Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
63.4%
Resolved
32
Trades
12,092
lifetime
Volume
$133.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.24K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 07-21 10:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
58% 55% $-53
Politics
29% 62% +$18
Sports
8%
Crypto
4% 50% +$14
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -455 $-341 85¢ $-387 $-46 06-24 06:32
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +303 $100 58¢ $177 +$77 06-03 16:25
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +62 $50 92¢ $58 +$8 06-01 17:50
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +81 $25 60¢ $49 +$24 05-31 09:11
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -49 $-44 90¢ $-44 $-0 07-04 14:21
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026? No -42 $-29 83¢ $-35 $-6 07-08 16:14
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +37 $21 87¢ $32 +$11 06-16 06:29
ECB rate cut in 2026? No +33 $30 92¢ $30 +$0 07-18 20:11
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -31 $-19 99¢ $-30 $-12 06-27 20:47
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +192 $21 16¢ $30 +$9 07-06 07:17
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -64 $-24 44¢ $-28 $-4 07-21 10:34
Blue wave in 2026? Yes -36 $-25 76¢ $-27 $-2 07-18 03:40
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No -35 $-24 76¢ $-27 $-3 07-13 12:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -37 $-28 72¢ $-27 +$1 07-16 03:09
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -30 $-25 86¢ $-26 $-1 07-15 14:37
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +27 $25 96¢ $25 +$0 06-16 06:40
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +35 $15 70¢ $24 +$9 05-31 18:22
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes -24 $-23 96¢ $-23 +$0 06-25 00:32
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -19 $-18 96¢ $-18 +$0 06-21 13:56
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +19 $16 88¢ $17 +$0 06-16 14:30
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +192 $23 $16 $-7 06-22 00:34
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +40 $21 36¢ $14 $-7 06-17 13:08
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +200 $8 $14 +$6 06-23 20:45
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $25 22¢ $13 $-12 06-18 07:15
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +287 $25 $12 $-12 06-16 07:05
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +12 $9 92¢ $11 +$2 06-02 21:33
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -35 $-13 32¢ $-11 +$2 06-08 00:16
Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026? No +34 $18 32¢ $11 $-7 07-20 17:15
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? No +192 $25 $10 $-15 06-22 07:38
Will Trump resign before 2027? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-10 $-0 06-16 19:04