Attentive-Crewman 0xd218e4…2eb5c9
whale cold 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$758.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$63.3K
Hit rate
66.6%
Resolved
121,865
Trades
1,288,000
lifetime
Volume
$88.3M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$710.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 01:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 306 days
Categories
Other
73% 53% -$722,829
Sports
20% 53% -$26,442
Politics
7% 82% +$52,641
Tech
0% 72% -$52,118
Pop-Culture
0% 80% +$9,265
Crypto
0% 51% -$18,813
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 16932 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +74,342 $23,915 100¢ $74.3K +$50,426 10-27 23:44
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +60,731 $60,559 100¢ $60.6K +$81 10-27 20:01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +62,497 $56,019 90¢ $56.5K +$447 10-28 16:17
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +56,256 $38,580 76¢ $43.0K +$4,456 10-16 16:15
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +92,861 $36,219 42¢ $38.5K +$2,318 10-29 22:46
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +63,034 $32,539 58¢ $36.9K +$4,336 10-28 15:13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +25,165 $23,224 94¢ $23.8K +$557 10-29 15:17
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +100,167 $33,970 24¢ $23.5K -$10,431 10-29 10:52
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +19,821 $19,653 100¢ $19.8K +$138 09-04 12:46
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +19,744 $19,675 100¢ $19.7K +$40 09-04 12:46
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +19,774 $18,698 98¢ $19.4K +$710 10-31 01:18
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +19,503 $17,803 99¢ $19.4K +$1,555 09-04 12:46
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +20,054 $18,583 94¢ $18.8K +$167 10-31 00:25
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +18,829 $18,309 100¢ $18.7K +$436 09-04 12:46
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +75,519 $25,037 24¢ $17.7K -$7,290 10-16 16:15
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +18,231 $17,364 92¢ $16.8K -$546 10-28 22:54
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +22,334 $18,456 74¢ $16.4K -$2,040 10-28 05:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +15,915 $8,753 100¢ $15.9K +$7,138 10-27 19:36
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +17,677 $12,961 86¢ $15.3K +$2,330 10-25 11:35
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +15,074 $12,084 100¢ $15.1K +$2,990 10-28 03:10
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +21,982 $15,810 68¢ $15.0K -$786 10-28 00:12
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +14,467 $14,427 100¢ $14.4K +$11 10-25 11:35
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +14,471 $13,876 100¢ $14.4K +$530 10-25 11:35
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +14,467 $14,368 99¢ $14.4K +$5 10-25 11:35
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +14,466 $14,300 99¢ $14.4K +$58 10-25 11:35
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No — +14,105 $14,052 100¢ $14.1K +$32 08-03 15:33
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +14,467 $13,606 96¢ $13.9K +$268 10-25 11:35
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +14,467 $13,356 93¢ $13.4K +$48 10-25 11:35
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +19,029 $7,639 70¢ $13.2K +$5,586 10-30 05:42
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +13,707 $13,454 96¢ $13.2K -$234 10-25 11:35