Well-Documented-Peek 0x94bbb8…5fc320
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$157
Unrealized P&L
+$690
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved
5,222
Trades
34,763
lifetime
Volume
$615.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$4.77K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 10-31 00:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 250 days
Categories
Politics
52% 61% +$3,997
Other
38% 51% -$2,946
Sports
6% 52% -$53
Tech
2% 51% -$119
Crypto
1% 44% -$888
Pop-Culture
0% 58% -$147
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 213 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +430 -$3 100¢ $430 +$433 10-28 17:57
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +413 $282 71¢ $293 +$11 10-28 21:24
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +408 $279 70¢ $288 +$9 10-30 17:53
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +372 $237 72¢ $266 +$29 10-26 20:53
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +631 $240 36¢ $229 -$11 10-29 15:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? Yes +234 $217 96¢ $225 +$8 10-29 20:22
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +223 $201 92¢ $206 +$5 10-17 23:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +200 $149 97¢ $194 +$46 10-14 02:46
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat? Yes +479 $175 40¢ $192 +$16 10-27 19:35
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +206 $140 86¢ $177 +$37 08-23 04:25
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +248 $182 70¢ $175 -$7 10-28 19:50
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No +158 $140 92¢ $146 +$6 09-29 19:42
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +454 $104 32¢ $143 +$39 10-07 00:09
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +153 $140 90¢ $138 -$2 08-25 12:10
No one announced as next James Bond? No +170 $135 78¢ $132 -$3 08-28 11:03
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +143 $116 84¢ $119 +$3 09-30 17:20
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +176 $110 65¢ $114 +$4 10-30 10:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +154 $110 74¢ $114 +$4 10-28 19:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +131 $73 86¢ $113 +$40 10-21 16:44
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +158 $113 70¢ $111 -$2 10-30 17:54
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -110 -$87 95¢ $-105 -$18 08-25 21:44
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +150 $63 70¢ $104 +$42 10-30 19:35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +350 $116 30¢ $103 -$13 10-27 23:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +108 $101 93¢ $101 +$0 10-29 16:33
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -105 -$93 94¢ $-99 -$6 08-10 08:05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +690 $78 14¢ $99 +$20 10-28 12:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +183 $88 48¢ $89 +$1 10-31 01:13
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +101 $83 88¢ $89 +$6 08-22 19:08
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +154 $107 56¢ $87 -$20 07-06 01:22
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +333 $75 26¢ $87 +$12 10-21 02:25