Unsightly-Puma 0x978e7f…c380bc
cold 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$261
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
434
Trades
3,336
lifetime
Volume
$73.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$6.46K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-27 01:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 133 days
Categories
Other
77% 37% -$2,715
Politics
14% 45% -$1,567
Tech
5% 62% +$202
Crypto
2% 33% -$169
Sports
1% 33% -$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,905 $1,581 94¢ $1.8K +$200 10-24 20:43
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +600 $546 92¢ $549 +$3 10-15 12:00
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +501 $139 83¢ $414 +$275 09-14 08:58
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +308 $251 99¢ $306 +$55 10-24 20:55
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +409 $118 74¢ $302 +$184 09-16 19:53
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +337 $288 86¢ $288 $0 10-15 12:22
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +255 $225 98¢ $250 +$24 10-25 04:04
will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2027 Yes +2,000 $340 12¢ $230 -$110 10-14 20:26
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +500 $218 44¢ $218 $0 10-26 10:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +200 $184 98¢ $196 +$12 09-26 20:26
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +200 $160 88¢ $176 +$16 09-21 21:14
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +31,953 $222 0¢ $160 -$62 10-23 19:56
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No +140 $106 82¢ $116 +$10 05-18 13:40
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +28,755 $121 0¢ $115 -$6 10-27 01:11
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +24,539 $350 0¢ $110 -$240 10-26 09:10
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +71,500 $74 0¢ $107 +$33 10-21 10:30
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +110 $93 90¢ $98 +$5 09-16 15:49
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +100 $81 97¢ $97 +$16 07-13 18:00
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $70 97¢ $97 +$27 09-24 08:45
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +100 $53 96¢ $96 +$43 09-22 02:20
US recession by end of 2026? No +100 $92 92¢ $92 +$0 09-27 23:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? Yes +7,900 $272 1¢ $87 -$186 10-22 08:24
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $88 86¢ $86 -$2 10-15 12:03
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +100 $82 84¢ $84 +$2 09-28 14:30
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +100 $86 76¢ $76 -$10 10-14 18:31
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +105 $63 71¢ $75 +$12 10-01 08:51
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,300 $89 3¢ $75 -$14 10-20 11:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +66 $57 98¢ $64 +$8 10-10 10:41
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +60 $58 96¢ $58 $0 07-24 21:56
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +100 $91 55¢ $55 -$36 08-05 17:52