Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
47
lifetime
Volume
$604
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$54
6 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 06-12 23:20
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
96%
Politics
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No -130 $-62 29¢ $-37 +$25 05-28 14:19
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes -250 $-7 $-8 $-0 05-31 12:41
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Yes -300 $-6 $-6 +$0 06-04 09:24
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? Yes -70 $-3 $-2 +$1 05-27 20:27
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +5 $2 24¢ $1 $-1 05-30 20:06
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes -3 $-5 $-0 +$5 06-13 13:43