Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614b5…d8d217
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
205
lifetime
Volume
$826
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$270
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 06-28 18:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
48% — —
Politics
27% — —
Tech
22% — —
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No -50 $-49 100¢ $-50 $-1 05-30 01:55
New pandemic in 2026? No -35 $-32 90¢ $-32 $-0 06-25 23:16
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -22 $-22 100¢ $-22 $-0 06-02 05:47
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 06-28 18:46
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? No -11 $-11 99¢ $-11 +$0 06-11 19:05
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +11 $11 100¢ $11 +$0 06-26 04:37
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $-0 06-23 10:53
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30? Yes +3,673 $11 0¢ $7 $-4 06-16 11:07
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No -7 $-7 100¢ $-7 $-0 06-12 07:18
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -7 $-7 100¢ $-7 $-0 06-04 13:29
Pershing Square acquires Universal Music Group by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-02 15:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-27 14:37
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-25 09:39
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-24 16:26
Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-24 16:29
Anthropic CEO arrested? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-21 20:51
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 05-31 15:34
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-20 03:37
Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-24 01:18
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-21 16:18
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 09:27
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 06-24 01:18
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 06-18 03:48
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 06-23 09:45
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $-0 06-24 00:33
Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 06-23 09:45
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 06-27 15:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 06-12 06:23
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -4 $-4 100¢ $-4 $-0 06-04 07:50
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -4 $-4 94¢ $-4 $-0 06-20 12:36