Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,445
Trades
85
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$509
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-05
last 08-22 00:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-18.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $45
vs crowd: 18% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $24 | $23 | +$1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $30 | $70 | $40 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $10 | $893 | $883 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $158 | $8 | +$150 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $45 | $45 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $18 | $23 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | $11 | $10 |
| Median | 5 | $21 | $10 | +$10 |
| Below median | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $35 | — | +$35 |
| unranked | 12 | $141 | $905 | $764 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x977f…0981 | No | +917 | $864 | $864 | 3 | 08-18 05:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x74c8…0195 | Yes | +735 | $119 | $119 | 2 | 08-02 13:54 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +120 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-02 05:19 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +100 | $20 | $20 | 17 | 08-02 05:18 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +76 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 08-06 02:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x0924…996d | Yes | +43 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-25 00:11 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +30 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 08-21 12:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 07-14 15:47 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-22 00:35 |
| Glamorous-Shirt 0x5ba8…2bdf | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 08-22 00:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +6 | $-2 | $11 | 8 | 08-21 12:30 |
| Severe-Emitter 0xa4e3…5553 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 21:00 |
| Dim-Butane 0xb03e…1091 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-25 13:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 00:35:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xce1ffd… |
| 08-22 00:35:28 | Glamorous-Shirt 0x5ba8…2bdf | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xce1ffd… |
| 08-21 12:30:51 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x13237a… |
| 08-21 12:30:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x13237a… |
| 08-18 05:48:52 | Querulous-Futon 0x56ab…784e | No | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $17 | 0x841ab1… |
| 08-18 05:48:52 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 15 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x841ab1… |
| 08-18 05:48:52 | (anonymous) 0x977f…0981 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x841ab1… |
| 08-06 02:17:20 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x5fde92… |
| 08-06 02:17:20 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x5fde92… |
| 08-06 01:53:41 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 31¢ | $4 | 0x18a3b0… |
| 08-06 01:53:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 31¢ | $4 | 0x18a3b0… |
| 08-06 01:48:32 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x5e1ecc… |
| 08-06 01:48:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 17 | 71¢ | $12 | 0x5e1ecc… |
| 08-05 19:46:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x614b5e… |
| 08-05 19:46:45 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x614b5e… |
| 08-03 13:07:32 | Querulous-Futon 0x56ab…784e | No | BUY | 9 | 78¢ | $7 | 0x63460c… |
| 08-03 13:07:32 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | SELL | 9 | 78¢ | $7 | 0x63460c… |
| 08-03 13:07:27 | Querulous-Futon 0x56ab…784e | No | BUY | 11 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x76b435… |
| 08-03 13:07:27 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 11 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x76b435… |
| 08-02 13:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x74c8…0195 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 26¢ | $21 | 0xc6b551… |
| 08-02 13:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | BUY | 9 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xc6b551… |
| 08-02 13:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x2e5a…0528 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 27¢ | $16 | 0xc6b551… |
| 08-02 13:54:23 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0xc6b551… |
| 08-02 13:54:15 | (anonymous) 0x74c8…0195 | Yes | BUY | 655 | 15¢ | $98 | 0x12dd8e… |
| 08-02 13:54:15 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x12dd8e… |
| 08-02 13:54:15 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x12dd8e… |
| 08-02 13:54:15 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | SELL | 600 | 15¢ | $90 | 0x12dd8e… |
| 08-02 05:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x977f…0981 | No | BUY | 730 | 95¢ | $694 | 0xc4e2e4… |
| 08-02 05:19:02 | Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 4¢ | $12 | 0xc4e2e4… |
| 08-02 05:19:02 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc4e2e4… |
