Mean-Outfielder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

Trades

12,095

lifetime

Volume

$133.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-28 00:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

58% 55% $-53

Politics

29% 62% +$18

Sports

8% — —

Crypto

4% 50% +$14

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	79	$1.5K	1,733	1,750	-17	open	—	02-28 06:21
nhl mon ott 2026 01 17	28	$1.1K	928	916	+12	open	—	01-18 03:00
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	69	$930	2,200	2,082	+118	open	—	01-30 21:45
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	63	$917	1,183	1,100	+82	open	—	02-01 08:59
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	31	$827	2,031	1,526	+505	open	—	03-01 17:19
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	42	$776	881	880	+0	open	—	02-16 17:15
nothing ever happens interest rates	19	$706	413	413	+0	open	—	03-14 22:18
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	28	$668	975	975	+0	open	—	01-25 16:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	50	$659	2,189	2,315	-126	open	—	02-28 20:00
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	25	$657	669	661	+8	open	—	01-30 11:29
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	27	$630	957	785	+172	open	—	02-06 13:47
highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 40 41f	5	$628	630	556	+75	open	—	02-27 22:12
highest temperature in nyc on march 1 2026 42 43f	2	$618	641	641	+0	open	—	03-01 21:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	45	$612	1,170	1,170	+0	open	—	02-28 19:43
nhl tor wpg 2026 01 17	17	$607	619	734	-115	open	—	01-18 02:33
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	12	$607	325	325	+0	open	—	01-21 21:12
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in january 2026	45	$607	2,962	1,993	+969	open	—	01-22 15:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	26	$600	600	600	+0	Yes	$-6	03-17 02:20
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	33	$580	565	478	+87	open	—	02-25 18:30
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	27	$575	1,067	1,025	+41	open	—	02-06 15:56
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	67	$558	5,089	4,481	+608	open	—	01-23 22:10
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	40	$536	2,041	1,937	+104	open	—	02-03 19:39
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	21	$527	1,392	1,392	+0	open	—	02-09 03:45
no change in bank of englands interest rates after march 2026 meeting 453	51	$502	668	662	+6	open	—	03-15 09:44
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	14	$476	252	257	-5	open	—	02-06 19:50
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	17	$471	426	426	+0	open	—	02-28 07:30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	18	$446	331	273	+58	open	—	03-02 06:38
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	41	$443	579	579	+0	open	—	07-07 21:24
will i can only imagine 2 opening weekend box office be less than 10m	9	$440	311	311	-0	open	—	02-21 18:02
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	12	$434	630	342	+288	open	—	03-01 13:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 00:09:22	ucl gor fen 2026 07 29 team to advance	Górnik Zabrze	BUY	28	9¢	$2	0x691096…
07-27 15:51:45	ucl gor fen 2026 07 29 team to advance	Górnik Zabrze	BUY	250	9¢	$22	0xd13c9f…
07-25 17:56:16	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	No	BUY	86	28¢	$24	0x6c2e51…
07-21 10:34:28	Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x2f0c7e…
07-20 17:31:34	will gmgn launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	42	35¢	$15	0xddb035…
07-20 17:15:27	Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026?	No	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0xe1fd44…
07-20 14:15:43	will neutrl launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xf43466…
07-20 14:06:48	Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	61	37¢	$23	0xbb35f9…
07-20 13:50:24	will nansen launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x02ac00…
07-20 13:50:15	zcashs orchard pool confirmed exploited 20260605210804589	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x062e66…
07-20 13:49:24	will apyx launch a token by september 30 2027	Yes	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0xf0ceeb…
07-20 13:43:36	will marco rubio be time person of the year 2026	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x76e88e…
07-20 13:33:22	Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?	No	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0xac8576…
07-19 21:07:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	138	82¢	$113	0x7e94da…
07-19 19:48:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x2711b2…
07-19 19:42:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	132	18¢	$24	0xdc2dea…
07-18 22:51:28	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3ec734…
07-18 22:51:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x884541…
07-18 22:51:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x472a07…
07-18 22:51:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xe683b2…
07-18 22:51:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x24f798…
07-18 22:50:57	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xb12116…
07-18 22:50:49	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x161cfa…
07-18 22:50:36	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xde2077…
07-18 22:50:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xee6bba…
07-18 22:50:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xd156f6…
07-18 22:50:25	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	No	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0xd7626e…
07-18 22:50:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	No	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xcdf196…
07-18 22:49:09	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x812a1f…
07-18 22:49:09	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x0bf948…
07-18 21:59:03	will perpl launch a token by december 31 2026 20260708174007609	No	SELL	20	83¢	$16	0x61e396…
07-18 20:11:51	ECB rate cut in 2026?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x0eb3cf…
07-18 08:37:33	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0xfa2f54…
