ECB rate cut in 2026?
open
Total volume
$154
$250 in 24h
Trades
20
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$1,781
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-18 17:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $22 | $22 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $5 | $3 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 3 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $23 | $23 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 3 | $12 | $1 | +$11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | +27 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-18 17:08 |
| Electric-Guarantee 0xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | +26 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 22:20 |
| Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-16 23:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 22:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xa86c…f494 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 23:23 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-29 00:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 17:08:47 | (anonymous) 0x7ed4…78ae | No | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x5cd463… |
| 06-18 17:08:47 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x5cd463… |
| 06-17 22:20:08 | (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x67b862… |
| 06-17 22:20:08 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x67b862… |
| 06-17 22:20:02 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 26 | 81¢ | $21 | 0xac37b0… |
| 06-17 22:20:02 | Electric-Guarantee 0xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xac37b0… |
| 06-16 23:23:08 | Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xa1b0ac… |
| 06-16 23:23:08 | (anonymous) 0xa86c…f494 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xa1b0ac… |
| 06-15 09:34:46 | (anonymous) 0x8a7e…d2c6 | No | SELL | 2 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x426380… |
| 06-15 09:34:46 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | SELL | 2 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x426380… |
| 06-15 04:45:39 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x61ae7a… |
| 06-15 04:45:39 | Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x61ae7a… |
| 06-11 22:15:22 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xbdd4e3… |
| 06-11 22:15:22 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0xbdd4e3… |
| 06-06 10:39:33 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | SELL | 87 | 15¢ | $13 | 0xe14fc3… |
| 06-06 10:39:33 | Complex-Childhood 0x7a45…4eec | No | SELL | 87 | 85¢ | $74 | 0xe14fc3… |
| 06-05 04:03:52 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x62bb25… |
| 06-05 04:03:52 | Defenseless-Spat 0x834b…089a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x62bb25… |
| 05-29 00:07:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x749b8b… |
| 05-29 00:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x7ed4…78ae | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x749b8b… |