Glossy-Insolence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$800

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

Trades

825

lifetime

Volume

$67.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-01 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

59% 80% +$922

Other

31% 50% $-122

Sports

7% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?	18	$7.1K	4,254	4,174	+80	open	—	04-13 05:35
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	59	$4.4K	4,792	4,792	+0	open	—	05-15 17:05
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	9	$4.4K	2,222	2,222	+0	open	—	01-31 20:10
will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	6	$4.2K	3,277	2,000	+1,277	open	—	02-25 02:43
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 16 million 278	12	$3.7K	2,291	2,291	+0	open	—	02-16 04:40
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	17	$3.1K	4,211	2,021	+2,190	open	—	04-28 03:59
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	8	$2.1K	1,445	1,445	+0	open	—	02-16 04:11
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals amad diallo gte1	1	$2.1K	2,343	0	+2,343	open	—	06-30 16:23
will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx	27	$1.7K	1,086	1,086	+0	open	—	02-06 20:02
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	26	$1.6K	1,365	1,365	+0	open	—	05-15 17:06
Will Donald Trump visit Delaware in 2026?	20	$1.5K	1,849	0	+1,849	open	—	03-06 19:18
will the announcers say ronaldo during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548690	1	$1.3K	1,313	0	+1,313	open	—	06-23 17:02
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	28	$1.2K	1,963	0	+1,963	open	—	07-01 17:36
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$1.1K	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	03-25 19:17
will trump say kevin or warsh during fed chair announcement	18	$919	1,236	0	+1,236	open	—	01-30 16:32
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	36	$898	1,747	0	+1,747	open	—	05-15 03:17
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$797	1,095	0	+1,095	open	—	05-15 06:00
will christian hubicki be voted off survivor season 50 this week 658	5	$773	1,004	10	+993	open	—	04-21 20:43
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	4	$699	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-25 18:33
will trump say too late during fed chair announcement	5	$667	965	0	+965	open	—	01-30 15:34
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during address to the nation	2	$588	600	0	+600	open	—	04-02 00:46
will powell say median during january press conference 776	8	$553	900	0	+900	open	—	01-28 19:27
will powell say dollar 2 times during march press conference	3	$477	912	0	+912	open	—	03-18 18:19
will the announcers say triangle or guillotine during strickland vs hernandez	7	$444	1,092	0	+1,092	open	—	02-22 05:58
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?	3	$443	650	0	+650	open	—	05-27 18:00
will sinners win 3 or fewer awards at the oscars	2	$430	719	0	+719	open	—	03-16 02:02
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during fed chair announcement	6	$428	456	0	+456	open	—	01-30 15:31
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte2	8	$423	526	0	+526	open	—	07-01 17:43
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	6	$417	884	0	+884	No	+$467	05-07 17:44
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	14	$416	795	0	+795	open	—	05-15 04:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 17:43:50	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte2	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x6c3109…
07-01 17:42:58	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte2	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x8a594f…
07-01 17:41:26	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte2	No	BUY	25	78¢	$19	0x560b96…
07-01 17:41:14	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte2	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x687dd6…
07-01 17:41:13	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte2	No	BUY	68	78¢	$53	0x551fda…
07-01 17:41:08	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte2	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe0e22a…
07-01 17:39:37	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte2	No	BUY	52	80¢	$42	0xff73c0…
07-01 17:36:05	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	34	75¢	$26	0xafa9c3…
07-01 17:35:28	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xe4e34a…
07-01 17:34:55	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	413	76¢	$314	0xb40e6a…
07-01 17:34:13	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0xe1998d…
07-01 17:19:56	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xeb22b4…
07-01 17:18:56	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	250	63¢	$158	0x4ec6b5…
07-01 17:16:19	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	250	58¢	$145	0x4d2e55…
07-01 17:14:31	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x09be5b…
07-01 17:13:25	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1598e5…
07-01 17:13:17	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x47e9be…
07-01 17:13:13	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xb8f964…
07-01 17:11:44	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte2	No	BUY	24	90¢	$21	0x05e87b…
07-01 17:00:02	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	300	59¢	$178	0x67a0f2…
07-01 16:54:50	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xc186ba…
07-01 16:17:05	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1d3b26…
07-01 16:16:56	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xf55060…
07-01 16:16:37	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x028c9a…
07-01 16:16:04	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xdd9658…
07-01 16:15:44	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd443d6…
07-01 16:15:19	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x049f7a…
07-01 16:15:13	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xebe6e6…
07-01 16:14:34	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3f4986…
07-01 16:14:07	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x07b530…
07-01 16:13:56	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xed4500…
07-01 16:13:56	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	89	44¢	$39	0x1e6eb5…
07-01 16:13:38	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xe7e9d8…
07-01 16:13:38	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x9f3e2e…
07-01 16:13:32	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xd51933…
07-01 16:13:23	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	145	44¢	$64	0x81907d…
06-30 16:32:11	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the ivory coast vs norway fifa world cup match 20260629195140039	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x1fd986…
06-30 16:31:17	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the ivory coast vs norway fifa world cup match 20260629195140039	No	BUY	147	86¢	$126	0x3068c2…
06-30 16:23:59	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals amad diallo gte1	No	BUY	2,343	88¢	$2,052	0xf24d56…
06-26 22:55:32	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xe2e3ca…
06-26 22:35:32	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	111	11¢	$12	0xa6a9a1…
