Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
62
lifetime
Volume
$773
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$24
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 07-01 15:26
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
85%
Crypto
12%
Politics
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -30 $-15 27¢ $-8 +$7 06-13 20:56
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Yes -300 $-6 $-5 +$1 06-04 09:24
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes -55 $-11 $-5 +$7 07-01 15:26
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes -250 $-7 $-4 +$3 05-31 12:41
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? Yes -70 $-3 $-3 +$0 05-27 20:27