Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.04K

Unrealized P&L

-$242

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

2,860

Trades

7,006

lifetime

Volume

$249.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$3.15K

30 positions

First seen

2026-09-28

last 10-26 19:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 42% -$5,635

Other

38% 41% +$12,925

Sports

1% 56% -$218

Politics

0% 0% -$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 720 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No		+1,057	$868	81¢	$857	-$11	10-26 19:16
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes		+8,318	$854	8¢	$640	-$213	10-26 20:36
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes		+373	$256	74¢	$277	+$21	10-26 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	—	+234	$115	98¢	$230	+$115	10-26 20:49
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes		+407	$266	50¢	$201	-$65	10-26 20:46
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes		+949	$165	19¢	$179	+$15	10-26 20:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+130	$111	93¢	$121	+$10	10-23 21:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		+156	$100	66¢	$102	+$2	10-24 21:44
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26?	Yes		+70	$42	100¢	$70	+$27	10-26 20:42
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No		+252	$69	26¢	$65	-$4	10-26 20:20
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	Yes		+39,861	$40	0¢	$60	+$19	10-25 21:08
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes		+62	$24	96¢	$59	+$35	10-26 20:35
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	—	+185	$100	28¢	$51	-$49	10-26 20:41
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1,778	$48	3¢	$47	-$1	10-20 15:34
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes		+39	$23	78¢	$30	+$7	10-26 20:30
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+139	$25	18¢	$24	-$1	10-22 17:21
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	Yes		+5,083	$49	0¢	$23	-$26	10-20 16:09
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes		+8,334	$135	0¢	$21	-$114	10-26 20:01
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No		+12	$12	100¢	$12	$0	10-23 00:20
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+91	$10	12¢	$11	+$1	10-25 20:57
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No		+11	$8	92¢	$10	+$2	10-15 08:11
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	$0	10-23 21:35
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+43	$10	22¢	$9	-$1	10-12 09:31
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes		+16	$6	44¢	$7	+$1	10-26 13:02
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No		+17	$5	29¢	$5	$0	10-26 19:10
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	Yes		+1,943	$12	0¢	$5	-$7	10-21 14:57
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+33	$5	15¢	$5	$0	10-26 07:10
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No		+4	$4	100¢	$4	+$0	10-26 10:45
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No		+4	$4	96¢	$4	+$0	09-28 16:57
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes		+2,500	$10	0¢	$4	-$6	10-19 16:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	96	$33.2K	49,006	46,402	+2,603	Yes	+$11,532	10-25 22:13
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	34	$24.0K	65,371	56,809	+8,562	No	+$3,330	10-25 21:57
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	5	$8.0K	4,416	4,416	+0	Yes	+$805	10-24 12:42
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	5	$4.8K	2,891	2,825	+65	Yes	+$753	10-24 13:23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	15	$4.0K	2,524	2,521	+3	Yes	+$338	10-24 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	7	$3.2K	2,525	2,348	+177	Down	+$550	10-22 17:33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	16	$2.8K	3,269	3,175	+95	No	-$988	10-24 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	8	$2.3K	2,688	2,563	+125	Up	-$309	10-22 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	7	$2.3K	2,334	1,234	+1,100	Up	-$52	10-22 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	8	$2.3K	2,935	602	+2,333	Down	+$316	10-22 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	9	$1.8K	1,915	1,475	+440	Down	-$8	10-22 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$1.5K	2,157	1,157	+1,000	Down	+$496	10-22 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$1.5K	1,342	988	+355	Up	+$469	10-22 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$1.5K	989	985	+4	Down	+$477	10-23 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$1.5K	983	957	+26	Down	+$444	10-22 23:14
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	47	$1.4K	2,899	893	+2,006	open	—	10-26 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$1.2K	967	967	+0	Up	+$216	10-23 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$1.1K	991	986	+4	Up	+$55	10-23 10:45
Will SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	4	$1.0K	606	606	+0	Yes	+$25	10-24 17:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:40 UTC	4	$1.0K	646	532	+114	Up	+$25	10-18 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	10-19 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$999	774	774	+0	Up	+$312	10-22 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	6	$977	1,697	957	+740	Up	-$208	10-22 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$965	725	725	+0	Up	-$35	10-23 11:30
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	38	$949	8,750	421	+8,329	open	—	10-26 20:36
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:45 UTC	1	$900	90,000	0	+90,000	Up	-$900	10-17 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	6	$866	1,025	807	+218	Down	-$220	10-22 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$858	1,378	1,090	+288	Down	-$26	10-22 17:37
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$857	794	794	+0	No	-$143	10-24 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	3	$848	748	616	+132	Up	+$162	10-26 19:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x1d3342…
10-26 20:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	250	45¢	$112	0x91cb8d…
10-26 20:46:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	202	58¢	$117	0x112067…
10-26 20:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	250	36¢	$90	0x49a8cc…
10-26 20:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	170	52¢	$88	0x4c783e…
10-26 20:42:57	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x3b0a4e…
10-26 20:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x852e7b…
10-26 20:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x0a0128…
10-26 20:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0x54140f…
10-26 20:41:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x193ec7…
10-26 20:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2087df…
10-26 20:36:38	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2b346f…
10-26 20:36:20	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x059710…
