ECB rate cut in 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,740
$250 in 24h
Trades
146
Unique wallets
55
Liquidity
$1,781
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-07 14:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-14.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 14% YES on $2.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $2 | $769 | $767 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $36 | $871 | $835 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $273 | $240 | +$32 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $32 | $152 | $120 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $27 | $27 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $32 | $104 | $72 |
| Median | 6 | $2 | $130 | $128 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $270 | $270 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $57 | $129 | $72 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 22 | $251 | $114 | +$137 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +1,085 | $105 | $189 | 32 | 08-07 14:45 |
| Defensive-Plunger 0x0ffc…8236 | No | +906 | $797 | $797 | 1 | 07-18 20:11 |
| Complex-Expansionism 0xa6f2…1255 | Yes | +800 | $96 | $96 | 2 | 07-18 20:11 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +511 | $460 | $460 | 5 | 08-06 08:56 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | +233 | $195 | $195 | 5 | 08-02 17:06 |
| Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | +224 | $36 | $36 | 4 | 06-27 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cb8…e737 | Yes | +181 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 08-01 13:51 |
| Electric-Guarantee 0xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | +146 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 07-05 06:24 |
| Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | +100 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 08-01 10:08 |
| Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | No | +100 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 07-14 07:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x8069…e81d | No | +50 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 06-27 09:15 |
| Mean-Outfielder 0xf3ac…f23d | No | +33 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-18 20:11 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +32 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 08-06 08:56 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 08-05 21:05 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 07-30 22:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e18…763b | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-14 19:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x125c…7463 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-01 12:06 |
| Virtual-Ear 0x36b6…e523 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 07-29 20:20 |
| Scientific-Chair 0x461e…ec51 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 07:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-18 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-02 17:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4ad…37b6 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 07:50 |
| Rotating-Flanker 0xc677…677a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-27 09:19 |
| Relieved-Return 0x8f20…875c | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 18:34 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-06 08:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x255e…fed1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 22:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-05 14:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 14:45:06 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xb2ea7f… |
| 08-07 14:45:06 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xb2ea7f… |
| 08-06 08:56:26 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 525 | 10¢ | $52 | 0x86d39a… |
| 08-06 08:56:26 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 487 | 90¢ | $439 | 0x86d39a… |
| 08-06 08:56:26 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 32 | 90¢ | $29 | 0x86d39a… |
| 08-06 08:56:26 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x86d39a… |
| 08-05 21:05:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x8f255e… |
| 08-05 21:05:11 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8f255e… |
| 08-05 20:10:14 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x69af5a… |
| 08-05 20:10:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0x69af5a… |
| 08-04 21:41:54 | (anonymous) 0x341b…0c8f | No | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x36e77e… |
| 08-04 21:41:54 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x36e77e… |
| 08-02 23:11:14 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x81c5bf… |
| 08-02 23:11:14 | (anonymous) 0xcc25…8ecf | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x81c5bf… |
| 08-02 17:07:29 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0ad023… |
| 08-02 17:07:29 | (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x0ad023… |
| 08-02 17:06:57 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x25a775… |
| 08-02 17:06:57 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x25a775… |
| 08-01 13:51:03 | (anonymous) 0x4cb8…e737 | Yes | BUY | 181 | 12¢ | $22 | 0x7ed771… |
| 08-01 13:51:03 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | SELL | 181 | 12¢ | $22 | 0x7ed771… |
| 08-01 12:06:53 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xfce727… |
| 08-01 12:06:53 | (anonymous) 0x125c…7463 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xfce727… |
| 08-01 12:06:53 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | SELL | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xfce727… |
| 08-01 10:08:50 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 0 | 89¢ | $0 | 0x29bd97… |
| 08-01 10:08:50 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x29bd97… |
| 08-01 10:08:50 | Advanced-Airmail 0x94d7…868b | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x29bd97… |
| 07-30 22:46:45 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x300aba… |
| 07-30 22:46:45 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 14 | 89¢ | $12 | 0x300aba… |
| 07-30 22:46:45 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x300aba… |
| 07-30 02:39:14 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x792ec8… |
