Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
83.1%
Resolved
16
Trades
1,217
lifetime
Volume
$1.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$113
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 07-22 00:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
51% 56% +$3
Other
42% 14% $-0
Crypto
6%
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? Yes +90 $31 40¢ $36 +$5 07-16 23:31
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +22 $15 74¢ $16 +$1 06-10 11:21
Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026? Yes +70 $17 19¢ $13 $-4 07-14 15:47
Will USD/JPY hit 130 (Low) in 2026? Yes +55 $6 15¢ $8 +$2 07-15 23:58
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +9 $4 40¢ $4 $-0 07-17 08:36
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +19 $3 16¢ $3 +$0 07-10 11:54
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No -6 $-3 50¢ $-3 +$0 05-28 21:34
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +35 $2 $3 +$0 07-03 05:25
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +21 $2 12¢ $2 +$1 07-02 01:22
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +15 $2 16¢ $2 +$0 07-19 03:19
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 20¢ $2 $-0 06-16 06:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5 $0 30¢ $1 +$1 05-31 15:03
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes -9 $-1 16¢ $-1 $-0 07-15 23:28
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? Yes +10 $2 14¢ $1 $-0 07-02 09:42
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-22 23:14
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $1 $1 +$0 06-09 01:15
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 07-20 21:44
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 07-02 17:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 +$0 07-15 23:21
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 07-15 23:29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 +$0 07-15 23:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 07-12 22:49
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? Yes +5 $1 21¢ $1 +$0 07-10 07:09
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 +$0 07-09 11:21
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No -1 $-1 66¢ $-1 $-0 07-15 23:24
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 21:35
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 21:34
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 07-02 01:51
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1 $1 66¢ $1 $-0 06-14 20:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 07-17 15:25