ECB rate hike in 2026?
open
Total volume
$51,213
$353 in 24h
Trades
314
Unique wallets
98
Liquidity
$6,969
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-11 14:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $7.4K
vs crowd: 99% YES on $42.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $9.1K | $20 | +$9.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $24.9K | $52 | +$24.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $5.7K | $8 | +$5.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 50 | $2.5K | $273 | +$2.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $7.4K | — | +$7.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $2.1K | $25 | +$2.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $7.1K | $8 | +$7.1K |
| Median | 14 | $46 | $243 | $197 |
| Below median | 13 | $63 | $16 | +$47 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $110 | $9 | +$102 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $6.4K | $16 | +$6.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $525 | $20 | +$505 |
| unranked | 30 | $18.5K | $18 | +$18.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +19,619 | $20 | $20 | 8 | 06-11 14:24 |
| Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | Yes | +14,704 | $14,689 | $14,689 | 1 | 06-11 14:24 |
| Plain-Flow 0x409f…543a | No | +8,000 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-11 14:24 |
| Full-Upstairs 0x1cff…6cff | Yes | +6,006 | $6,000 | $6,000 | 2 | 06-11 14:24 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | +5,778 | $5,602 | $5,602 | 21 | 06-11 11:39 |
| Avaricious-Pouch 0xb476…6eac | Yes | +4,700 | $4,695 | $4,695 | 1 | 06-11 13:36 |
| Hurtful-Wagon 0x0a38…f931 | No | +3,637 | $243 | $243 | 18 | 06-05 20:32 |
| Illiterate-Holder 0x2dc0…3df6 | Yes | +1,897 | $1,879 | $1,879 | 4 | 06-10 09:20 |
| Steep-Question 0x6a2c…136b | Yes | +1,800 | $1,798 | $1,798 | 1 | 06-11 14:18 |
| Wilted-Bump 0xe472…e7eb | Yes | +1,149 | $1,137 | $1,137 | 6 | 06-10 02:48 |
| Graceful-Mass 0xc253…c50a | Yes | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 1 | 06-11 14:24 |
| Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | Yes | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 1 | 06-11 12:23 |
| Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | +949 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-11 13:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xab49…34e6 | No | +776 | $8 | $11 | 13 | 06-10 09:20 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +663 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-10 21:15 |
| Genuine-Segment 0xd34b…0004 | Yes | +550 | $536 | $536 | 2 | 06-03 06:43 |
| Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | No | +514 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-10 09:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x5480…0330 | No | +482 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-09 15:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x94da…2bf1 | Yes | +400 | $397 | $397 | 1 | 06-09 21:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x43e9…5a6d | Yes | +271 | $266 | $266 | 7 | 06-08 05:31 |
| Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | No | +260 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-08 13:07 |
| Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | Yes | +247 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 06-02 09:03 |
| Decent-Drop 0x1d62…d76b | Yes | +243 | $239 | $239 | 2 | 06-07 13:06 |
| Generous-Postbox 0x04ae…5b9b | No | +200 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-11 13:36 |
| Upbeat-Lemonade 0x2c5b…9a41 | No | +200 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 13:36 |
| Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | No | +200 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-11 14:24 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | +175 | $3 | $25 | 10 | 06-10 09:20 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | +138 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-11 14:24 |
| Huge-Venture 0xc0f8…6978 | Yes | +103 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-01 13:14 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 14:24 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | +100 | $-1 | $51 | 12 | 06-10 09:20 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +75 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 05-28 22:13 |
| Sandy-Dynamite 0x83d9…fc14 | No | +71 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 14:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd787…7c12 | No | +53 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 07:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f79…92e8 | No | +46 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 20:47 |
| Altruistic-Handover 0x7858…d698 | Yes | +39 | $38 | $38 | 5 | 06-10 21:15 |
| Icy-Disk 0xa994…19a6 | No | +26 | $0 | $1 | 4 | 06-10 02:13 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-31 14:44 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | Yes | +18 | $17 | $17 | 4 | 05-28 20:27 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 00:43 |
| Stable-Entry 0x9a75…02d3 | No | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 22:44 |
| Content-Kettle-Crinoline 0xb7b8…db31 | Yes | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-07 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 16:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +8 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-30 08:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ea0…ae87 | Yes | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-01 20:16 |
