Realized P&L
-$2.97M
Unrealized P&L
+$21.9K
Hit rate
54.8%
Resolved
155,025
Trades
798,939
lifetime
Volume
$57.2M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$72
Open exposure
$170.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-09
last 10-27 11:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Other
80% 38% -$2,730,689
Crypto
14% 48% -$313,059
Sports
6% 47% +$102,079
Politics
1% 41% -$32,476
Tech
0% 33% +$1,129
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 13494 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +53,075 $46,637 98¢ $52.0K +$5,376 10-23 14:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +26,377 $14,310 68¢ $17.9K +$3,626 10-25 21:00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +19,972 $12,605 66¢ $13.1K +$477 10-27 02:49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +12,870 $7,101 93¢ $12.0K +$4,869 10-27 02:40
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +23,599 $9,564 44¢ $10.3K +$702 10-27 10:50
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +60,867 $7,509 10¢ $6.2K -$1,331 10-26 21:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +6,349 $4,557 92¢ $5.9K +$1,303 10-27 10:28
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 No +5,778 $4,725 96¢ $5.5K +$823 10-21 23:09
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +18,867 $3,298 28¢ $5.2K +$1,890 10-26 03:02
Will Kyoto Sanga FC win on 2026-10-27? Yes — +4,575 $2,754 100¢ $4.6K +$1,817 10-27 11:59
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +5,449 $3,758 72¢ $4.0K +$193 10-27 03:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +3,608 $3,354 96¢ $3.5K +$127 10-27 08:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +3,625 $2,916 94¢ $3.4K +$473 10-27 08:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,386 $2,503 76¢ $2.6K +$53 10-26 23:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2,612 $1,451 88¢ $2.3K +$836 10-26 22:47
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? No +3,487 $2,336 66¢ $2.3K -$53 10-26 12:29
Ningbo: Elias Ymer vs Yi Zhou Yi Zhou +6,062 $2,862 36¢ $2.2K -$650 10-27 11:56
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage Aurora Gaming +2,647 $1,961 84¢ $2.2K +$249 10-27 11:57
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +31,877 $1,649 7¢ $2.2K +$534 10-27 11:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +1,717 $1,366 90¢ $1.5K +$170 10-27 01:43
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage Nemiga +1,596 $1,036 88¢ $1.4K +$376 10-27 11:42
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +1,794 $1,213 78¢ $1.4K +$196 10-27 03:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,138 $1,401 66¢ $1.4K -$1 10-26 08:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +1,823 $1,448 76¢ $1.4K -$53 10-24 03:16
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +10,993 $1,800 12¢ $1.3K -$536 10-27 09:56
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +1,252 $951 96¢ $1.2K +$257 10-09 20:32
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,105 $1,116 34¢ $1.1K -$45 10-26 11:35
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming — +1,034 $380 97¢ $1.0K +$623 10-27 11:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3,424 $1,117 26¢ $907 -$210 10-27 09:37
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +18,672 $1,008 4¢ $794 -$215 10-26 08:56