Electric-Guarantee 0xcd9661…759ee4
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$999
Unrealized P&L
-$923
Hit rate
84.9%
Resolved
94
Trades
326
lifetime
Volume
$26.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$81
Open exposure
$3.93K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 10-26 20:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Other
67% 59% +$1,225
Politics
31% 63% +$287
Sports
2% 29% -$513
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +599 $110 88¢ $531 +$421 06-20 11:22
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +611 $400 68¢ $418 +$18 10-26 04:36
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +1,547 $416 26¢ $394 -$21 10-24 05:14
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? Yes +6,379 $580 4¢ $271 -$309 10-24 05:21
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -259 -$239 92¢ $-240 -$1 10-24 16:51
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -251 -$210 96¢ $-240 -$30 06-28 13:10
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +584 $180 41¢ $240 +$60 10-24 05:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -242 -$232 94¢ $-229 +$4 08-11 18:44
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes +131,785 $200 0¢ $198 -$2 10-26 20:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -195 -$159 82¢ $-159 +$0 10-24 05:38
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -141 -$130 94¢ $-133 -$4 07-24 12:17
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +679 $197 18¢ $126 -$71 10-24 05:18
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +169 $100 64¢ $109 +$9 07-05 22:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +566 $123 14¢ $79 -$44 08-27 04:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +499 $124 16¢ $77 -$47 10-24 05:27
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +2,646 $525 3¢ $71 -$454 08-11 18:46
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +79 $50 66¢ $53 +$3 10-24 17:14
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -56 -$53 95¢ $-53 $0 06-15 23:49
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +318 $45 12¢ $40 -$5 10-24 05:27
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +282 $70 14¢ $40 -$30 07-04 18:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -35 -$32 97¢ $-34 -$2 08-11 18:41
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 Yes +1,143 $130 3¢ $31 -$99 07-22 13:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +167 $50 18¢ $31 -$19 07-24 12:05
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 Yes +103 $30 26¢ $26 -$4 07-12 06:29
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +1,167 $118 2¢ $23 -$94 10-26 03:45
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +138 $50 16¢ $21 -$29 06-26 21:14
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -22 -$20 96¢ $-21 -$1 06-15 23:50
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +11,778 $58 0¢ $18 -$40 07-04 18:08
russia coup attempt in 2026 Yes +529 $55 3¢ $15 -$39 07-04 17:59
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +685 $105 2¢ $12 -$93 07-04 21:40