Glamorous-Shirt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$189

Unrealized P&L

-$454

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,106

lifetime

Volume

$5.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$121

15 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 10-26 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

94% 53% -$142

Politics

4% 67% +$7

Crypto

2% 0% -$54

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	+400	$161	12¢	$46	-$115	10-25 16:01
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes	+6,250	$142	0¢	$16	-$127	09-27 11:06
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	+120	$43	11¢	$13	-$30	10-12 02:31
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	Yes	+5,914	$155	0¢	$9	-$146	08-17 09:43
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+459	$9	2¢	$8	-$1	08-25 12:23
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,000	$8	1¢	$7	-$1	05-11 04:03
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,100	$10	0¢	$4	-$6	05-08 02:01
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,000	$10	0¢	$4	-$6	05-03 13:37
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,000	$8	0¢	$4	-$4	05-09 14:58
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?	Yes	+2,121	$7	0¢	$3	-$4	07-01 00:57
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,000	$7	0¢	$2	-$4	05-07 06:40
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,000	$8	0¢	$2	-$6	05-04 18:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	+70	$8	3¢	$2	-$6	08-31 02:37
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-600	-$3	0¢	$-1	+$2	05-10 11:40
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-600	-$1	0¢	$-1	+$0	05-10 02:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?	27	$393	270	200	+70	No	+$42	06-04 06:09
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September?	10	$235	230	230	+0	No	-$40	09-29 15:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	16	$233	160	160	+0	No	-$19	05-28 14:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	3	$190	100	100	+0	No	+$4	05-18 22:13
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	34	$161	400	0	+400	open	—	10-25 16:01
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?	101	$155	5,914	0	+5,914	open	—	08-17 09:43
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	69	$142	6,250	0	+6,250	open	—	09-27 11:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	4	$140	130	130	+0	Yes	-$15	05-28 14:19
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	20	$136	200	80	+120	open	—	10-12 02:31
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	8	$135	200	0	+200	No	+$65	08-09 19:13
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	12	$128	170	170	+0	open	—	07-29 19:14
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?	11	$117	200	200	+0	No	-$31	09-30 13:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	3	$101	60	60	+0	open	—	05-23 09:28
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	13	$101	160	160	+0	No	-$12	10-26 12:15
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?	8	$100	60	60	+0	No	+$3	09-10 14:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	04-26 14:28
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	6	$97	180	180	+0	Yes	-$2	05-20 13:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$88	50	50	+0	No	+$2	05-22 08:57
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	4	$79	60	60	+0	open	—	05-27 12:45
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?	12	$76	188	0	+188	open	—	09-01 03:41
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?	3	$75	40	40	+0	open	—	09-01 08:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	3	$69	80	0	+80	No	+$11	05-21 17:50
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	3	$62	60	60	+0	Yes	+$28	06-25 17:21
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	3	$55	50	50	+0	Yes	+$19	06-26 02:43
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	5	$54	350	0	+350	No	-$54	06-22 14:37
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	3	$52	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	09-17 07:48
Will PPI YoY be 5.5% in July?	1	$48	53	0	+53	No	+$5	07-21 13:22
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	4	$44	60	0	+60	No	+$16	06-11 12:06
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	3	$40	100	100	+0	open	—	07-26 23:45
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in May?	2	$40	50	0	+50	No	+$10	05-30 11:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 12:15:11	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	106	25¢	$27	0xba7d16…
10-26 12:13:17	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x56b9e2…
10-26 08:50:12	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x53158f…
10-25 16:01:21	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2e0bcb…
10-25 05:26:53	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x2dff6e…
10-18 12:38:45	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	18	35¢	$6	0x309139…
10-16 04:17:07	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xa3a41c…
10-16 03:50:40	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xfbdfc9…
10-14 14:41:55	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x18d2eb…
10-13 21:08:49	Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x1db7c0…
10-12 02:31:14	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0xb9d0d8…
10-12 02:31:14	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x857f5c…
10-12 02:31:14	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x765a99…
10-12 02:31:14	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x479b48…
10-12 02:31:14	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x0d9843…
10-11 22:57:00	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x28152e…
10-10 23:21:15	Will Ariana Grande be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x45542f…
10-10 23:20:04	Will Billie Eilish be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x7e8a6b…
10-10 15:10:27	Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x8d5d5f…
10-10 14:08:48	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x5ebe50…
10-09 10:22:49	Will Ed Sheeran be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0x8d4b2e…
10-04 19:54:43	Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	14¢	$5	0x33b6b9…
10-04 19:30:49	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x4c1356…
09-30 13:27:44	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xd01eea…
09-29 15:37:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in September?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x698ae2…
09-29 15:37:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x6a3f1e…
