Unsightly-Puma 0x978e7f…c380bc Create alert
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5.02K
Unrealized P&L
-$301
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved
494
Trades
3,552
lifetime
Volume
$78.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$4.40K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 11-05 17:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Other
76% 35% -$3,445
Politics
16% 45% -$1,496
Tech
5% 50% +$165
Crypto
2% 29% -$238
Sports
1% 43% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,205 $913 97¢ $1.2K +$252 11-01 16:27
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +308 $251 100¢ $307 +$56 10-24 20:55
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +409 $118 66¢ $272 +$154 09-16 19:53
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +610 $265 43¢ $260 -$5 10-29 13:25
will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2027 Yes +2,000 $340 12¢ $230 -$110 10-14 20:26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes +3,803 $163 6¢ $213 +$50 11-05 19:29
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +200 $160 88¢ $177 +$17 09-21 21:14
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No +140 $106 96¢ $135 +$29 05-18 13:40
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +110 $93 91¢ $100 +$7 09-16 15:49
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +28,459 $362 0¢ $100 -$263 11-05 19:30
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +100 $53 97¢ $97 +$44 09-22 02:20
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +100 $81 97¢ $97 +$16 07-13 18:00
US recession by end of 2026? No +100 $92 96¢ $96 +$4 09-27 23:10
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +100 $82 83¢ $83 +$2 09-28 14:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November? No — +100 $77 82¢ $82 +$4 11-05 10:09
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? Yes — +101 $64 80¢ $81 +$17 10-29 13:19
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +100 $91 80¢ $80 -$12 08-05 17:52
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes — +722 $5 11¢ $78 +$73 10-15 10:10
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +28,755 $121 0¢ $72 -$49 10-27 01:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +100 $29 72¢ $72 +$42 10-14 20:37
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +5,134 $29 1¢ $69 +$41 10-01 05:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +700 $126 10¢ $69 -$57 10-30 15:55
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +105 $63 65¢ $68 +$6 10-01 08:51
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +66 $57 98¢ $64 +$8 10-10 10:41
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +100 $86 64¢ $64 -$22 10-14 18:31
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,200 $415 3¢ $63 -$353 11-04 22:08
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +60 $58 98¢ $59 +$1 07-24 21:56
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,300 $89 2¢ $52 -$37 10-20 11:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? Yes +2,600 $93 2¢ $49 -$43 11-05 09:37
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +31,953 $222 0¢ $48 -$174 10-23 19:56