Realized P&L
-$8.90K
Unrealized P&L
-$879
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved
2,425
Trades
20,756
lifetime
Volume
$1.33M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$4.09K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-26 03:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 205 days
Categories
Other
80% 45% -$12,509
Crypto
7% 72% +$6,925
Sports
6% 39% -$5,966
Politics
4% 37% -$1,678
Tech
3% 59% +$4,326
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -3,604 -$2,612 94¢ $-3370 -$758 07-09 11:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +356 $249 97¢ $345 +$96 10-08 06:36
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -130 -$118 96¢ $-126 -$7 05-31 03:23
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +118 $108 100¢ $118 +$10 10-01 21:15
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No -74 -$60 87¢ $-64 -$5 07-03 03:52
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +36 $23 68¢ $25 +$1 09-30 22:03
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -50 -$13 46¢ $-23 -$9 07-10 02:32
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +17 $1 80¢ $14 +$13 09-29 18:01
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +133 $7 2¢ $3 -$4 10-01 08:49
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +240 $181 1¢ $3 -$178 09-01 16:50
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 09-21 20:29
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October? Yes +96 $25 1¢ $1 -$24 10-08 06:40
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +62 $15 0¢ $0 -$15 09-23 04:54
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +25 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-29 20:37
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +18 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-22 17:12