Realized P&L (90d)
+$682.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$205.7K
Hit rate
68.7%
Resolved (90d)
490
Trades (90d)
12,684
74,255 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$19.6M
$84.1M lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.13K
Open exposure
$5.81M
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 10-30 09:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 190 days
Categories
Sports
38% 71% +$57,148
Other
37% 75% +$3,338,756
Politics
14% 55% +$5,413
Crypto
11% 88% +$47,770
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1692 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,893,425 $2,658,780 94¢ $2.71M +$46,573 10-30 09:11
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +869,230 $861,889 99¢ $863.6K +$1,691 10-30 06:45
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +553,420 $491,111 94¢ $517.4K +$26,337 10-30 08:58
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +373,914 $264,366 86¢ $323.4K +$59,069 09-03 15:57
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +733,665 $228,678 32¢ $231.1K +$2,426 10-30 03:03
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +219,083 $184,640 94¢ $204.8K +$20,202 10-29 23:36
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +251,907 $168,646 70¢ $175.1K +$6,429 10-28 06:46
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +90,069 $77,151 97¢ $87.1K +$9,990 06-04 03:58
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +85,634 $77,404 98¢ $84.0K +$6,560 06-01 20:14
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +106,846 $82,952 78¢ $82.8K -$146 10-26 23:04
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -314,352 -$81,459 24¢ $-77016 +$4,443 10-30 03:32
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +211,401 $67,468 32¢ $66.6K -$877 10-30 03:03
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +55,000 $41,950 97¢ $53.2K +$11,262 09-14 03:21
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +43,049 $40,678 98¢ $42.4K +$1,704 06-14 21:14
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +590,439 $41,218 6¢ $38.4K -$2,840 10-29 20:45
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +30,877 $29,816 99¢ $30.6K +$798 06-02 19:36
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No +30,000 $28,479 99¢ $29.7K +$1,266 06-14 02:09
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +30,000 $28,830 97¢ $29.2K +$375 07-22 16:27
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +28,698 $28,427 99¢ $28.5K +$99 10-29 21:37
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +74,833 $23,804 36¢ $26.6K +$2,762 09-14 07:53
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No +25,218 $24,371 99¢ $25.0K +$582 06-16 19:32
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No +19,960 $19,001 99¢ $19.7K +$739 06-07 08:30
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes -2,118,333 -$13,874 1¢ $-13769 +$105 10-24 02:23
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +20,000 $12,400 60¢ $12.1K -$300 10-29 23:18
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11,834 $11,601 100¢ $11.8K +$203 06-02 02:37
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +15,151 $6,979 66¢ $10.0K +$3,021 09-12 16:29
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -31,999 -$12,784 30¢ $-9760 +$3,024 09-27 16:37
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? Yes +10,291 $5,397 54¢ $5.5K +$109 10-08 12:54
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +6,040 $5,042 85¢ $5.1K +$83 10-26 19:59
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +5,896 $4,889 84¢ $4.9K +$51 10-03 20:07