Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f1b…0f1f7a
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Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
83.1%
Resolved
16
Trades
1,030
lifetime
Volume
$1.08K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$71
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 07-01 11:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
55% 56% +$3
Other
39% 14% $-0
Crypto
6% — —
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +22 $15 69¢ $15 $-0 06-10 11:21
Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026? Yes +60 $16 24¢ $15 $-1 06-30 12:36
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? Yes +18 $10 40¢ $7 $-3 06-30 12:34
Will USD/JPY hit 130 (Low) in 2026? Yes +36 $4 16¢ $6 +$1 06-24 15:23
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No -6 $-3 50¢ $-3 +$0 05-28 21:34
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 25¢ $3 +$1 06-16 06:29
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +14 $2 11¢ $1 $-1 07-01 11:37
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +15 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 06-20 02:46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +16 $1 8¢ $1 $-0 07-01 15:45
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +10 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-23 19:19
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-30 14:51
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 06-09 01:15
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026? No -1 $-1 82¢ $-1 $-0 06-22 23:14
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-14 20:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-24 17:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 06-24 17:11
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +2 $1 42¢ $1 $-0 07-01 15:15
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 21:35
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No -2 $-1 50¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 21:34
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? Yes +5 $1 17¢ $1 $-0 06-16 23:58
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? Yes +5 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 06-12 22:53
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +10 $1 8¢ $1 +$0 07-01 12:56
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +5 $0 14¢ $1 +$0 06-26 05:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5 $0 14¢ $1 +$0 05-31 15:03
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +5 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 06-01 14:56
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +2 $1 40¢ $1 $-0 06-03 11:41
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:41
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-15 20:32
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-03 23:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +5 $0 11¢ $1 +$0 06-17 15:52