Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.93K

Unrealized P&L

+$361

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

253

Trades

1,878

lifetime

Volume

$202.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

$2.78K

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-29 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Politics

51% 70% +$522

Other

41% 75% +$1,551

Sports

5% 68% -$419

Crypto

3% 85% +$284

Tech

0% 75% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+1,000	$712	88¢	$885	+$173	10-28 22:39
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+3,000	$681	25¢	$757	+$76	10-28 20:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+1,000	$479	46¢	$455	-$24	10-28 16:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	+300	$99	92¢	$275	+$176	08-10 23:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-250	-$286	96¢	$-239	+$47	09-09 17:34
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+1,805	$69	4¢	$72	+$4	10-29 07:00
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+2,000	$54	2¢	$49	-$5	10-29 00:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	+300	$149	8¢	$25	-$124	06-19 18:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	-250	-$22	4¢	$-11	+$11	06-22 14:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	-$2	84¢	$8	+$11	08-08 16:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$5	16¢	$2	-$3	06-16 22:56
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	06-24 01:24
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+0	-$29	39¢	$0	+$29	08-11 05:33
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	+0	-$6	95¢	$0	+$6	08-15 11:42
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	+0	$17	18¢	$0	-$17	08-04 22:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	13	$11.9K	6,283	6,783	-500	open	—	09-09 17:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	13	$10.7K	6,469	6,469	+0	open	—	10-27 20:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	50	$10.0K	7,567	8,969	-1,401	Yes	+$148	06-16 15:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	90	$10.0K	7,229	7,230	-1	Yes	-$78	06-17 17:48
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	21	$7.9K	5,640	2,640	+3,000	No	+$222	08-12 22:43
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$30	07-07 01:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	90	$4.8K	5,750	3,375	+2,375	No	+$150	06-29 15:03
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	10	$4.1K	2,700	1,500	+1,200	No	+$72	07-29 17:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	4	$3.8K	3,805	70	+3,735	No	+$112	09-20 19:28
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$3.6K	1,862	1,862	+0	No	+$6	03-31 15:32
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	13	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	08-14 20:35
will graham platner drop out by july 17 974 785 861	17	$3.5K	2,840	1,000	+1,840	Yes	+$28	07-08 20:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	10	$3.5K	1,936	1,936	+0	Yes	+$255	03-01 18:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	13	$3.3K	1,690	1,690	+0	No	+$70	03-31 14:48
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$6	09-10 19:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	3	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$32	08-12 22:07
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	7	$2.9K	53,820	53,820	+0	open	—	08-10 20:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	16	$2.8K	3,492	2,492	+1,000	open	—	10-28 16:35
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	25	$2.5K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	08-10 18:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$2.4K	1,800	800	+1,000	No	+$149	07-19 02:57
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	16	$2.1K	1,806	806	+1,000	open	—	10-28 22:39
No one announced as next James Bond?	24	$2.0K	1,549	549	+1,000	Yes	+$73	06-29 14:38
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$18	07-27 04:34
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	16	$2.0K	2,001	2,001	+0	No	-$20	07-13 10:52
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	14	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$54	07-03 23:45
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	8	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$86	08-12 22:36
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$1.9K	958	958	+0	Yes	-$9	02-28 21:38
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	6	$1.9K	963	963	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 20:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$1.8K	950	950	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 19:47
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	8	$1.8K	1,150	1,100	+50	Yes	+$80	07-20 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:14:22	Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x1a1cf4…
10-29 07:00:10	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7606b8…
10-29 04:51:41	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,756	4¢	$67	0xec35f3…
10-29 04:12:59	Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x78e652…
10-29 00:33:37	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,000	3¢	$52	0x8b6419…
10-28 23:21:40	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0x67d593…
10-28 22:39:05	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	500	89¢	$444	0xccd9ef…
10-28 21:49:13	Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0xb43e18…
10-28 20:56:19	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,000	26¢	$258	0x18d3bd…
10-28 18:44:50	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	265	86¢	$229	0x664847…
10-28 17:39:11	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	139	71¢	$98	0x6416cb…
10-28 17:01:44	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0xa6c8d1…
10-28 16:45:23	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0xe31032…
10-28 16:35:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,000	46¢	$460	0xa0558f…
10-28 16:33:47	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	38	79¢	$30	0x803e94…
10-28 15:00:56	Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	125	15¢	$19	0x5f8939…
10-28 15:00:55	Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	75	15¢	$11	0x07508b…
10-28 04:44:29	Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x7ccae2…
10-28 03:04:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	648	24¢	$155	0xd08e01…
10-28 02:42:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	568	24¢	$133	0x9dbc0c…
10-28 02:39:12	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xd1a61b…
10-28 02:30:18	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	122	59¢	$72	0xa4b516…
10-28 02:29:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	873	22¢	$190	0x81ab58…