06-26 22:20:52	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	550	67¢	$367	0x0785a6…
06-26 20:59:01	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	Yes	BUY	102	29¢	$30	0xc44e22…
06-26 18:45:26	will the announcers say captain during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250625	No	BUY	107	26¢	$28	0x013a71…
06-26 18:41:13	will the announcers say viking during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250618	No	BUY	152	15¢	$23	0x35ab33…
06-25 19:49:35	will the match not air 20260623182415042	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xfb72e0…
06-25 19:47:41	will the announcers say assist during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859856	No	BUY	300	43¢	$129	0x77fe21…
06-23 17:02:29	will the announcers say ronaldo during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548690	Yes	BUY	1,313	100¢	$1,312	0x702680…
06-22 18:57:28	will the announcers say handball during the argentina vs austria fifa world cup match 20260619205628595	Yes	BUY	197	98¢	$193	0x6cab5d…
06-22 18:30:26	will the announcers say assist during the argentina vs austria fifa world cup match 20260619205628601	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x367b22…
06-22 18:29:07	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs austria fifa world cup match 20260619205628604	No	BUY	213	65¢	$138	0xbc210e…
06-21 15:22:20	will the announcers say handball during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505062	Yes	BUY	121	61¢	$74	0xc00cfd…
06-21 15:19:43	will the announcers say crossbar during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505070	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xf6a511…
06-20 16:05:32	will the announcers say captain during the netherlands vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260618175419619	No	BUY	84	9¢	$7	0xe4155d…
06-20 02:37:59	will the announcers say handball during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914466	No	BUY	55	84¢	$46	0x283993…
06-20 02:37:22	will the announcers say nutmeg meg during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914482	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x6f9aa2…
06-20 02:37:08	will the announcers say what a save during the brazil vs haiti fifa world cup match 20260618174914475	No	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x2d3f5a…
06-19 18:53:17	will the announcers say what a player during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747261	No	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0xb81137…
06-19 18:52:50	will the announcers say ankle during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747256	Yes	BUY	165	29¢	$49	0xdb411b…
06-17 19:40:32	will the announcers say red card during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513562	No	BUY	196	50¢	$98	0xf3305e…
06-17 19:40:25	will the announcers say captain during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513559	No	BUY	262	9¢	$23	0xd50c2e…
06-17 18:37:59	will warsh say jerome or powell during june press conference 20260608181156649	No	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xded662…
06-17 18:27:26	will warsh say balance sheet during june press conference 20260608181156659 154 444 385	No	BUY	80	34¢	$27	0x640c44…
06-17 18:26:14	will warsh say jerome or powell during june press conference 20260608181156649	No	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0xf77087…
06-17 18:02:46	will warsh say balance sheet during june press conference 20260608181156659 154 444 385	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x74f8ea…
06-17 16:22:28	will warsh say balance sheet during june press conference 20260608181156659 154 444 385	No	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0xfcaec9…
06-17 15:27:34	will warsh say jerome or powell during june press conference 20260608181156649	No	BUY	194	34¢	$66	0x4b081e…
06-17 15:26:55	will warsh say balance sheet during june press conference 20260608181156659 154 444 385	No	BUY	41	28¢	$11	0xc2033c…
06-16 19:24:52	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	BUY	187	28¢	$52	0x73e8b7…
06-16 18:50:41	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0xec1590…
06-16 18:00:56	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	432	22¢	$95	0x11c69a…
06-16 15:47:35	will warsh say good afternoon during june press conference 20260608181156653	No	BUY	207	28¢	$58	0xce93f1…
06-14 03:57:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x183063…
06-12 23:41:03	will the announcers say crossbar during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955350	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x397bee…
06-12 23:40:52	will the announcers say what a save during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955349	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x629272…
06-12 17:12:27	will the announcers say what a save during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955349	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x51e95a…
06-12 15:09:30	spacex ipo trading halted for volatility 20260610002021403	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x2194dc…
06-12 14:59:33	will mrbeast say subscriber during his next youtube video 20260609182228666	No	BUY	120	7¢	$8	0x3e49aa…
06-11 03:17:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x94aa37…
06-11 01:07:15	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x4bf25f…
06-10 22:48:12	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	2,000	3¢	$66	0xc36d05…
05-27 18:00:17	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x147609…
05-27 17:59:07	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	66¢	$33	0x225b79…
05-27 17:58:55	Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	559	68¢	$382	0x205581…
05-24 23:06:08	Will Bernie say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" in Maine?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x6dfd7a…
05-24 18:41:53	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x3de7b2…
05-24 02:13:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	76	73¢	$55	0x5b68af…
05-24 01:27:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$145	0xb2fa2a…
05-24 01:18:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	103	65¢	$67	0x13de2f…
05-23 13:13:11	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x0f0b37…
05-22 17:09:02	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	No	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x9fdec4…
05-20 15:18:14	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	267	26¢	$69	0x91c0aa…
05-20 15:17:53	Will Trump say "Transgender" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xf2ec41…
05-20 14:55:37	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	212	57¢	$120	0x05760b…
05-19 20:23:44	Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x77c4dc…
05-19 20:16:32	Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$33	0x2d414c…
05-18 20:23:18	Will Trump say "Insurance" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	No	BUY	175	38¢	$66	0x2b263b…
05-18 17:13:31	Will Trump say "Insurance" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9bf67f…
05-16 19:59:16	Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	59¢	$70	0x8c9860…
05-16 19:47:12	Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xfd945a…