Realized P&L
+$55
Unrealized P&L
+$297
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
936
lifetime
Volume
$89.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$96
Open exposure
$5.59K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-10 00:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
65% 100% +$55
Other
32%
Sports
1%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,742 92¢ $1.8K +$88 07-02 00:42
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1,000 $830 88¢ $875 +$46 06-20 17:00
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +829 $704 84¢ $692 $-12 07-07 23:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +550 $504 92¢ $503 $-1 06-24 19:27
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +500 $430 88¢ $438 +$8 06-25 22:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +350 $141 78¢ $271 +$130 06-22 12:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +200 $105 96¢ $191 +$86 07-08 19:29
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +200 $144 79¢ $158 +$14 06-27 14:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +110 $96 84¢ $92 $-4 06-22 13:22
US recession by end of 2026? No +100 $89 90¢ $90 +$1 06-25 20:17
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +100 $80 83¢ $83 +$3 06-27 18:02
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +100 $65 80¢ $80 +$15 06-25 21:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +300 $149 22¢ $67 $-81 06-19 18:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +90 $49 60¢ $54 +$4 06-23 01:43
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +50 $31 76¢ $38 +$7 06-27 05:28
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +50 $30 56¢ $28 $-2 06-24 03:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +40 $35 62¢ $25 $-10 06-19 15:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -250 $-22 $-21 +$1 06-22 14:43
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +100 $10 15¢ $15 +$5 07-09 13:35
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +20 $10 66¢ $13 +$3 06-23 03:11
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +1,186 $15 $13 $-2 07-09 16:31
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 06-27 17:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $5 40¢ $4 $-1 06-16 22:56
Will Pitbull perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +153 $2 $1 $-1 07-04 19:45
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +0 $-0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-24 01:24