Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$63
Hit rate
63.4%
Resolved
32
Trades
11,944
lifetime
Volume
$131.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 06-29 18:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
58% 55% $-53
Politics
30% 62% +$18
Sports
7%
Crypto
4% 50% +$14
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -455 $-341 77¢ $-351 $-10 06-24 06:32
Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30? No -192 $-191 100¢ $-192 $-1 06-24 06:31
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No -103 $-102 99¢ $-102 $-0 06-24 06:32
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No -56 $-55 99¢ $-56 $-1 06-24 06:29
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No -55 $-55 100¢ $-55 $-0 06-24 06:31
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +62 $50 86¢ $53 +$3 06-01 17:50
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +37 $21 88¢ $33 +$12 06-16 06:29
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +81 $25 38¢ $31 +$6 05-31 09:11
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +200 $8 16¢ $31 +$23 06-23 20:45
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -31 $-19 99¢ $-30 $-12 06-27 20:47
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $25 50¢ $29 +$4 06-18 07:15
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No -34 $-23 80¢ $-27 $-4 06-24 11:50
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +192 $23 14¢ $27 +$4 06-22 00:34
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +303 $100 $26 $-74 06-03 16:25
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +27 $25 92¢ $25 $-0 06-16 06:40
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes -24 $-23 96¢ $-23 +$0 06-25 00:32
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +35 $15 66¢ $23 +$8 05-31 18:22
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -26 $-21 88¢ $-23 $-1 06-28 04:07
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +287 $25 $22 $-3 06-16 07:05
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +40 $21 52¢ $21 +$0 06-17 13:08
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? No +27 $12 78¢ $21 +$9 06-16 09:32
Blue wave in 2026? Yes -26 $-18 74¢ $-19 $-1 06-13 07:40
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -19 $-18 96¢ $-18 +$0 06-21 13:56
Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026? No +57 $25 30¢ $17 $-8 06-05 08:34
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +19 $16 92¢ $17 +$1 06-16 14:30
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? No +192 $25 $16 $-9 06-22 07:38
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +12 $9 86¢ $10 +$2 06-02 21:33
Will Trump resign before 2027? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-16 19:04
Haiti elections delayed again? No +31 $24 32¢ $10 $-15 05-30 11:59
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -35 $-13 24¢ $-9 +$4 06-08 00:16