Realized P&L
+$55
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
435
lifetime
Volume
$48.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$111
Open exposure
$1.64K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-18 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
90% 100% +$55
Other
8%
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +510 $494 97¢ $494 +$1 06-18 16:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +398 $209 64¢ $254 +$45 06-18 18:56
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +227 $202 93¢ $210 +$8 06-18 14:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +210 $164 84¢ $177 +$13 06-17 22:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -195 $-173 90¢ $-176 $-3 06-16 05:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +398 $225 36¢ $143 $-82 06-18 19:12
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -80 $-57 82¢ $-66 $-9 06-17 03:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +20 $18 90¢ $18 $-0 06-16 23:09
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $15 29¢ $14 $-1 06-18 16:33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 06-16 22:45
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +10 $4 99¢ $10 +$6 06-16 21:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 06-16 23:15
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +10 $10 94¢ $9 $-0 06-16 22:57
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 $-0 06-16 21:46
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +10 $10 93¢ $9 $-0 06-17 01:36
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 06-18 16:19
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$0 06-17 00:57
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +7 $7 96¢ $7 +$0 06-17 01:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $5 46¢ $5 $-0 06-16 22:56