Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$19
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
63
lifetime
Volume
$775
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$20
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 07-12 17:51
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
85%
Crypto
12%
Politics
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -20 $-12 27¢ $-5 +$7 07-12 17:51
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes -55 $-11 $-5 +$6 07-01 15:26
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Yes -300 $-6 $-5 +$1 06-04 09:24
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes -250 $-7 $-4 +$3 05-31 12:41
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? Yes -70 $-3 $-1 +$2 05-27 20:27