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Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$501
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
5
1,111 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$15
$5.12K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$191
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 11-05 23:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Other
93% 52% -$144
Politics
4% 67% +$7
Crypto
2% 0% -$54
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? Yes +188 $76 30¢ $57 -$18 09-01 03:41
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +400 $161 9¢ $36 -$125 10-25 16:01
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? No +40 $30 45¢ $18 -$12 08-30 17:48
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +120 $43 8¢ $10 -$33 10-12 02:31
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +6,250 $142 0¢ $9 -$133 09-27 11:06
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes +5,914 $155 0¢ $9 -$146 08-17 09:43
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $8 1¢ $8 +$0 05-09 14:58
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,100 $10 1¢ $7 -$3 05-08 02:01
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +459 $9 2¢ $7 -$2 08-25 12:23
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? No +8 $4 85¢ $7 +$2 08-16 23:45
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $10 1¢ $6 -$4 05-03 13:37
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $7 0¢ $3 -$3 05-07 06:40
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? Yes +2,121 $7 0¢ $3 -$4 07-01 00:57
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +70 $8 2¢ $2 -$6 08-31 02:37
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $7 0¢ $2 -$6 04-30 20:47
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $8 0¢ $2 -$6 05-04 18:52
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $8 0¢ $2 -$6 05-01 14:28
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -600 -$3 0¢ $-1 +$2 05-10 11:40
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes — -600 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 05-10 02:17
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +20 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 08-24 14:07
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -400 -$4 0¢ $-1 +$3 06-23 15:05
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026? Yes +10 $4 3¢ $0 -$4 08-28 16:08
Will Jean-Michel Basquiat be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? Yes +0 -$7 0¢ $0 +$7 07-29 06:26