Realized P&L
-$8.96K
Unrealized P&L
-$806
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved
2,424
Trades
20,756
lifetime
Volume
$1.33M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$3.98K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-26 03:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 204 days
Categories
Other
80% 45% -$12,571
Crypto
7% 72% +$6,925
Sports
6% 39% -$5,966
Politics
4% 37% -$1,678
Tech
3% 59% +$4,326
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -3,604 -$2,612 91¢ $-3280 -$668 07-09 11:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +356 $249 90¢ $322 +$73 10-08 06:36
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -130 -$118 96¢ $-126 -$7 05-31 03:23
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +118 $108 98¢ $116 +$8 10-01 21:15
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No -74 -$60 86¢ $-64 -$4 07-03 03:52
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +36 $23 66¢ $24 +$1 09-30 22:03
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No -50 -$13 42¢ $-21 -$7 07-10 02:32
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +17 $1 75¢ $13 +$12 09-29 18:01
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +240 $181 3¢ $6 -$175 09-01 16:50
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +133 $7 3¢ $4 -$3 10-01 08:49
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +62 $15 3¢ $2 -$13 09-23 04:54
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +2 $1 97¢ $2 +$1 09-21 20:29
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October? Yes +96 $25 2¢ $2 -$23 10-08 06:40
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +25 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-29 20:37
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +18 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-22 17:12