ECB rate cut in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,800
$250 in 24h
Trades
98
Unique wallets
40
Liquidity
$1,781
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-19 15:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-15.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $807
vs crowd: 15% YES on $1.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $2 | $70 | $67 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | — | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $230 | $115 | +$115 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $5 | $94 | $89 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $807 | $807 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $32 | $90 | $58 |
| Median | 6 | $2 | $23 | $20 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $232 | $232 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $36 | $103 | $67 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 16 | $167 | $86 | +$81 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive-Plunger 0x0ffc…8236 | No | +906 | $797 | $797 | 1 | 07-18 20:11 |
| Complex-Expansionism 0xa6f2…1255 | Yes | +800 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 07-18 20:11 |
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +305 | $26 | $110 | 22 | 07-19 15:57 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | +228 | $191 | $191 | 4 | 07-01 07:50 |
| Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | +224 | $36 | $36 | 4 | 06-27 09:15 |
| Electric-Guarantee 0xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | +146 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 07-05 06:24 |
| Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | No | +100 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 07-14 07:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x765f…1508 | No | +67 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-18 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x8069…e81d | No | +50 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 06-27 09:15 |
| Mean-Outfielder 0xf3ac…f23d | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-18 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e18…763b | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-14 19:13 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-14 19:13 |
| Scientific-Chair 0x461e…ec51 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 07:27 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-13 21:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-18 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4ad…37b6 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 07:50 |
| Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-13 08:23 |
| Rotating-Flanker 0xc677…677a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-27 09:19 |
| Relieved-Return 0x8f20…875c | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 18:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 22:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-05 14:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 15:57:25 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x02672a… |
| 07-19 15:57:25 | (anonymous) 0xf3de…a103 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x02672a… |
| 07-18 20:11:55 | (anonymous) 0x765f…1508 | No | BUY | 67 | 90¢ | $60 | 0x58c370… |
| 07-18 20:11:55 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 10¢ | $7 | 0x58c370… |
| 07-18 20:11:51 | Mean-Outfielder 0xf3ac…f23d | No | BUY | 33 | 90¢ | $30 | 0x0eb3cf… |
| 07-18 20:11:51 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x0eb3cf… |
| 07-18 20:11:49 | Defensive-Plunger 0x0ffc…8236 | No | BUY | 906 | 88¢ | $797 | 0x30c6c8… |
| 07-18 20:11:49 | Complex-Expansionism 0xa6f2…1255 | Yes | BUY | 795 | 12¢ | $95 | 0x30c6c8… |
| 07-18 20:11:49 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x30c6c8… |
| 07-18 20:11:49 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x30c6c8… |
| 07-18 18:47:19 | Grown-Redirect 0x4d76…b872 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc61942… |
| 07-18 18:47:19 | Complex-Expansionism 0xa6f2…1255 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc61942… |
| 07-14 19:13:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x5ff7fa… |
| 07-14 19:13:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x5ff7fa… |
| 07-14 19:13:23 | (anonymous) 0x1e18…763b | No | BUY | 17 | 87¢ | $15 | 0x5ff7fa… |
| 07-14 07:02:56 | Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x83cb58… |
| 07-14 07:02:56 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 15¢ | $13 | 0x83cb58… |
| 07-14 07:02:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 85¢ | $13 | 0x83cb58… |
| 07-13 21:04:23 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xc5d9dd… |
| 07-13 21:04:23 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xc5d9dd… |
| 07-13 21:04:22 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xf595ee… |
| 07-13 21:04:22 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xf595ee… |
| 07-13 08:23:07 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x1175cb… |
| 07-13 08:23:07 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x1175cb… |
| 07-13 08:22:55 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x44e7b2… |
| 07-13 08:22:55 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x44e7b2… |
| 07-07 21:59:53 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xaa1bc6… |
| 07-07 21:59:53 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xaa1bc6… |
| 07-06 06:57:31 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 9 | 75¢ | $7 | 0x06fc2c… |
| 07-06 06:57:31 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x06fc2c… |
| 07-05 14:43:29 | (anonymous) 0xa86c…f494 | No | SELL | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xe67ac3… |
| 07-05 14:43:29 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xe67ac3… |
| 07-05 06:24:02 | Electric-Guarantee 0xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 21¢ | $25 | 0x846e2b… |
| 07-05 06:24:02 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x846e2b… |
| 07-02 18:34:07 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x05b28d… |