| 07-30 02:39:14 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x792ec8… |
| 07-30 02:39:14 | (anonymous) 0x379e…d9e2 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 12¢ | $8 | 0x792ec8… |
| 07-29 20:20:39 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x1ca3e6… |
| 07-29 20:20:39 | Virtual-Ear 0x36b6…e523 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x1ca3e6… |
| 07-27 09:10:24 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x806eae… |
| 07-27 09:10:24 | Virtual-Ear 0x36b6…e523 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x806eae… |
| 07-27 02:32:04 | (anonymous) 0x765f…1508 | No | SELL | 67 | 87¢ | $58 | 0x37c2b6… |
| 07-27 02:32:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x37c2b6… |
| 07-27 02:32:04 | Great-Penicillin 0xba8d…009d | Yes | SELL | 49 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x37c2b6… |
| 07-26 09:02:25 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x929dbe… |
| 07-26 09:02:25 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x929dbe… |
| 07-25 08:11:28 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xa3ba1b… |
| 07-25 08:11:28 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xa3ba1b… |
| 07-25 08:11:28 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xa3ba1b… |
| 07-23 22:07:09 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xbabd29… |
| 07-23 22:07:09 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xbabd29… |
| 07-21 20:59:46 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x3fba29… |
| 07-21 20:59:46 | (anonymous) 0x341b…0c8f | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x3fba29… |
| 07-19 15:57:25 | (anonymous) 0xf3de…a103 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x02672a… |
| 07-19 15:57:25 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x02672a… |
| 07-18 20:11:55 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 10¢ | $7 | 0x58c370… |
| 07-18 20:11:55 | (anonymous) 0x765f…1508 | No | BUY | 67 | 90¢ | $60 | 0x58c370… |
| 07-18 20:11:51 | Mean-Outfielder 0xf3ac…f23d | No | BUY | 33 | 90¢ | $30 | 0x0eb3cf… |
| 07-18 20:11:51 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x0eb3cf… |
| 07-18 20:11:49 | Defensive-Plunger 0x0ffc…8236 | No | BUY | 906 | 88¢ | $797 | 0x30c6c8… |
| 07-18 20:11:49 | Complex-Expansionism 0xa6f2…1255 | Yes | BUY | 795 | 12¢ | $95 | 0x30c6c8… |
| 07-18 20:11:49 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x30c6c8… |
| 07-18 20:11:49 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x30c6c8… |
| 07-18 18:47:19 | Complex-Expansionism 0xa6f2…1255 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc61942… |
| 07-18 18:47:19 | Grown-Redirect 0x4d76…b872 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc61942… |
| 07-14 19:13:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x5ff7fa… |
| 07-14 19:13:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x5ff7fa… |
| 07-14 19:13:23 | (anonymous) 0x1e18…763b | No | BUY | 17 | 87¢ | $15 | 0x5ff7fa… |
| 07-14 07:02:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 85¢ | $13 | 0x83cb58… |
| 07-14 07:02:56 | Unsightly-Puma 0x978e…80bc | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x83cb58… |
| 07-14 07:02:56 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 15¢ | $13 | 0x83cb58… |
| 07-13 21:04:23 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xc5d9dd… |
| 07-13 21:04:23 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xc5d9dd… |
| 07-13 21:04:22 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xf595ee… |
| 07-13 21:04:22 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xf595ee… |
| 07-13 08:23:07 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x1175cb… |
| 07-13 08:23:07 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x1175cb… |
| 07-13 08:22:55 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x44e7b2… |
| 07-13 08:22:55 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x44e7b2… |
| 07-07 21:59:53 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xaa1bc6… |
| 07-07 21:59:53 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xaa1bc6… |
| 07-06 06:57:31 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x06fc2c… |
| 07-06 06:57:31 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 9 | 75¢ | $7 | 0x06fc2c… |
| 07-05 14:43:29 | (anonymous) 0xa86c…f494 | No | SELL | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xe67ac3… |
| 07-05 14:43:29 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xe67ac3… |
| 07-05 06:24:02 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x846e2b… |
| 07-05 06:24:02 | Electric-Guarantee 0xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 21¢ | $25 | 0x846e2b… |
| 07-02 18:34:07 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x05b28d… |
| 07-02 18:34:07 | Relieved-Return 0x8f20…875c | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x05b28d… |
| 07-01 07:50:17 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $0 | 0x6523f8… |
| 07-01 07:50:17 | Bossy-Grandma 0x163b…08de | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x6523f8… |
| 07-01 07:50:17 | (anonymous) 0xb4ad…37b6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x6523f8… |
| 06-27 09:19:13 | Grown-Redirect 0x4d76…b872 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x59933c… |
| 06-27 09:19:13 | Rotating-Flanker 0xc677…677a | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x59933c… |
| 06-27 09:15:53 | Arid-Escalator 0x6f71…b80e | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xc63f68… |
| 06-27 09:15:53 | (anonymous) 0x8069…e81d | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0xc63f68… |
| 06-27 09:15:49 | Dependable-Rostrum 0x8a4c…2c4c | Yes | BUY | 210 | 16¢ | $34 | 0x8f7769… |
| 06-27 09:15:49 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x8f7769… |
| 06-27 09:15:49 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | No | BUY | 200 | 84¢ | $168 | 0x8f7769… |
| 06-27 09:15:49 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x8f7769… |
| 06-25 11:04:19 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xe41a62… |
| 06-25 11:04:19 | (anonymous) 0x31d9…bb17 | No | SELL | 8 | 87¢ | $6 | 0xe41a62… |
| 06-25 07:31:32 | (anonymous) 0x31d9…bb17 | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0xe23af5… |
| 06-25 07:31:32 | Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe23af5… |
| 06-23 08:57:41 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x06a296… |