Realized P&L
+$3.38M
Unrealized P&L
+$127.6K
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved
2,176
Trades
70,873
lifetime
Volume
$83.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.18K
Open exposure
$4.59M
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 10-26 22:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 186 days
Categories
Sports
40% 71% -$8,147
Other
39% 74% +$3,337,927
Crypto
11% 88% +$47,770
Politics
9% 55% +$5,413
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 584 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,388,866 $2,190,696 92¢ $2.21M +$19,005 10-26 16:42
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +657,276 $592,998 92¢ $601.4K +$8,410 10-26 23:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +395,521 $392,134 99¢ $392.2K +$25 10-26 21:54
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +364,631 $321,120 92¢ $333.6K +$12,517 10-26 23:30
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +373,914 $264,366 86¢ $319.7K +$55,330 09-03 15:57
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +145,342 $99,379 66¢ $95.2K -$4,180 10-26 06:56
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +90,069 $77,151 96¢ $86.5K +$9,315 06-04 03:58
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +85,634 $77,404 98¢ $83.5K +$6,132 06-01 20:14
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +106,846 $82,952 78¢ $83.3K +$388 10-26 23:04
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +55,000 $41,950 96¢ $52.7K +$10,712 09-14 03:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +45,462 $14,585 94¢ $42.5K +$27,922 10-19 04:33
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +43,049 $40,678 98¢ $42.4K +$1,704 06-14 21:14
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +30,877 $29,816 99¢ $30.6K +$798 06-02 19:36
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No +30,000 $28,479 99¢ $29.7K +$1,236 06-14 02:09
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +30,000 $28,830 97¢ $29.2K +$375 07-22 16:27
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +74,833 $23,804 36¢ $26.6K +$2,762 09-14 07:53
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No +25,218 $24,371 99¢ $24.9K +$532 06-16 19:32
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No +19,960 $19,001 99¢ $19.7K +$729 06-07 08:30
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes -2,118,333 -$13,874 1¢ $-18006 -$4,132 10-24 02:23
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11,834 $11,601 100¢ $11.8K +$179 06-02 02:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -31,999 -$12,784 34¢ $-11040 +$1,744 09-27 16:37
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +15,151 $6,979 66¢ $9.9K +$2,945 09-12 16:29
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +8,785 $7,645 87¢ $7.7K +$37 10-26 22:02
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? Yes — +10,291 $5,397 52¢ $5.3K -$97 10-08 12:54
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +6,040 $5,042 84¢ $5.1K +$35 10-26 19:59
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +5,896 $4,889 86¢ $5.1K +$163 10-03 20:07
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +3,274 $3,010 99¢ $3.2K +$225 10-03 16:38
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No -2,133 -$1,829 100¢ $-2130 -$300 05-06 21:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +30,581 $28,959 6¢ $2.0K -$26,971 10-25 04:14
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +1,379 $1,299 100¢ $1.4K +$78 10-03 16:42