Avaricious-Pouch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$169

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

2,444

Trades

8,176

lifetime

Volume

$1.53M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$188

Open exposure

$93

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-28 16:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Other

77% 56% -$18,311

Politics

11% 54% -$4,775

Crypto

6% 71% +$1,875

Sports

6% 34% -$5,082

Tech

0% 82% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 67% +$45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	+250	$200	15¢	$39	-$161	07-16 07:09
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	+50	$32	58¢	$29	-$3	10-28 03:22
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	+50	$25	42¢	$21	-$4	10-28 03:53
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	+20	$4	20¢	$4	$0	10-28 11:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	30	$54.8K	30,000	30,000	+0	Yes	+$2,931	06-16 07:33
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	10	$40.0K	36,104	9,051	+27,053	No	-$583	06-20 04:59
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	50	$29.3K	24,306	16,000	+8,306	Yes	+$8,966	07-07 01:39
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	27	$22.8K	72,920	17,365	+55,555	Yes	+$5,804	06-18 11:11
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	13	$21.1K	11,201	11,201	+0	Yes	-$538	06-23 01:57
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	39	$20.9K	25,084	25,084	+0	No	-$5,312	06-17 19:58
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	1	$20.0K	20,208	0	+20,208	Yes	+$208	06-17 02:38
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	32	$17.5K	10,570	10,570	+0	Over	+$3,465	06-26 20:58
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	28	$15.7K	16,016	9,285	+6,731	Yes	-$4,832	07-07 18:29
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	5	$12.4K	12,735	0	+12,735	Over	+$335	06-18 22:32
fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 total 0pt5	12	$10.9K	11,500	0	+11,500	Over	+$645	06-14 01:19
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	3	$10.9K	6,744	6,744	+0	Under	-$1,146	06-20 21:30
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	3	$10.3K	10,661	0	+10,661	Over	+$361	06-17 20:50
fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 total 0pt5	5	$10.0K	10,522	0	+10,522	Over	+$522	06-17 01:12
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 5pt5	8	$9.8K	5,547	5,547	+0	Over	+$1,027	06-18 23:53
fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	35	$9.8K	7,719	7,713	+6	Under	+$1,757	06-27 04:59
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	3	$9.2K	10,146	10,146	+0	Over	+$6,637	07-05 22:01
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	7	$9.0K	14,249	4,000	+10,249	Yes	+$8,889	06-20 21:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	37	$8.6K	8,091	8,091	+0	No	+$3,956	06-01 17:01
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	38	$8.4K	34,845	9,000	+25,845	No	+$1,380	07-07 17:55
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	5	$8.1K	11,742	0	+11,742	Over	+$1,357	06-20 18:39
fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 4pt5	11	$7.6K	4,354	4,354	+0	Under	-$501	06-18 03:26
fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 4pt5	10	$7.4K	9,396	0	+9,396	Over	-$678	06-23 01:51
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	14	$7.3K	6,675	5,000	+1,675	Yes	+$3,929	07-01 18:00
fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	13	$7.2K	8,000	0	+8,000	Over	+$763	06-17 01:25
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	2	$7.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	Over	+$1,040	06-16 22:46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	61	$6.9K	20,843	1,955	+18,888	No	-$4,706	06-19 21:06
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	5	$6.7K	27,650	0	+27,650	No	-$6,700	07-07 01:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	34	$6.7K	5,806	5,806	+0	No	-$99	06-17 17:30
fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 total 1pt5	14	$6.6K	4,721	4,721	+0	Under	-$1,836	06-20 04:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:57:04	Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x74facb…
10-28 18:13:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x54c71b…
10-28 18:03:23	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x9f04f1…
10-28 16:30:25	Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x3db420…
10-28 16:30:25	Will PSOE win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x1cb160…
10-28 16:12:32	Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x54c333…
10-28 14:40:19	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x6efb0e…
10-28 13:28:44	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xeef035…
10-28 12:54:05	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x3a902a…
10-28 12:46:59	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0xbb13db…
10-28 12:23:25	Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x7416f8…
10-28 12:06:25	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x60b7bc…
10-28 12:06:25	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x4b16d5…
10-28 11:47:26	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x1c5021…
10-28 10:50:59	Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xc1cf0d…
10-28 10:07:19	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x0ae195…
10-28 08:43:20	Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xefaccb…
10-28 08:38:32	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x82308c…
10-28 08:29:32	next gpt luna 6pt1 released by november 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x921754…
10-28 08:27:07	Will Conductor (Melty Labs) be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0df4e4…
10-28 07:51:50	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0xde9de9…
