Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$1.58K

Unrealized P&L

-$714

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved (24h)

279

Trades (24h)

803

7,167 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$18.0K

$254.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$1.91K

30 positions

First seen

2026-09-28

last 10-26 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 42% -$5,949

Other

38% 40% +$12,964

Sports

1% 56% -$218

Politics

0% 0% -$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 783 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+1,025	$836	100¢	$1.0K	+$188	10-26 23:01
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+308	$190	100¢	$308	+$118	10-26 23:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+130	$111	93¢	$121	+$10	10-23 21:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+156	$100	66¢	$102	+$2	10-24 21:44
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	Yes	+39,861	$40	0¢	$60	+$19	10-25 21:08
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,778	$48	3¢	$47	-$1	10-20 15:34
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+25,000	$30	0¢	$38	+$8	10-26 22:36
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+139	$25	18¢	$24	-$1	10-22 17:21
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	Yes	+5,083	$49	0¢	$23	-$26	10-20 16:09
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	+30	$12	70¢	$21	+$9	10-26 21:30
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	+12	$12	100¢	$12	$0	10-23 00:20
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+91	$10	12¢	$11	+$1	10-25 20:57
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+11	$8	100¢	$11	+$3	10-15 08:11
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	+10	$10	100¢	$10	$0	10-23 21:35
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+6,333	$11	0¢	$10	-$2	10-26 21:35
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+43	$10	22¢	$9	-$1	10-12 09:31
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+8,954	$902	0¢	$9	-$893	10-26 22:13
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+8,334	$135	0¢	$8	-$127	10-26 20:01
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+16	$6	43¢	$7	+$1	10-26 13:02
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+4,667	$15	0¢	$7	-$8	10-26 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	+14	$7	42¢	$6	-$1	10-27 00:01
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	+5	$5	92¢	$5	+$0	10-27 00:10
Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	+10	$5	50¢	$5	$0	10-26 21:24
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	Yes	+1,943	$12	0¢	$5	-$7	10-21 14:57
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+33	$5	15¢	$5	$0	10-26 07:10
Pacers vs. Bucks	Pacers	+8	$5	56¢	$5	$0	10-26 21:23
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	+10	$5	46¢	$4	-$1	10-26 21:27
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	+4	$4	100¢	$4	+$0	10-26 10:45
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+4	$4	96¢	$4	+$0	09-28 16:57
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+2,500	$10	0¢	$4	-$6	10-19 16:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	96	$33.2K	49,006	46,402	+2,603	Yes	+$11,532	10-25 22:13
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	34	$24.0K	65,371	56,809	+8,562	No	+$3,330	10-25 21:57
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	5	$8.0K	4,416	4,416	+0	Yes	+$805	10-24 12:42
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	5	$4.8K	2,891	2,825	+65	Yes	+$753	10-24 13:23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	15	$4.0K	2,524	2,521	+3	Yes	+$338	10-24 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	7	$3.2K	2,525	2,348	+177	Down	+$550	10-22 17:33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	16	$2.8K	3,269	3,175	+95	No	-$988	10-24 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	8	$2.3K	2,688	2,563	+125	Up	-$309	10-22 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	7	$2.3K	2,334	1,234	+1,100	Up	-$52	10-22 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	8	$2.3K	2,935	602	+2,333	Down	+$316	10-22 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	9	$1.8K	1,915	1,475	+440	Down	-$8	10-22 18:14
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	60	$1.6K	3,411	969	+2,443	open	—	10-26 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$1.5K	2,157	1,157	+1,000	Down	+$496	10-22 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$1.5K	1,342	988	+355	Up	+$469	10-22 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$1.5K	989	985	+4	Down	+$477	10-23 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$1.5K	983	957	+26	Down	+$444	10-22 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$1.2K	967	967	+0	Up	+$216	10-23 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$1.1K	991	986	+4	Up	+$55	10-23 10:45
Will SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	4	$1.0K	606	606	+0	Yes	+$25	10-24 17:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:40 UTC	4	$1.0K	646	532	+114	Up	+$25	10-18 07:44
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	46	$1.0K	9,586	620	+8,965	open	—	10-26 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	10-19 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$999	774	774	+0	Up	+$312	10-22 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	6	$977	1,697	957	+740	Up	-$208	10-22 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$965	725	725	+0	Up	-$35	10-23 11:30
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:45 UTC	1	$900	90,000	0	+90,000	Up	-$900	10-17 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	6	$866	1,025	807	+218	Down	-$220	10-22 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$858	1,378	1,090	+288	Down	-$26	10-22 17:37
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$857	794	794	+0	No	-$143	10-24 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	3	$848	748	616	+132	Up	+$162	10-26 19:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	65¢	$27	0x8063fe…
10-27 00:10:05	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdf1671…
10-27 00:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x021ff9…
10-27 00:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xa5e2f7…
10-27 00:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	63	67¢	$43	0x2a0092…
10-27 00:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	63	52¢	$33	0x02de8b…
10-27 00:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	38	71¢	$27	0xaca3e8…
10-27 00:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x75861d…
10-27 00:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x378dd2…
10-27 00:00:53	Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Despina Papamichail	Despina Papamichail	BUY	145	31¢	$45	0x61e763…
10-26 23:58:53	Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Despina Papamichail	Nauhany Leme Da Silva	SELL	49	63¢	$31	0xa75af0…
