Realized P&L
-$1.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$475
Hit rate
47.0%
Resolved
18
Trades
3,988
lifetime
Volume
$492.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$124
Open exposure
$11.4K
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 07-21 06:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
53% 20% $-1,231
Crypto
26% 67% $-185
Politics
20% 40% $-115
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? No +2,918 $2,016 74¢ $2.2K +$143 07-21 21:39
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,500 $1,407 95¢ $1.4K +$19 06-27 08:49
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +11,003 $1,173 12¢ $1.3K +$92 07-20 15:30
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +1,501 $1,085 76¢ $1.1K +$63 06-19 11:43
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +1,139 $1,003 100¢ $1.1K +$131 07-21 21:47
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $800 92¢ $925 +$125 06-20 07:28
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +958 $770 86¢ $824 +$54 06-15 18:47
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? No +919 $781 72¢ $662 $-120 07-21 06:01
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -587 $-516 94¢ $-551 $-34 06-02 22:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +500 $450 92¢ $458 +$8 07-09 14:07
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No -500 $-340 69¢ $-345 $-5 07-14 12:25
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -500 $-370 68¢ $-342 +$28 07-09 12:50
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -216 $-100 60¢ $-129 $-29 05-30 21:00