07-18 08:37:09	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0xbf4e73…
07-18 03:40:16	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x72a0ed…
07-17 20:06:36	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x44f255…
07-17 19:56:12	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xbfd23d…
07-17 19:53:15	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x6f974e…
07-17 19:50:52	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xea3c33…
07-17 12:40:04	lol hle1 t1 2026 07 17 game2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	156	12¢	$19	0x5f325d…
07-16 22:36:02	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x2319d4…
07-16 19:28:59	will sgolne royal advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9079e7…
07-16 03:09:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	37	76¢	$28	0x88140f…
07-15 21:36:20	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x4f8bfb…
07-15 20:47:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	2,000	0¢	$5	0x7c82a2…
07-15 20:02:41	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x8b8646…
07-15 20:02:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	56	15¢	$8	0x9a870a…
07-15 20:02:26	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x1a345e…
07-15 20:01:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xcb3500…
07-15 20:01:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x14d275…
07-15 20:01:17	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xd3b027…
07-15 20:01:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x445fc5…
07-15 20:01:04	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x019778…
07-15 20:01:02	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x506086…
07-15 19:59:13	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	154	16¢	$24	0x233b63…
07-15 14:37:56	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x6c3a5f…
07-14 17:23:40	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xae8663…
07-14 07:54:32	will apyx launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	46	53¢	$25	0x1731fd…
07-14 04:03:13	will perpl launch a token by december 31 2026 20260708174007609	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xf3e1c5…
07-13 12:47:55	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xcfe753…
07-13 12:10:10	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x0d2c20…
07-13 09:50:49	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x727a64…
07-12 23:20:25	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xa35306…
07-12 23:08:34	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xfa574d…
07-12 05:02:44	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x188d40…
07-12 01:15:10	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xf2ec68…
07-11 23:28:19	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x62e2af…
07-11 21:43:28	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x6f698a…
07-11 19:47:16	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x206fff…
07-11 19:45:50	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x90feb8…
07-11 19:39:22	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x3dab7f…
07-11 13:52:34	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x870ef8…
07-11 11:51:44	lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11	LYON	BUY	70	22¢	$15	0xc4de52…
07-11 11:51:44	lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11	LYON	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x356622…
07-11 11:51:43	lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11	LYON	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x9d0ab0…
07-11 11:51:38	lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11	LYON	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xe2be85…
07-11 10:37:25	lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11 game3 kill over 30pt5	Over	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xdd0bb7…
07-11 10:30:08	lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11 game3 kill over 30pt5	Over	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x67d484…
07-11 10:30:05	lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11 game3 kill over 30pt5	Over	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xdb7867…
07-11 10:28:05	lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11 game3 kill over 30pt5	Under	BUY	37	16¢	$6	0xbb895c…
07-11 10:27:25	lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11 game3 kill over 30pt5	Under	BUY	119	16¢	$19	0x9c6802…
07-11 09:24:17	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x31249f…
07-11 06:41:34	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	No	SELL	18	81¢	$14	0x6c9052…
07-11 04:55:10	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x9e3eb5…
07-10 17:22:38	will perpl launch a token by december 31 2026 20260708174007609	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x8a4e6d…
07-10 14:21:23	will hylo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	27	46¢	$12	0x389c60…
07-10 12:46:17	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x013b52…
07-09 23:57:56	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xd97b74…
07-09 17:52:02	will gmgn launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xe67aea…
07-09 17:32:44	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0x7fe342…
07-09 17:32:44	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	No	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x665981…
07-09 12:02:19	will perpl launch a token by december 31 2026 20260708174007609	No	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x0afd7a…
07-09 11:45:47	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x514a5b…
07-09 08:57:23	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x11ccc7…
07-09 08:37:13	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09 game1 kill over 30pt5	Over	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x4486d4…
07-09 05:48:46	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x676808…
07-08 16:14:14	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x951d60…
07-08 15:08:13	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	No	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0xa8a838…
07-08 14:53:41	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x639c84…
07-08 14:53:23	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	No	SELL	24	70¢	$17	0x4cf679…