Plain-Flow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$117

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

Trades

31,655

lifetime

Volume

$143.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-03 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

61% 15% $-91

Politics

35% 50% +$7

Sports

3% 33% $-20

Crypto

1% 0% $-13

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 835 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	546	$40.4K	28,702	13,162	+15,541	open	—	02-25 10:59
will gta 6 cost 100	1,380	$24.7K	16,155	8,872	+7,284	open	—	02-11 14:36
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	168	$21.2K	15,745	9,335	+6,410	open	—	02-21 02:54
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	455	$7.9K	4,994	3,043	+1,951	open	—	02-11 14:32
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	228	$5.3K	5,097	2,027	+3,070	open	—	02-25 11:00
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	124	$4.1K	3,074	1,798	+1,275	open	—	02-20 07:21
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 5 million	213	$3.1K	1,773	1,440	+333	open	—	02-11 14:32
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	708	$3.1K	388,424	172,617	+215,807	open	—	03-04 19:10
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	106	$2.9K	1,704	1,299	+405	open	—	02-11 14:33
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	74	$2.8K	2,049	988	+1,061	open	—	02-19 23:49
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	85	$2.5K	1,001,363	1,000,344	+1,019	open	—	04-09 00:13
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	57	$2.4K	1,706	1,136	+570	open	—	02-20 05:34
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	52	$2.2K	1,742	981	+761	open	—	02-20 10:06
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	52	$2.1K	1,746	1,029	+717	open	—	02-25 10:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2,103	$1.7K	820,341	670,242	+150,099	open	—	04-14 14:45
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	45	$1.7K	1,415	871	+544	open	—	02-21 02:48
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	42	$1.6K	1,190	786	+404	open	—	02-20 16:29
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	267	$1.2K	23,216	21,653	+1,563	open	—	03-06 15:42
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	245	$871	25,474	20,834	+4,641	open	—	03-06 15:48
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	458	$624	310,034	308,034	+2,000	open	—	04-15 01:37
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	52	$567	78,333	78,333	+0	open	—	03-07 20:35
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	82	$479	195,309	188,696	+6,613	open	—	04-08 18:12
dota2 bb4 xtreme 2026 02 25	7	$466	608	608	+0	open	—	02-25 13:23
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	200	$440	219,819	219,819	+0	open	—	04-16 04:40
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1,880	$379	304,728	28,868	+275,860	open	—	04-20 00:09
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	77	$367	241,202	63,097	+178,105	open	—	05-01 00:33
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1,878	$324	197,257	69,368	+127,889	open	—	04-26 20:33
will axiom be accused of insider trading	5	$301	182	182	+0	open	—	02-25 13:17
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$293	201	201	+0	open	—	02-25 15:13
will company b be accused of insider trading	6	$288	365	365	+0	open	—	02-25 17:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 03:47:08	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	BUY	2,155	0¢	$2	0x2027b6…
07-03 03:13:08	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	BUY	3,845	0¢	$4	0x584f77…
07-01 10:30:53	Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	Yes	SELL	1,926	0¢	$2	0x2fff32…
07-01 07:37:37	Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	Yes	BUY	2,886	0¢	$3	0x1acd48…
07-01 07:37:23	Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	Yes	BUY	1,923	0¢	$2	0x396acb…
07-01 07:37:10	Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	Yes	BUY	3,191	0¢	$3	0x5436b8…
06-16 13:27:29	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1e7eb7…
06-16 08:51:01	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xd7715e…
06-16 05:38:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x53f88d…
06-15 12:13:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	195	0¢	$0	0xf1a2e8…
06-15 12:07:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc26090…
06-15 07:13:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	255	0¢	$0	0x2f7011…
06-15 05:42:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x8a3e76…
06-15 05:34:42	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x7a6f18…
06-14 19:43:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0xcb79c5…
06-14 18:57:57	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	278	0¢	$0	0x9a84ca…
06-13 16:30:57	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x743d6e…
06-13 16:04:13	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2d78ff…
06-13 08:35:03	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2,484	0¢	$2	0x79e76f…
06-12 20:20:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x99e0d6…
06-12 19:53:37	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x9ddbc0…
06-12 19:43:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x967dd6…
06-12 18:48:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	BUY	9,005	0¢	$9	0x77dec5…
06-12 18:11:51	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x77f37a…
06-12 17:42:42	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xca8955…
06-12 17:28:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xa81cc8…
06-12 17:19:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	BUY	8,000	0¢	$8	0x78cf98…
06-12 14:49:01	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7,294	0¢	$7	0x782f0f…
