Well-Documented-Peek 0x94bbb8…5fc320
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$227
Unrealized P&L
+$242
Hit rate
38.6%
Resolved
37
Trades
22,857
lifetime
Volume
$291.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$1.85K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 06-10 00:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
45% 14% $-243
Other
41% 50% $-47
Sports
10% 100% +$19
Crypto
2% 80% +$44
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 637 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +562 $187 29¢ $160 $-27 06-10 06:48
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -150 $-219 100¢ $-150 +$69 06-07 19:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -145 $-106 80¢ $-115 $-9 06-05 12:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -135 $-109 84¢ $-113 $-4 06-09 16:46
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -92 $-83 94¢ $-86 $-3 06-02 08:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +94 $70 88¢ $83 +$13 06-07 20:53
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +131 $80 60¢ $79 $-1 05-28 04:09
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -109 $-78 72¢ $-78 +$1 06-03 21:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -465 $-162 16¢ $-77 +$85 06-09 14:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +75 $60 92¢ $69 +$10 06-07 19:10
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +78 $60 82¢ $64 +$4 06-04 12:43
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +91 $50 66¢ $60 +$10 06-09 20:10
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +59 $50 96¢ $56 +$6 05-28 21:12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +70 $50 80¢ $56 +$6 06-09 18:43
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes -122 $-54 44¢ $-54 $-1 06-02 14:11
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No +135 $50 40¢ $53 +$3 06-10 00:47
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +67 $54 76¢ $51 $-3 06-09 22:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +56 $49 90¢ $50 +$1 06-08 15:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +69 $50 70¢ $48 $-2 06-09 08:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -53 $-45 82¢ $-44 +$1 06-08 22:22
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +45 $40 96¢ $43 +$3 06-04 06:20
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +45 $39 90¢ $40 +$1 05-30 22:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -60 $-41 64¢ $-38 +$3 06-08 22:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-62 32¢ $-33 +$29 06-08 22:42
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -30 $-35 95¢ $-28 +$7 06-03 07:39
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -251 $-33 10¢ $-25 +$8 06-01 16:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -27 $-50 90¢ $-24 +$25 06-01 15:10
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +30 $22 78¢ $24 +$1 05-28 07:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +24 $22 96¢ $23 +$1 06-08 14:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -176 $-26 12¢ $-22 +$4 05-30 10:15