10-28 07:45:35	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x2d9b7c…
10-28 07:44:58	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x05ca4b…
10-28 07:33:31	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	No	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x37ff75…
10-28 07:24:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x76848d…
10-28 07:17:34	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x955309…
10-28 06:17:52	Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x2a9bc7…
10-28 06:05:37	Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xeb871a…
10-28 05:32:01	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x62b567…
10-28 05:14:50	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x599510…
10-28 04:46:35	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x9fc500…
10-28 04:39:37	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x339e23…
10-28 04:30:35	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xb52f15…
10-28 03:53:11	Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xfd3d1f…
10-28 03:48:25	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6a7c81…
10-28 03:35:48	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x09cefa…
10-28 03:30:31	Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xab73f1…
10-28 03:22:15	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x703e37…
10-28 02:54:23	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xf1281e…
10-28 02:44:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x0a9dd5…
10-28 02:36:45	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x51f396…
10-28 02:32:50	Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xe6cbff…
10-26 07:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0xa91a13…
10-26 07:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xbef555…
10-25 14:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0x0f2cca…
10-24 19:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x0b60cf…
10-24 11:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	65¢	$15	0x7dbf6d…
10-24 11:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xa33104…
10-24 00:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x898fe8…
10-23 21:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x81be53…
10-23 21:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x37f4ed…
10-23 13:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0xfbe057…
10-23 13:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x53effc…
10-22 09:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	41¢	$15	0xab8c20…
10-22 03:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x802038…
10-22 03:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xe1cd0e…
10-11 01:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x092bac…
10-11 00:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x53776e…
10-11 00:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xfd0faf…
10-11 00:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x31ab3f…
10-10 22:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5d8a4d…
10-10 22:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1906e7…
10-10 22:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x65c611…
10-10 19:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2394e5…
10-10 19:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xfcf770…
10-10 19:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3b624b…
10-10 19:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x435f58…
10-10 19:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x77f79f…
10-10 15:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x398657…
10-10 15:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x140d27…
10-10 12:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc27b1b…
10-10 11:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4fc3d3…
10-07 00:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x94fceb…
10-06 23:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa80763…
10-06 23:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x7a6aa1…
10-06 23:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x864cf0…
10-06 23:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xdaf7c9…
10-06 23:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8eb8cc…
10-06 22:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2871d7…
10-06 22:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xaf57ff…
10-06 22:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x27471c…
10-06 22:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa13fcf…
10-06 22:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xdc497b…
10-06 22:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd64545…
10-06 21:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2640e1…
10-06 21:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x20c476…
10-06 21:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x93ea92…
10-06 21:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc8f572…
10-06 10:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6ef63c…
10-06 10:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd1c3b8…
10-05 18:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5c1f3d…
10-05 04:24:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x03e443…
10-05 02:43:53	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x134cdb…
10-05 02:43:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa414a1…
10-05 00:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x89df1e…
10-04 23:41:14	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	938	11¢	$103	0x75cf41…
10-03 11:52:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	256	56¢	$143	0xfc1065…
10-03 10:32:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	319	46¢	$147	0x460d3b…
10-03 10:28:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	216	67¢	$145	0x8271ac…
10-03 08:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	232	86¢	$199	0xb2033c…