| 08-02 05:19:02 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 120 | 6¢ | $7 | 0xc4e2e4… |
| 08-02 05:18:42 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x701c9e… |
| 08-02 05:18:42 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x701c9e… |
| 08-02 05:18:42 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | SELL | 55 | 90¢ | $49 | 0x701c9e… |
| 08-02 05:18:42 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x701c9e… |
| 08-02 05:18:42 | (anonymous) 0x2e5a…0528 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x701c9e… |
| 08-02 05:18:42 | (anonymous) 0x977f…0981 | No | BUY | 182 | 91¢ | $166 | 0x701c9e… |
| 07-27 09:49:15 | Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | BUY | 55 | 82¢ | $45 | 0xf40dd3… |
| 07-27 09:49:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 18¢ | $10 | 0xf40dd3… |
| 07-25 00:11:24 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x9c69f0… |
| 07-25 00:11:24 | (anonymous) 0x2e5a…0528 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 27¢ | $9 | 0x9c69f0… |
| 07-25 00:11:24 | (anonymous) 0x0924…996d | Yes | BUY | 43 | 26¢ | $11 | 0x9c69f0… |
| 07-14 15:47:01 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc9aea9… |
| 07-14 15:47:01 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xc9aea9… |
| 07-14 15:47:01 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xc9aea9… |
| 07-13 20:51:31 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe6fe85… |
| 07-13 20:51:31 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe6fe85… |
| 07-13 20:51:31 | (anonymous) 0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | BUY | 19 | 88¢ | $16 | 0xe6fe85… |
| 06-30 12:36:16 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xd2c1a1… |
| 06-30 12:36:16 | (anonymous) 0x2e5a…0528 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xd2c1a1… |
| 06-29 17:31:37 | Disastrous-Ambassador 0xe955…229a | No | SELL | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0x00d1dd… |
| 06-29 17:31:37 | (anonymous) 0x2e5a…0528 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x00d1dd… |
| 06-28 00:35:10 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xca6028… |
| 06-28 00:35:10 | (anonymous) 0x2e5a…0528 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xca6028… |
| 06-27 23:03:11 | (anonymous) 0x2e5a…0528 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x6df7d6… |
| 06-27 23:03:11 | Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x6df7d6… |
| 06-27 23:03:11 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x6df7d6… |
| 06-26 12:34:05 | Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x2df93e… |
| 06-26 12:34:05 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x2df93e… |
| 06-25 13:38:11 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0xc1dfaf… |
| 06-25 13:38:11 | Dim-Butane 0xb03e…1091 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xc1dfaf… |
| 06-25 13:38:04 | Dim-Butane 0xb03e…1091 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x8be6ee… |
| 06-25 13:38:04 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x8be6ee… |
| 06-24 17:40:23 | (anonymous) 0x2e5a…0528 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xfaba0d… |
| 06-24 17:40:23 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xfaba0d… |
| 06-24 15:21:41 | (anonymous) 0x2e5a…0528 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xd3096f… |
| 06-24 15:21:41 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xd3096f… |
| 06-24 11:13:25 | (anonymous) 0x2e5a…0528 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xd54c32… |
| 06-24 11:13:25 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xd54c32… |
| 06-24 11:04:43 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xdec3f3… |
| 06-24 11:04:43 | (anonymous) 0x2e5a…0528 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xdec3f3… |
| 06-16 07:57:28 | Wretched-Therapy 0xb7e6…dd72 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x6e6a0d… |
| 06-16 07:57:28 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x6e6a0d… |
| 06-16 05:25:03 | (anonymous) 0xda82…8524 | No | SELL | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xeca563… |
| 06-16 05:25:03 | Disastrous-Ambassador 0xe955…229a | No | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xeca563… |
| 06-09 21:49:03 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xb2f702… |
| 06-09 21:49:03 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xb2f702… |
| 06-09 21:49:03 | Disastrous-Ambassador 0xe955…229a | No | BUY | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0xb2f702… |
| 06-09 21:48:00 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xd9b211… |
| 06-09 21:48:00 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xd9b211… |
| 06-08 21:00:10 | Euphoric-Snowplow 0x7257…fc40 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 26¢ | $0 | 0xaab653… |
| 06-08 21:00:10 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 25¢ | $0 | 0xaab653… |
| 06-08 21:00:10 | Severe-Emitter 0xa4e3…5553 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xaab653… |
| 06-05 20:31:43 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 9 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xbfbed6… |
| 06-05 20:31:43 | Luxurious-Textbook 0x8e4a…28ad | No | SELL | 9 | 75¢ | $7 | 0xbfbed6… |