10-26 23:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	29	81¢	$23	0x3966fb…
10-26 23:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xaad012…
10-26 23:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x8bcb56…
10-26 23:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xd2ec3b…
10-26 23:43:47	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	278	1¢	$3	0xc1e29b…
10-26 23:43:26	Will CR Flamengo vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	190	7¢	$13	0xd92726…
10-26 23:40:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xcef4b7…
10-26 23:38:06	Will CR Flamengo vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0x46497c…
10-26 23:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x2b233e…
10-26 23:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8,000	0¢	$8	0xa6de2e…
10-26 23:09:27	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x29b3a2…
10-26 23:07:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xff40d6…
10-26 23:05:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x0846de…
10-26 23:05:06	Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Despina Papamichail	Nauhany Leme Da Silva	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x6015af…
10-26 23:01:35	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x5662db…
10-26 23:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x76fc67…
10-26 23:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	74	27¢	$20	0x657dc5…
10-26 23:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x8485c5…
10-26 22:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	62	79¢	$49	0x4b10aa…
10-26 22:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x6f0289…
10-26 22:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x271933…
10-26 22:40:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x61251f…
10-26 22:36:06	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0x6c9252…
10-26 22:28:09	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xb79ea6…
10-26 22:27:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0cfa57…
10-26 22:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbe00e1…
10-26 22:26:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	32	25¢	$8	0x2f1f76…
10-26 22:26:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x26e301…
10-26 22:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbc9694…
10-26 22:21:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x854e5c…
10-26 22:18:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x30fa46…
10-26 22:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3b3474…
10-26 22:14:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x5e85eb…
10-26 22:14:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa7942f…
10-26 22:13:45	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xa344b1…
10-26 22:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x009050…
10-26 22:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb29ee9…
10-26 22:12:50	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	17¢	$5	0xeecf73…
10-26 22:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x00ee5e…
10-26 22:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7d5de9…
10-26 22:11:21	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0xfaebf0…
10-26 22:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x340f90…
10-26 22:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xa1c147…
10-26 22:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4b4e9e…
10-26 22:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x0779dd…
10-26 22:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xfb096d…
10-26 22:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	94	87¢	$82	0x6ed781…
10-26 22:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5e274c…
10-26 22:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xb34b20…
10-26 22:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x60a7eb…
10-26 22:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x82f34a…
10-26 22:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x5e2c1c…
10-26 21:58:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x719d1a…
10-26 21:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xfe7ca9…
10-26 21:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x042a1b…
10-26 21:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xcec59f…
10-26 21:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x4bd1e0…
10-26 21:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xecc860…
10-26 21:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xb3bc85…
10-26 21:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	76	92¢	$70	0x0c7b1e…
10-26 21:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3fb227…
10-26 21:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	76	59¢	$45	0xb290dc…
10-26 21:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0x19d66d…
10-26 21:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x7e38d7…
10-26 21:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc52551…
10-26 21:45:08	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x575c2e…
10-26 21:44:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x432c6c…
10-26 21:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x24cf54…
10-26 21:41:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xce5506…
10-26 21:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x56a609…
10-26 21:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x2d840e…
10-26 21:38:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xf1f06a…
10-26 21:38:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0xb1a3c9…
10-26 21:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x51721b…
10-26 21:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x22989b…
10-26 21:37:26	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0xa3cec1…
10-26 21:37:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x8fcdba…
10-26 21:37:08	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	42	8¢	$3	0xb0a82c…
10-26 21:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	39	93¢	$36	0x44e64d…
10-26 21:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	39	75¢	$29	0x71615d…
10-26 21:36:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	94	89¢	$84	0x39f177…
10-26 21:35:30	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x321cbb…
10-26 21:35:20	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xc3de47…
10-26 21:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x0c6a2f…
10-26 21:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3d8709…
10-26 21:31:24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x825f49…
10-26 21:30:54	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xb2eb9a…
10-26 21:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	394	48¢	$189	0x84099a…
10-26 21:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x07271b…