| 07-02 18:34:07 | Relieved-Return 0x8f20…875c | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x05b28d… |
| 07-01 07:50:17 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x6523f8… |
| 07-01 07:50:17 | (anonymous) 0xb4ad…37b6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x6523f8… |
| 07-01 07:50:17 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $0 | 0x6523f8… |
| 06-27 09:19:13 | Grown-Redirect 0x4d76…b872 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x59933c… |
| 06-27 09:19:13 | Rotating-Flanker 0xc677…677a | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x59933c… |
| 06-27 09:15:53 | (anonymous) 0x8069…e81d | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xc63f68… |
| 06-27 09:15:53 | Arid-Escalator 0x6f71…b80e | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xc63f68… |
| 06-27 09:15:49 | Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | BUY | 210 | 16¢ | $34 | 0x8f7769… |
| 06-27 09:15:49 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x8f7769… |
| 06-27 09:15:49 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 200 | 84¢ | $168 | 0x8f7769… |
| 06-27 09:15:49 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x8f7769… |
| 06-25 11:04:19 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xe41a62… |
| 06-25 11:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x31d9…bb17 | No | SELL | 8 | 87¢ | $6 | 0xe41a62… |
| 06-25 07:31:32 | (anonymous) 0x31d9…bb17 | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0xe23af5… |
| 06-25 07:31:32 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe23af5… |
| 06-23 08:57:41 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x06a296… |
| 06-23 08:57:41 | (anonymous) 0x5f8a…3847 | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x06a296… |
| 06-23 08:00:37 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xd1b99f… |
| 06-23 08:00:37 | (anonymous) 0x47e0…cefd | Yes | SELL | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xd1b99f… |
| 06-23 08:00:37 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd1b99f… |
| 06-23 03:23:11 | (anonymous) 0x5f8a…3847 | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xb1bda0… |
| 06-23 03:23:11 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xb1bda0… |
| 06-23 03:22:14 | (anonymous) 0x5f8a…3847 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xef772e… |
| 06-23 03:22:14 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xef772e… |
| 06-23 03:21:07 | (anonymous) 0x5f8a…3847 | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x1176bc… |
| 06-23 03:21:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x1176bc… |
| 06-23 02:51:07 | (anonymous) 0x5f8a…3847 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x128e4c… |
| 06-23 02:51:07 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x128e4c… |
| 06-23 01:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x20a65f… |
| 06-23 01:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x5f8a…3847 | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x20a65f… |
| 06-22 22:56:02 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x287e37… |
| 06-22 22:56:02 | (anonymous) 0x5f8a…3847 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x287e37… |
| 06-22 22:54:25 | (anonymous) 0x5f8a…3847 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x3e4363… |
| 06-22 22:54:25 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x3e4363… |
| 06-22 01:34:58 | Arid-Escalator 0x6f71…b80e | No | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x27efb7… |
| 06-22 01:34:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x27efb7… |
| 06-22 01:34:58 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x27efb7… |
| 06-20 18:59:01 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xb032a5… |
| 06-20 18:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xbe85…c830 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xb032a5… |
| 06-20 07:27:05 | Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x6fc1f1… |
| 06-20 07:27:05 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x6fc1f1… |
| 06-20 07:27:05 | Scientific-Chair 0x461e…ec51 | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x6fc1f1… |
| 06-18 17:08:47 | (anonymous) 0x7ed4…78ae | No | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x5cd463… |
| 06-18 17:08:47 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x5cd463… |
| 06-17 22:20:08 | (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x67b862… |
| 06-17 22:20:08 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x67b862… |
| 06-17 22:20:02 | Electric-Guarantee 0xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xac37b0… |
| 06-17 22:20:02 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 26 | 81¢ | $21 | 0xac37b0… |
| 06-16 23:23:08 | Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xa1b0ac… |
| 06-16 23:23:08 | (anonymous) 0xa86c…f494 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xa1b0ac… |
| 06-15 09:34:46 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | SELL | 2 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x426380… |
| 06-15 09:34:46 | (anonymous) 0x8a7e…d2c6 | No | SELL | 2 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x426380… |
| 06-15 04:45:39 | Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x61ae7a… |
| 06-15 04:45:39 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x61ae7a… |
| 06-11 22:15:22 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0xbdd4e3… |
| 06-11 22:15:22 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xbdd4e3… |
| 06-06 10:39:33 | Complex-Childhood 0x7a45…4eec | No | SELL | 87 | 85¢ | $74 | 0xe14fc3… |
| 06-06 10:39:33 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | SELL | 87 | 15¢ | $13 | 0xe14fc3… |
| 06-05 04:03:52 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x62bb25… |
| 06-05 04:03:52 | Defenseless-Spat 0x834b…089a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x62bb25… |
| 05-29 00:07:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x749b8b… |
| 05-29 00:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x7ed4…78ae | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x749b8b… |