Realized P&L
+$4.62K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.70K
Hit rate
73.2%
Resolved
223
Trades
941
lifetime
Volume
$162.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$172
Open exposure
$4.40K
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 11-03 04:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Politics
51% 52% -$999
Other
38% 48% +$256
Tech
5% 60% +$3,727
Sports
3% 40% +$591
Crypto
2% 40% +$1,041
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,000 $2,780 74¢ $3.0K +$182 10-27 20:05
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,302 $485 40¢ $521 +$36 11-05 19:47
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +769 $310 60¢ $465 +$155 10-01 15:47
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +800 $352 12¢ $98 -$254 09-17 14:04
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +108 $13 88¢ $95 +$82 11-02 03:11
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +4,624 $3,190 1¢ $60 -$3,130 10-22 14:27
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? Yes +962 $79 6¢ $53 -$26 10-28 13:55
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Yes +800 $56 4¢ $36 -$20 10-28 13:54
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +2,014 $435 2¢ $33 -$402 07-25 03:01
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +619 $192 3¢ $19 -$173 09-14 02:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +17 $16 100¢ $17 +$1 11-03 03:49
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +135 $50 12¢ $17 -$33 08-12 20:40
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? Yes +64 $15 11¢ $7 -$8 10-05 07:41
Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +210 $9 2¢ $5 -$4 10-31 02:38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +429 $33 1¢ $4 -$29 09-23 17:04
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? Yes +38 $3 7¢ $3 +$0 09-14 20:35
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027? Yes — +153 $39 0¢ $1 -$38 10-25 01:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +70 $35 0¢ $0 -$35 11-03 02:15