Realized P&L
+$48
Unrealized P&L
+$172
Hit rate
28.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
138
lifetime
Volume
$10.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$2.20K
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 06-29 16:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
66% 0% $-18
Politics
34% 100% +$66
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -848 $-866 100¢ $-845 +$20 06-24 18:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,071 $610 76¢ $808 +$198 06-28 13:12
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -251 $-210 90¢ $-224 $-15 06-28 13:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +599 $110 18¢ $105 $-5 06-20 11:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +68 $50 84¢ $57 +$7 06-17 22:14
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +138 $50 38¢ $53 +$3 06-26 21:14
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +79 $37 40¢ $32 $-4 06-23 18:49
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +56 $30 48¢ $26 $-4 06-17 22:22
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -22 $-20 94¢ $-21 $-1 06-15 23:50
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +32 $20 20¢ $6 $-14 05-31 10:00
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +50 $15 12¢ $6 $-9 05-31 10:00
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +42 $10 12¢ $5 $-5 05-31 14:17
ECB rate cut in 2026? Yes +26 $5 16¢ $4 $-1 06-17 22:20