Defensive-Plunger 0x0ffcad…0c8236 Create alert
whale hot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$82.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$20.3K
Hit rate
76.5%
Resolved
328
Trades
15,610
lifetime
Volume
$1.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$42.8K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 03:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
94% 51% +$79,641
Politics
5% 71% +$2,930
Crypto
1% 100% +$82
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 263 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +9,439 $8,188 92¢ $8.6K +$449 10-30 00:21
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +6,680 $103 82¢ $5.5K +$5,407 10-30 00:12
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +69,109 -$1,086 8¢ $5.5K +$6,545 11-02 11:55
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,000 $4,550 94¢ $4.7K +$175 10-11 22:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +5,000 $3,750 74¢ $3.7K -$25 10-30 13:21
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -3,000 -$2,080 97¢ $-2910 -$830 05-14 01:21
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,715 92¢ $2.7K +$30 10-29 16:45
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,089 $1,970 74¢ $2.3K +$331 10-26 22:36
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $1,370 92¢ $1.4K +$2 10-29 17:41
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,708 -$48 40¢ $1.1K +$1,137 11-03 05:09
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,493 -$43 72¢ $1.1K +$1,125 09-29 18:01
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +1,013 $851 95¢ $966 +$115 05-17 13:24
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $920 94¢ $945 +$25 10-29 09:38
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +705 -$3,138 92¢ $648 +$3,786 08-12 20:57
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $390 56¢ $555 +$165 10-29 09:48
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +4,586 $925 1¢ $46 -$879 09-23 21:06
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +52 $5 72¢ $37 +$32 09-11 00:12
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,500 $76 2¢ $31 -$46 10-01 08:49
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +19,460 $136 0¢ $29 -$107 10-01 13:40
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $4 1¢ $11 +$7 09-29 20:37
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,725 $19 0¢ $3 -$17 09-17 14:32
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +0 -$2,745 98¢ $0 +$2,745 10-31 10:32
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +0 -$75 68¢ $0 +$75 11-01 20:55