| Frizzy-Sinuosity 0x9db3…1d38 | Yes | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-31 14:44 |
| Lone-Jewellery 0xabf3…5c3b | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-01 16:41 |
| Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 13:56 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-04 12:15 |
| Self-Assured-Grocery 0x77b5…45df | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-03 06:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x572c…4360 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a5b…b78b | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x9836…9e73 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x108d…68db | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 09:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 14:24:43 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8287d… |
| 06-11 14:24:43 | Full-Upstairs 0x1cff…6cff | Yes | BUY | 3,003 | 100¢ | $3,000 | 0x5fd0f1… |
| 06-11 14:24:43 | Kind-Senator 0x4b91…982d | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8287d… |
| 06-11 14:24:43 | Plain-Flow 0x409f…543a | No | BUY | 8,000 | 0¢ | $8 | 0xa8287d… |
| 06-11 14:24:43 | Full-Upstairs 0x1cff…6cff | Yes | BUY | 3,003 | 100¢ | $3,000 | 0xd07450… |
| 06-11 14:24:43 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 2,168 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x5fd0f1… |
| 06-11 14:24:43 | Graceful-Mass 0xc253…c50a | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x2f86db… |
| 06-11 14:24:43 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2f86db… |
| 06-11 14:24:43 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8287d… |
| 06-11 14:24:43 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | Yes | BUY | 14,704 | 100¢ | $14,689 | 0xa8287d… |
| 06-11 14:24:43 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 689 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd07450… |
| 06-11 14:24:43 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 6,404 | 0¢ | $6 | 0xa8287d… |
| 06-11 14:18:33 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 1,800 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x8aa359… |
| 06-11 14:18:33 | Steep-Question 0x6a2c…136b | Yes | BUY | 1,800 | 100¢ | $1,798 | 0x8aa359… |
| 06-11 13:36:31 | Upbeat-Lemonade 0x2c5b…9a41 | No | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdeb2ba… |
| 06-11 13:36:31 | Generous-Postbox 0x04ae…5b9b | No | BUY | 91 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdeb2ba… |
| 06-11 13:36:31 | Avaricious-Pouch 0xb476…6eac | Yes | BUY | 4,700 | 100¢ | $4,695 | 0xdeb2ba… |
| 06-11 13:36:31 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 4,409 | 0¢ | $4 | 0xdeb2ba… |
| 06-11 13:17:48 | Dramatic-Bonnet 0x4afe…a21d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xd85707… |
| 06-11 13:17:48 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd85707… |
| 06-11 12:48:36 | Elegant-Insight 0x56e2…269b | No | SELL | 169 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xea25d9… |
| 06-11 12:48:36 | Generous-Postbox 0x04ae…5b9b | No | BUY | 109 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xea25d9… |
| 06-11 12:48:36 | Treasured-Total 0xeab5…f570 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xea25d9… |
| 06-11 12:48:36 | (anonymous) 0x474d…b95b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xea25d9… |
| 06-11 12:23:18 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | BUY | 950 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xed2d86… |
| 06-11 12:23:18 | Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xed2d86… |
| 06-11 12:23:18 | (anonymous) 0x9a1e…5de7 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $49 | 0xed2d86… |
| 06-11 11:39:39 | Gray-Sitar 0xae1f…04f1 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0xceff91… |
| 06-11 11:39:39 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0xceff91… |
| 06-11 11:39:39 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xceff91… |
| 06-11 06:07:55 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa7553c… |
| 06-11 06:07:55 | Rotating-Flanker 0xc677…677a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa7553c… |
| 06-10 21:15:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd31202… |
| 06-10 21:15:01 | Altruistic-Handover 0x7858…d698 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd31202… |
| 06-10 09:20:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9ee716… |
| 06-10 09:20:22 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9ee716… |
| 06-10 09:20:22 | Illiterate-Holder 0x2dc0…3df6 | Yes | BUY | 1,074 | 99¢ | $1,068 | 0x9ee716… |
| 06-10 09:20:22 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | No | BUY | 514 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x9ee716… |
| 06-10 09:20:22 | (anonymous) 0xab49…34e6 | No | BUY | 333 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x9ee716… |
| 06-10 09:20:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x9ee716… |
| 06-10 09:20:22 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9ee716… |
| 06-10 02:48:19 | Wilted-Bump 0xe472…e7eb | Yes | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0x60d338… |
| 06-10 02:48:19 | Big-Impala 0x1d55…b038 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0x60d338… |
| 06-10 02:42:25 | Prize-Cobbler 0xbded…5ae9 | Yes | SELL | 443 | 99¢ | $440 | 0xd296ea… |
| 06-10 02:42:25 | Wilted-Bump 0xe472…e7eb | Yes | BUY | 443 | 99¢ | $440 | 0xd296ea… |
| 06-10 02:13:28 | (anonymous) 0xab49…34e6 | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfc2ef7… |
| 06-10 02:13:28 | Big-Impala 0x1d55…b038 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xfc2ef7… |
