Realized P&L
+$48
Unrealized P&L
+$170
Hit rate
28.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
108
lifetime
Volume
$5.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$1.03K
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-07
last 06-08 15:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
68% 0% $-18
Politics
32% 100% +$66
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +748 $400 70¢ $527 +$127 06-01 05:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +141 $100 90¢ $127 +$27 05-31 17:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +523 $100 24¢ $123 +$23 06-01 05:40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -122 $-118 97¢ $-118 $-1 05-31 10:01
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? Yes -93 $-90 98¢ $-91 $-1 05-31 09:54
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +32 $20 48¢ $16 $-4 05-31 10:00
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +50 $15 27¢ $14 $-2 05-31 10:00
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +42 $10 22¢ $9 $-1 05-31 14:17
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes -177 $-2 $-2 +$1 05-31 08:20