10-28 02:28:23	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xdfa82b…
10-28 02:27:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$47	0x2264d8…
10-28 02:26:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xcfe6b4…
10-28 02:23:48	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	97	59¢	$58	0x5f8301…
10-28 02:22:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	643	21¢	$134	0x3b9100…
10-28 02:19:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	357	20¢	$71	0x3e27c0…
10-28 02:18:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	600	55¢	$330	0x874d8f…
10-28 02:15:05	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x9dfbc9…
10-28 02:09:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xeeb1e3…
10-28 02:05:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0x5471ed…
10-28 02:05:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xdf6dce…
10-28 01:57:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,000	47¢	$470	0xba47ad…
10-28 01:50:59	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xc5b075…
10-28 01:47:08	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	No	SELL	700	71¢	$497	0xcc2cc8…
10-28 01:41:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	500	51¢	$255	0x057ce4…
10-28 01:38:45	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	470	2¢	$7	0x76010b…
10-28 01:30:24	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$397	0xbf51aa…
10-27 20:29:02	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	170	32¢	$54	0x848180…
10-27 20:24:23	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	400	81¢	$324	0x181917…
10-27 20:19:51	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0xfb9bbc…
10-27 20:18:36	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	188	80¢	$150	0x47ccd0…
10-27 20:17:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	755	81¢	$612	0x0f83a6…
10-27 20:15:32	Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xba6c4f…
10-27 20:15:23	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xbb4fd0…
10-27 20:12:20	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	225	20¢	$45	0xdc4af3…
10-27 20:12:15	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0xa3fbb3…
10-27 20:11:57	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	132	20¢	$26	0x522dc4…
10-27 20:11:56	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	183	20¢	$37	0x631c64…
10-27 20:10:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	103	16¢	$16	0x765289…
10-27 20:10:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	937	16¢	$150	0xc2bb88…
10-27 20:07:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1,230	20¢	$246	0x678e9f…
10-27 20:06:12	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	41	90¢	$37	0x606075…
10-27 18:28:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0x797308…
10-27 18:24:20	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x04921e…
10-27 17:15:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	500	76¢	$380	0xcbf2bc…
10-27 17:13:41	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x114db6…
10-27 16:09:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	250	21¢	$52	0xfc71c6…
10-27 13:56:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0x8cdc2d…
10-27 13:54:33	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x479f00…
10-27 13:52:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	300	79¢	$237	0x66e74d…
10-27 13:48:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	185	78¢	$144	0x84953e…
10-27 13:48:12	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	127	88¢	$112	0xfaaa36…
10-27 13:47:41	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xfb52d0…
10-26 22:07:18	Will The Democrats win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xe447a5…
10-26 19:51:50	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x6b150b…
10-26 19:51:32	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	334	83¢	$277	0x2a2476…
10-26 19:49:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	250	28¢	$70	0x487c38…
10-26 19:22:17	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0xc6ab4b…
10-26 19:21:30	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x2fec32…
10-26 19:21:21	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xfe31fb…
10-26 19:19:54	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x336155…
10-26 19:19:53	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	31	44¢	$13	0x158827…
10-26 19:19:51	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	31	44¢	$14	0xbd1393…
10-26 19:19:51	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x477065…
10-26 19:07:50	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x1bfe97…
10-26 19:07:44	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x28023d…
10-26 18:59:29	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xe83d63…
10-26 18:59:29	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	35	44¢	$15	0x5d0470…
10-26 18:59:29	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0x54c950…
10-26 18:59:29	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x34365e…
10-26 18:54:36	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	316	81¢	$256	0x93c121…
10-26 18:54:00	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$980	0x91e365…
10-26 18:43:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0x87a0d2…
10-26 18:43:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,242	81¢	$1,816	0x0bf270…
10-26 18:32:48	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	No	SELL	332	69¢	$229	0x079609…
10-25 16:56:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	423	71¢	$300	0xac706c…
10-25 16:54:29	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	309	97¢	$300	0xe37c4d…
10-23 17:33:00	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	309	90¢	$278	0x260e79…
10-22 04:35:51	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	No	BUY	150	57¢	$85	0xef34a4…
10-22 04:35:42	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	No	BUY	243	56¢	$136	0x15746e…
10-16 18:19:50	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 19	No	BUY	819	1¢	$8	0xc8591f…
10-16 18:16:24	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 19	No	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0x87548c…
10-15 23:42:15	Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	No	BUY	439	73¢	$321	0xd2323c…
10-14 20:13:15	will bitcoin dip to 77k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0daadb…
10-14 20:09:51	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x52bfad…
10-12 17:05:17	ilhan omar federally charged by december 31 2026	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x258398…
10-08 16:53:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,469	84¢	$2,914	0x442ae6…