| 06-10 02:13:28 | Icy-Disk 0xa994…19a6 | No | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfc2ef7… |
| 06-10 01:52:51 | Icy-Disk 0xa994…19a6 | No | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x74ca9c… |
| 06-10 01:52:51 | Big-Impala 0x1d55…b038 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x74ca9c… |
| 06-09 21:11:01 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | Yes | SELL | 859 | 99¢ | $853 | 0xf719e7… |
| 06-09 21:11:01 | (anonymous) 0x94da…2bf1 | Yes | BUY | 400 | 99¢ | $397 | 0xf719e7… |
| 06-09 21:11:01 | Wilted-Bump 0xe472…e7eb | Yes | BUY | 459 | 99¢ | $456 | 0xf719e7… |
| 06-09 15:36:22 | (anonymous) 0x5480…0330 | No | BUY | 482 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x8f51ff… |
| 06-09 15:36:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x8f51ff… |
| 06-09 15:36:22 | (anonymous) 0xab49…34e6 | No | SELL | 202 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x8f51ff… |
| 06-09 15:36:22 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8f51ff… |
| 06-09 15:36:22 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8f51ff… |
| 06-09 15:36:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | SELL | 60 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8f51ff… |
| 06-09 13:25:09 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 653 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x40d108… |
| 06-09 13:25:09 | Essential-Signature 0x449b…57be | No | SELL | 653 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x40d108… |
| 06-09 07:06:10 | Pretty-Mother 0x1d5f…634d | Yes | SELL | 1,718 | 99¢ | $1,709 | 0x66a61f… |
| 06-09 07:06:10 | (anonymous) 0xab49…34e6 | No | BUY | 400 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x66a61f… |
| 06-09 07:06:10 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x66a61f… |
| 06-09 07:06:10 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 2,318 | 100¢ | $2,306 | 0x66a61f… |
| 06-09 07:06:10 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x66a61f… |
| 06-08 19:52:07 | (anonymous) 0xab49…34e6 | No | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4e81aa… |
| 06-08 19:52:07 | Altruistic-Handover 0x7858…d698 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x4e81aa… |
| 06-08 15:51:36 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | Yes | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xd65c35… |
| 06-08 15:51:36 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | SELL | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd65c35… |
| 06-08 14:59:13 | Illiterate-Holder 0x2dc0…3df6 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 99¢ | $84 | 0x034536… |
| 06-08 14:59:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | BUY | 85 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x034536… |
| 06-08 13:07:39 | Frivolous-Reset 0x1f9f…825b | No | BUY | 260 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xbac369… |
| 06-08 13:07:39 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | SELL | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbac369… |
| 06-08 13:07:39 | Incomparable-Display 0xed7e…2fe2 | No | SELL | 247 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xbac369… |
| 06-08 12:35:40 | Icy-Disk 0xa994…19a6 | No | SELL | 43 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x145205… |
| 06-08 12:35:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x145205… |
| 06-08 12:35:40 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x145205… |
| 06-08 12:35:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x145205… |
| 06-08 06:38:12 | (anonymous) 0xb440…d514 | No | SELL | 62 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1559fb… |
| 06-08 06:38:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 99¢ | $62 | 0x1559fb… |
| 06-08 05:31:36 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3cfec1… |
| 06-08 05:31:36 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3cfec1… |
| 06-08 05:31:36 | (anonymous) 0xb440…d514 | No | BUY | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3cfec1… |
| 06-08 05:31:36 | (anonymous) 0x43e9…5a6d | Yes | BUY | 37 | 98¢ | $37 | 0x3cfec1… |
| 06-07 22:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x43e9…5a6d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x12fc53… |
| 06-07 22:50:25 | Greedy-Cultivar 0x8338…2ea3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x12fc53… |
| 06-07 21:52:04 | Major-Spinach 0xa519…eda4 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x31f6bf… |
| 06-07 21:52:04 | (anonymous) 0x43e9…5a6d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x31f6bf… |
| 06-07 21:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcafead… |
| 06-07 21:04:40 | Altruistic-Handover 0x7858…d698 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xcafead… |
| 06-07 16:18:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x121ebe… |
| 06-07 16:18:10 | (anonymous) 0x43e9…5a6d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x121ebe… |
| 06-07 13:06:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x692055… |
| 06-07 13:06:00 | Decent-Drop 0x1d62…d76b | Yes | BUY | 143 | 99¢ | $141 | 0x692055… |
| 06-07 13:06:00 | Icy-Disk 0xa994…19a6 | No | BUY | 43 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x692055… |
| 06-07 13:05:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xbc8ab9… |
| 06-07 13:05:51 | Decent-Drop 0x1d62…d76b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xbc8ab9… |
| 06-07 07:39:12 | Flowery-Ounce 0x2455…a70f | Yes | SELL | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x28bf4c… |
| 06-07 07:39:12 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | Yes | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x28bf4c… |