06-12 14:46:00	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11,408	0¢	$11	0x1d9d78…
06-12 13:36:49	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4eb60f…
06-12 10:52:52	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0x0cde61…
06-12 09:30:15	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x90cc4a…
06-12 09:09:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	181	0¢	$0	0x4aefab…
06-12 07:26:25	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xed419e…
06-12 05:02:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x971f7f…
06-12 05:02:00	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	223	0¢	$0	0x3d183e…
06-12 04:54:13	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,923	0¢	$2	0x03dd5c…
06-12 04:49:57	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,831	0¢	$4	0x77db07…
06-12 04:49:36	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,263	0¢	$2	0x6afb52…
06-12 04:47:31	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,874	0¢	$2	0x706e34…
06-12 04:45:58	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,224	0¢	$2	0x5c8243…
06-12 04:38:28	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,047	0¢	$5	0x6c6362…
06-12 03:18:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x6d5ee3…
06-11 23:28:16	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,902	0¢	$2	0x08c1af…
06-11 22:54:52	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xe42bbb…
06-11 22:29:03	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x33f129…
06-11 22:24:09	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xbd944f…
06-11 22:21:55	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x2f0b88…
06-11 22:19:01	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd3d248…
06-11 22:16:27	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb3f3e2…
06-11 22:13:06	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf03133…
06-11 22:09:31	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x59086f…
06-11 22:01:10	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xaa39ba…
06-11 21:56:22	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd276b3…
06-11 21:54:10	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5a97d3…
06-11 21:51:16	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x65f784…
06-11 21:46:03	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7d8a13…
06-11 21:41:48	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x8b9e1a…
06-11 21:18:55	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	127	0¢	$0	0x051ac0…
06-11 21:12:45	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,200	0¢	$6	0xe12326…
06-11 20:20:10	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd610bb…
06-11 19:08:39	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x0eb3f2…
06-11 19:03:03	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xcd4a93…
06-11 19:00:10	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf434c0…
06-11 18:53:36	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x8a5666…
06-11 18:46:37	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x50131d…
06-11 18:44:54	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa23ef6…
06-11 18:37:09	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb91531…
06-11 17:53:37	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa27469…
06-11 15:44:16	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	194	0¢	$0	0x32e564…
06-11 15:43:58	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	194	0¢	$0	0x8527d1…
06-11 15:43:21	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	194	0¢	$0	0x2290c6…
06-11 15:43:10	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	195	0¢	$0	0x13f7e0…
06-11 15:38:10	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x90ac48…
06-11 15:37:54	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x1363e9…
06-11 15:37:36	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x455c37…
06-11 15:28:27	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,783	0¢	$8	0x40b200…
06-11 14:27:37	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7ee0b3…
06-11 14:25:22	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd5404b…
06-11 14:24:43	ECB rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	8,000	0¢	$8	0xa8287d…
06-11 14:18:18	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa1fcbd…
06-11 13:57:09	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	198	0¢	$0	0x211e95…
06-11 13:26:01	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x07e82e…
06-11 13:17:39	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb00138…
06-11 12:41:58	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x695811…
06-11 12:37:37	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xcc3d62…
06-11 12:31:46	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7a406d…
06-11 12:02:27	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd54a4f…
06-11 11:59:21	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6deb78…
06-11 11:55:36	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5f39ad…
06-11 11:49:13	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x962082…
06-11 11:47:55	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6a65a8…
06-11 11:42:42	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x9e69bc…
06-11 11:40:30	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x8d9370…
06-11 11:36:57	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd0f698…
06-11 11:32:13	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc7c080…
06-10 10:23:12	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	199	0¢	$0	0x14a4c9…
06-10 10:04:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x386bce…
06-10 08:50:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x11b111…
06-10 08:32:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	901	0¢	$1	0x26bdc3…