972 $12,605 64¢ $12.9K +$277 10-27 02:49
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +23,599 $9,564 44¢ $10.3K +$702 10-27 10:50
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Liquid — +6,683 $3,058 99¢ $6.6K +$3,558 10-27 12:59
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +60,867 $7,509 10¢ $6.2K -$1,331 10-26 21:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +6,349 $4,557 92¢ $5.9K +$1,313 10-27 10:28
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 No +5,778 $4,725 96¢ $5.5K +$823 10-21 23:09
Will Kyoto Sanga FC win on 2026-10-27? Yes — +4,561 $2,740 100¢ $4.6K +$1,817 10-27 12:12
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +5,449 $3,758 76¢ $4.2K +$411 10-27 03:48
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +17,706 $3,012 22¢ $3.8K +$795 10-27 12:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +3,628 $3,373 96¢ $3.5K +$127 10-27 13:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +3,625 $2,916 94¢ $3.4K +$473 10-27 08:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,386 $2,503 76¢ $2.6K +$53 10-26 23:39
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? No +3,487 $2,336 72¢ $2.5K +$157 10-26 12:29
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Xinran Sun — +2,483 $2,093 99¢ $2.5K +$365 10-27 13:07
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2,612 $1,451 90¢ $2.3K +$890 10-26 22:47
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +31,877 $1,649 7¢ $2.2K +$502 10-27 11:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +1,717 $1,366 90¢ $1.6K +$187 10-27 01:43
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +1,794 $1,213 78¢ $1.4K +$196 10-27 03:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,138 $1,401 66¢ $1.4K -$1 10-26 08:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +1,823 $1,448 76¢ $1.4K -$53 10-24 03:16
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +11,000 $1,801 12¢ $1.3K -$536 10-27 12:57
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +1,252 $951 96¢ $1.2K +$245 10-09 20:32
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,105 $1,116 34¢ $1.1K -$45 10-26 11:35
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +18,672 $1,008 4¢ $794 -$215 10-26 08:56
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +9,315 $750 8¢ $769 +$19 10-26 09:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,553 $356 22¢ $764 +$408 10-20 15:14
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +4,897 $917 16¢ $759 -$158 10-27 09:56