Realized P&L
+$40
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
88.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,299
lifetime
Volume
$24.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.79K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-01 02:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
73% 62% +$40
Politics
22%
Crypto
4%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -480 $-414 86¢ $-415 $-1 06-25 10:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +300 $288 99¢ $298 +$10 06-30 10:13
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +363 $250 55¢ $200 $-50 06-30 18:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +230 $203 80¢ $185 $-18 06-26 20:11
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? Yes -502 $-166 32¢ $-161 +$5 06-29 12:52
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes -484 $-329 18¢ $-87 +$242 06-17 19:07
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +186 $65 44¢ $81 +$16 06-25 12:23
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +66 $63 96¢ $63 +$0 07-01 02:02
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $60 $45 $-15 06-16 07:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +64 $33 62¢ $40 +$7 06-25 15:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $34 79¢ $39 +$5 06-24 00:13
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +50 $44 64¢ $32 $-13 06-01 16:35
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? Yes -224 $-23 11¢ $-24 $-0 06-25 06:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $21 44¢ $22 +$1 06-19 22:25
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? Yes +40 $23 52¢ $21 $-2 06-30 15:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +20 $12 70¢ $14 +$2 06-30 10:15
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -100 $-13 12¢ $-12 +$0 06-28 20:43
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +101 $11 11¢ $11 $-0 06-22 12:28
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +12 $9 81¢ $10 +$0 06-18 19:06
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes -50 $-10 20¢ $-10 $-0 06-25 07:39
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +12 $9 80¢ $10 +$0 05-29 11:11
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +10 $9 89¢ $9 $-0 06-18 23:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -10 $9 30¢ $-3 $-12 06-26 21:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -50 $148 $-0 $-149 06-27 14:04