09-29 15:37:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x75fb1f…
09-29 15:36:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in September?	Yes	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0x73d547…
09-29 15:35:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x7c2053…
09-29 15:34:20	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	SELL	122	0¢	$0	0xd06e7b…
09-29 15:33:57	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September?	Yes	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0x887a56…
09-29 15:33:26	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in September?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xc2606c…
09-29 15:32:51	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in September?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xd7c11f…
09-27 11:06:08	Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x8605ae…
09-27 11:06:08	Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x6a0e3c…
09-27 11:06:08	Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x3cce60…
09-23 11:36:34	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x5e7799…
09-23 07:05:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xce7921…
09-23 06:45:08	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x753187…
09-22 19:32:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x82b6aa…
09-22 19:11:57	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?	Yes	SELL	70	43¢	$30	0xb3e770…
09-22 18:47:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x20958f…
09-22 18:35:25	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September?	Yes	SELL	130	75¢	$98	0xf6964f…
09-22 13:22:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x239abe…
09-21 18:11:39	Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x65ded0…
09-19 09:38:11	Will Andy Warhol be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x7075e8…
09-18 12:42:08	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xa95ace…
09-18 09:41:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in September?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xdc9365…
09-18 08:02:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in September?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x07ced1…
09-18 07:02:31	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?	Yes	SELL	73	11¢	$8	0xc33afd…
09-17 18:53:45	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x5dc554…
09-17 15:26:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x45a2b6…
09-17 12:49:46	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xcdb6f2…
09-17 07:48:39	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xfeeedc…
09-16 19:07:55	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in September?	No	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x41823d…
09-16 16:09:00	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x6521cb…
09-14 17:45:42	Will Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x93a31b…
09-13 22:00:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9c2a2d…
09-13 22:00:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x956d82…
09-13 22:00:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September?	No	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x83de64…
09-13 21:10:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September?	No	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x8777f8…
09-13 21:10:34	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x7ac157…
09-12 20:32:57	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x329280…
09-12 20:25:43	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xcceaef…
09-12 14:49:04	Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	Yes	SELL	59	6¢	$4	0x77b990…
09-12 13:01:19	Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x53a16b…
09-12 13:01:19	Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x306759…
09-12 07:59:21	Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0x591394…
09-12 06:43:10	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x684ab9…
09-12 06:28:10	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xf30710…
09-12 06:28:10	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September?	Yes	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x46dd76…
09-11 18:59:49	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0xf23ce1…
09-11 13:45:10	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xda5e87…
09-11 13:44:58	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xe28e9a…
09-11 13:44:46	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x89b58c…
09-11 13:44:30	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x45f16d…
09-11 13:44:18	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x3abb6c…
09-11 13:44:06	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xe273ff…
09-11 13:43:55	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x332db3…
09-11 13:43:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x070b03…
09-11 13:43:31	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x69c589…
09-11 13:38:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x132730…
09-11 12:31:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xcf7dfd…
09-11 12:30:10	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xdcdfec…
09-11 12:30:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x8ef93e…
09-11 12:30:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x4b8953…
09-11 12:30:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xda1263…
09-11 12:06:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x304fec…
09-11 12:06:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x27a0bc…
09-11 09:37:57	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa288bf…
09-11 09:37:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xccf37b…
09-11 09:37:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in September?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x1b1e49…
09-11 09:37:40	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in September?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x33de2a…
09-11 09:37:40	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x25ea61…
09-11 09:09:21	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x78913e…
09-11 09:09:21	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x604166…
09-11 08:49:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xe2eef1…
09-11 08:46:33	will xagusd reach 68 in september 2026 from september 10	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x18584d…
09-10 23:54:31	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x6f20db…
09-10 23:24:04	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in August?	Yes	SELL	42	29¢	$12	0xaae899…