Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614b5…d8d217
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
561
lifetime
Volume
$2.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$181
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-24
last 07-20 17:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
61% — —
Politics
20% — —
Tech
16% — —
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +61 $37 55¢ $33 $-3 07-14 17:50
New pandemic in 2026? No -13 $-11 94¢ $-13 $-1 07-18 10:56
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +21 $13 58¢ $12 $-0 07-14 12:06
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +12 $11 92¢ $11 $-0 07-17 20:05
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 $-0 07-08 17:26
Trump out as President before 2027? No +8 $8 92¢ $8 $-0 07-16 17:09
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 $-0 07-14 18:49
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +11 $6 55¢ $6 $-0 07-09 12:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $3 99¢ $5 +$2 07-19 07:42
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-27 15:21
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 07-09 12:40
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-16 17:12
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 07-12 17:55
ECB rate cut in 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 07-13 08:23
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 07-16 07:59
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No +5 $5 88¢ $5 $-0 07-19 08:16
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +5 $5 86¢ $4 $-0 07-15 11:24
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -4 $-4 94¢ $-4 $-0 07-20 01:27
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $-0 07-14 17:50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -4 $-3 93¢ $-4 $-1 06-01 16:21
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $-0 07-14 17:50
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 07-14 17:50
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 $-0 07-07 07:29
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +4 $4 84¢ $3 $-0 07-14 17:50
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes -7 $-1 48¢ $-3 $-2 07-17 20:32
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 07-07 07:29
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $-0 07-07 07:29
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $-0 07-14 17:50
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 07-07 07:29
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 +$0 07-07 07:29