Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
88
lifetime
Volume
$331
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$144
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 06-09 23:10
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
36%
Politics
31%
Tech
31%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No -50 $-49 99¢ $-50 $-0 05-30 01:55
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -22 $-22 99¢ $-22 $-0 06-02 05:47
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -9 $-9 99¢ $-9 +$0 06-06 22:43
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -7 $-7 99¢ $-7 $-0 06-04 13:29
Pershing Square acquires Universal Music Group by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-02 15:51
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-07 12:08
Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 09:27
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 05-31 15:34
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 06-05 10:37
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -4 $-4 99¢ $-4 +$0 06-04 07:50
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No -4 $-4 97¢ $-4 $-0 06-08 00:06
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? Yes +619 $8 $4 $-4 05-29 08:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $4 68¢ $4 $-0 06-05 10:55
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 06-05 16:33
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -4 $-3 82¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 16:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 05-28 10:37
Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-01 04:09
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? No -2 $-2 95¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 00:28
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +8 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 06-07 20:41
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 25¢ $-1 $-0 06-09 23:10
Will Iraq recognize Israel by June 30? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 06-05 15:49