10-26 20:35:11	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa76c24…
10-26 20:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	94	47¢	$44	0xa3b073…
10-26 20:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	450	97¢	$436	0x8fd9cf…
10-26 20:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	450	67¢	$300	0x02801a…
10-26 20:30:48	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xdc44a4…
10-26 20:30:18	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x3c2a35…
10-26 20:29:06	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1429ce…
10-26 20:28:39	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x38bc50…
10-26 20:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	77	84¢	$65	0x0f47a8…
10-26 20:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x278ef9…
10-26 20:21:20	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5f11fb…
10-26 20:20:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x572b27…
10-26 20:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	83	16¢	$13	0xf79b4a…
10-26 20:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	47	68¢	$32	0x042fb3…
10-26 20:17:47	Will CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	79	11¢	$9	0xccc66e…
10-26 20:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x2ac609…
10-26 20:16:39	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	66	87¢	$57	0xfb815a…
10-26 20:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xcf6753…
10-26 20:14:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,841	7¢	$195	0x40bee8…
10-26 20:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x88ae54…
10-26 20:14:00	Will CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	79	17¢	$13	0x0d67cf…
10-26 20:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	23	69¢	$16	0x18cb2c…
10-26 20:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xeb1790…
10-26 20:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x7c0a86…
10-26 20:08:11	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xcc2409…
10-26 20:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	45	68¢	$31	0xf56917…
10-26 20:06:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xfe40b2…
10-26 20:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x97996f…
10-26 20:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x046ce4…
10-26 20:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa747fe…
10-26 20:01:53	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x8b4331…
10-26 20:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x86ec6a…
10-26 19:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	77	79¢	$61	0x960d71…
10-26 19:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xc16373…
10-26 19:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0x761d95…
10-26 19:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x573f0a…
10-26 19:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x0b68a5…
10-26 19:48:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0x2504d7…
10-26 19:47:32	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x4d38e4…
10-26 19:47:30	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	115	5¢	$6	0xf18fdd…
10-26 19:47:02	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	DENDELE CS	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x458880…
10-26 19:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0x2e8c9d…
10-26 19:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa55cf4…
10-26 19:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0x793a7f…
10-26 19:41:38	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x354138…
10-26 19:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0xd137df…
10-26 19:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	108	50¢	$54	0x492d76…
10-26 19:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x701816…
10-26 19:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x4264fc…
10-26 19:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	616	82¢	$505	0x71ea55…
10-26 19:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x57a7c0…
10-26 19:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xf90e01…
10-26 19:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xb922d2…
10-26 19:30:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	84	77¢	$65	0x24c8a1…
10-26 19:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x13e11b…
10-26 19:24:45	Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x5a4249…
10-26 19:24:32	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6974f2…
10-26 19:24:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	293	89¢	$261	0xe8906e…
10-26 19:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	778	51¢	$400	0x69e8a3…
10-26 19:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	616	52¢	$318	0x5cec3c…
10-26 19:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4eddf3…
10-26 19:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x97fdc4…
10-26 19:20:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd57c44…
10-26 19:19:18	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	584	1¢	$6	0xa24909…
10-26 19:18:24	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	293	51¢	$150	0x2655de…
10-26 19:17:39	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	281	81¢	$227	0x96477c…
10-26 19:17:36	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	182	5¢	$10	0x5d50fa…
10-26 19:17:05	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4156b2…
10-26 19:16:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x90ab52…
10-26 19:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xd42ca4…
10-26 19:15:06	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xc17797…
10-26 19:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc0a547…
10-26 19:14:17	Will FC København win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xc03356…
10-26 19:13:45	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	321	98¢	$314	0xcdb908…
10-26 19:11:32	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x219c6f…
10-26 19:11:27	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	281	51¢	$143	0x5213b7…
10-26 19:10:35	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x8f1b56…
10-26 19:10:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	51	19¢	$10	0xae48d6…
10-26 19:09:47	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	160	63¢	$100	0x767977…
10-26 19:09:27	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	114	58¢	$66	0x900699…
10-26 19:09:15	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0xff4d8b…
10-26 19:08:36	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	DENDELE CS	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xb9f428…
10-26 19:08:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8ad2b9…
10-26 19:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7e9b28…
10-26 19:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x470e28…
10-26 19:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	31	95¢	$30	0x26350a…
10-26 19:03:39	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x977288…