Realized P&L
+$40
Unrealized P&L
+$104
Hit rate
88.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,385
lifetime
Volume
$27.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$2.24K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-20 08:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
75% 62% +$40
Politics
20%
Crypto
4%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -480 $-414 86¢ $-410 +$4 06-25 10:14
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +503 $311 60¢ $305 $-7 07-20 06:09
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes -958 $-489 32¢ $-302 +$187 07-13 15:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +280 $265 99¢ $276 +$11 07-13 07:39
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes -502 $-166 26¢ $-131 +$35 06-29 12:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +230 $203 54¢ $123 $-80 06-26 20:11
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +209 $78 56¢ $118 +$40 07-14 10:42
ECB rate cut in 2026? No +100 $85 92¢ $92 +$6 07-14 07:02
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? Yes +100 $92 86¢ $86 $-6 07-09 16:37
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +100 $81 80¢ $80 $-0 07-13 18:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +66 $63 97¢ $63 +$0 07-01 02:02
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $60 $40 $-20 06-16 07:23
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +70 $59 48¢ $34 $-25 07-07 19:26
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? Yes +40 $23 76¢ $31 +$8 06-30 15:31
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? Yes -277 $-29 11¢ $-31 $-1 07-07 23:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $34 46¢ $23 $-11 06-24 00:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +64 $33 32¢ $20 $-13 06-25 15:58
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -100 $-13 15¢ $-14 $-1 06-28 20:43
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes -50 $-10 24¢ $-12 $-2 06-25 07:39
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +101 $11 11¢ $11 $-0 06-22 12:28
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +12 $9 85¢ $10 +$1 05-29 11:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $21 20¢ $10 $-11 06-19 22:25
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +12 $9 84¢ $10 +$1 06-18 19:06
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +10 $9 89¢ $9 $-0 06-18 23:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -10 $9 $-0 $-10 06-26 21:03