Realized P&L
-$1.30K
Unrealized P&L
+$239
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
167
Trades
16,348
lifetime
Volume
$984.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$2.89K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 06-20 02:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
83% 71% $-1,120
Crypto
9% 100% +$4
Politics
4% 0% $-17
Tech
3%
Sports
1% 0% $-171
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1336 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -1,621 $-1,299 86¢ $-1402 $-103 06-11 11:42
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +829 $430 86¢ $717 +$287 06-16 20:20
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -168 $-150 92¢ $-155 $-5 05-31 03:23
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +332 $249 42¢ $138 $-111 06-16 08:23
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No -152 $-218 80¢ $-121 +$97 06-11 14:38
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +1,508 $107 $113 +$6 06-19 02:37
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +1,178 $105 $88 $-16 06-19 02:38
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +941 $49 $61 +$12 06-19 02:39
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +1,662 $50 $53 +$3 06-19 22:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -382 $-194 10¢ $-36 +$157 06-17 22:41
Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +123 $5 $6 +$1 06-19 20:50
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +1,695 $99 $3 $-96 06-19 22:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +0 $-7 $0 +$7 06-19 01:00