Realized P&L
+$48
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
28.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
203
lifetime
Volume
$15.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$1.09K
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 07-22 13:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
70% 0% $-18
Politics
28% 100% +$66
Sports
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +599 $110 48¢ $291 +$181 06-20 11:22
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -251 $-210 92¢ $-231 $-21 06-28 13:10
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,500 $300 14¢ $202 $-98 07-04 21:45
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +282 $70 25¢ $71 +$1 07-04 18:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +68 $50 86¢ $59 +$9 06-17 22:14
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +294 $50 18¢ $54 +$4 07-05 22:34
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +135 $57 36¢ $48 $-9 07-22 13:52
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +138 $50 30¢ $42 $-8 06-26 21:14
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +56 $30 74¢ $41 +$11 06-17 22:22
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -22 $-20 94¢ $-21 $-1 06-15 23:50
ECB rate cut in 2026? Yes +146 $30 10¢ $15 $-15 07-05 06:24
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +50 $15 15¢ $8 $-7 05-31 10:00
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +42 $10 16¢ $6 $-4 05-31 14:17