Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
open
Total volume
$6,639
$26,138 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$472,137
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2028-11-07
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 22:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $7 | $4.1K | $4.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| unranked | 28 | $7 | $4.1K | $4.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid-Gland 0xeb75…79aa | No | +1,145 | $1,137 | $1,137 | 1 | 05-05 07:10 |
| Smart-Neuropsychiatry-Foundation 0x7e1b…b731 | No | +943 | $936 | $936 | 1 | 05-05 07:20 |
| Cruel-Strength 0x01f3…9836 | No | +933 | $926 | $926 | 1 | 05-05 07:20 |
| Positive-Crush 0x26a5…5213 | No | +372 | $369 | $369 | 1 | 05-04 22:09 |
| Oval-Gammaray 0xa2e2…da11 | No | +360 | $357 | $357 | 1 | 05-05 18:14 |
| Ruddy-Tachometer 0x251a…9d09 | Yes | +236 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 17:32 |
| Droopy-Exchange 0xb541…67e5 | No | +224 | $222 | $222 | 1 | 05-05 22:04 |
| Worried-Battalion 0xfb3b…907a | Yes | +185 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 16:59 |
| Plastic-Peer 0x52bc…bc12 | No | +93 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 05-04 23:54 |
| Writhing-Chateau 0xc579…02b7 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-05 07:50 |
| Profitable-Authorisation 0x8a3b…2875 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 17:02 |
| Gloomy-Inversion 0x1332…ea6d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 17:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 22:04:42 | Droopy-Exchange 0xb541…67e5 | No | BUY | 224 | 99¢ | $222 | 0x31221e… |
| 05-05 21:10:06 | Vacant-Perp 0x04da…c0b1 | No | SELL | 178 | 99¢ | $177 | 0x26b47d… |
| 05-05 18:38:12 | Grouchy-Incentive 0xe45b…b819 | No | SELL | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0xc8c7e5… |
| 05-05 18:14:42 | Oval-Gammaray 0xa2e2…da11 | No | BUY | 360 | 99¢ | $357 | 0x18134e… |
| 05-05 17:37:36 | Able-Following 0xb046…320f | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xef1b55… |
| 05-05 17:34:40 | Unwilling-Enterprise 0x6ed8…ac75 | Yes | SELL | 260 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xedb0d4… |
| 05-05 17:34:26 | Unwilling-Enterprise 0x6ed8…ac75 | Yes | BUY | 260 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x56b035… |
| 05-05 17:32:48 | Ruddy-Tachometer 0x251a…9d09 | Yes | BUY | 236 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x330499… |
| 05-05 17:29:42 | Fluffy-Browsing 0x57c5…0fbe | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x5480ef… |
| 05-05 17:22:40 | Different-Enclave 0xcf6f…64ee | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x07da93… |
| 05-05 17:12:50 | Gloomy-Inversion 0x1332…ea6d | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x4b0dd8… |
| 05-05 17:02:50 | Profitable-Authorisation 0x8a3b…2875 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x594fbe… |
| 05-05 16:59:58 | Worried-Battalion 0xfb3b…907a | Yes | BUY | 185 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5ab059… |
| 05-05 16:54:38 | Amazing-Cassava 0x462b…3e48 | Yes | SELL | 355 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x12df29… |
| 05-05 16:49:50 | Vivid-Gym 0xed83…fca7 | Yes | SELL | 168 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe30f76… |
| 05-05 16:49:34 | Vivid-Gym 0xed83…fca7 | Yes | BUY | 168 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x679a2e… |
| 05-05 12:10:32 | White-March 0x0835…305e | No | SELL | 153 | 99¢ | $152 | 0x31b6c1… |
| 05-05 10:35:22 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x2afd12… |
| 05-05 10:00:24 | Hilarious-Wall 0xb42e…5fa4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6584e0… |
| 05-05 07:56:02 | Steep-Vaccine 0xe693…18e2 | No | SELL | 233 | 99¢ | $231 | 0x10d50e… |
| 05-05 07:50:02 | Writhing-Chateau 0xc579…02b7 | No | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x30efdb… |
| 05-05 07:20:56 | Smart-Neuropsychiatry-Foundation 0x7e1b…b731 | No | BUY | 943 | 99¢ | $936 | 0xc2065b… |
| 05-05 07:20:50 | Cruel-Strength 0x01f3…9836 | No | BUY | 933 | 99¢ | $926 | 0xb708f5… |
| 05-05 07:10:14 | Vivid-Gland 0xeb75…79aa | No | BUY | 1,145 | 99¢ | $1,137 | 0xd27813… |
| 05-05 06:35:12 | Wry-Asset 0x2b6c…bef8 | No | SELL | 176 | 99¢ | $175 | 0x4441dd… |
| 05-05 06:15:42 | Lawful-Guarantee 0xbc54…cb1a | No | SELL | 189 | 99¢ | $188 | 0xce44e5… |
| 05-05 05:00:46 | Darling-Tract 0xeccb…991d | No | SELL | 1,327 | 99¢ | $1,316 | 0x8e09f7… |
| 05-05 03:45:04 | Needy-Scripture 0xc165…99fa | No | SELL | 248 | 99¢ | $246 | 0x321528… |
| 05-04 23:54:58 | Plastic-Peer 0x52bc…bc12 | No | BUY | 93 | 99¢ | $92 | 0xd40bf9… |
| 05-04 22:09:54 | Positive-Crush 0x26a5…5213 | No | BUY | 372 | 99¢ | $369 | 0x05c8b2… |