Realized P&L
+$40.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.39K
Hit rate
55.4%
Resolved
33,930
Trades
474,902
lifetime
Volume
$64.7M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$136
Open exposure
$587.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 10-27 01:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Other
60% 42% +$571,032
Sports
39% 51% -$436,713
Politics
1% 46% -$55,706
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$39,250
Crypto
0% 67% +$1,414
Tech
0% 67% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 9651 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +74,390 $53,604 94¢ $69.9K +$16,323 10-23 11:08
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +182,543 $61,687 34¢ $63.0K +$1,291 10-26 21:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +67,207 $47,957 94¢ $62.8K +$14,882 10-26 18:02
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +157,588 $55,880 34¢ $52.8K -$3,088 10-24 22:25
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +60,570 $39,207 66¢ $40.3K +$1,072 10-26 22:15
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +110,171 $33,266 32¢ $34.7K +$1,438 10-26 23:22
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) Warriors +37,343 $19,369 71¢ $26.5K +$7,145 10-26 21:35
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +79,872 $24,394 32¢ $25.6K +$1,166 10-26 21:14
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +30,709 $19,875 66¢ $20.1K +$240 10-26 22:56
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +57,382 $19,573 34¢ $19.8K +$224 10-26 20:52
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +27,152 $16,372 68¢ $18.6K +$2,227 10-25 19:57
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +52,195 $17,872 34¢ $18.0K +$136 10-25 19:13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +24,454 $18,175 74¢ $18.0K -$201 10-25 23:56
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +56,779 $15,326 26¢ $15.0K -$280 10-26 23:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +169,305 $30,820 6¢ $10.2K -$20,661 10-26 23:18
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +28,325 $10,465 34¢ $9.8K -$693 10-23 17:28
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +13,745 $9,412 66¢ $9.0K -$409 10-23 22:38
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +15,300 $8,784 57¢ $8.8K +$13 10-26 15:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +133,490 $13,919 6¢ $8.7K -$5,242 10-26 13:55
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11,518 $7,090 66¢ $7.5K +$455 10-21 00:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +32,342 $14,774 22¢ $7.0K -$7,821 10-26 15:52
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +6,375 $5,384 96¢ $6.1K +$714 10-16 20:41
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +18,117 $5,811 32¢ $5.7K -$104 10-25 22:26
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,520 $5,619 74¢ $5.5K -$91 10-24 17:53
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +62,816 $5,666 8¢ $5.3K -$327 10-25 20:24
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,223 $4,521 68¢ $4.9K +$427 10-25 15:14
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +18,795 $3,992 22¢ $4.2K +$237 10-26 16:50
Grizzlies vs. Jazz Jazz +8,138 $4,174 42¢ $3.5K -$716 10-26 19:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +38,820 $3,337 8¢ $3.3K -$38 10-22 21:01
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +9,771 $3,010 32¢ $3.1K +$67 10-24 00:05