Unlined-Cassock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,290

lifetime

Volume

$1.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 08-11 09:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

49% 56% +$3

Other

44% 14% $-0

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	34	$56	162	0	+162	open	—	07-29 09:09
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	4	$54	50	55	-5	open	—	05-25 22:58
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	34	$33	16,050	0	+16,050	open	—	05-22 07:53
iran closes its airspace by june 8	3	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	06-07 22:31
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$31	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	04-25 16:21
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	15	$27	133	0	+133	open	—	07-31 13:19
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	22	$26	13,317	0	+13,317	open	—	05-22 07:53
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	6	$25	29	29	+0	open	—	05-05 16:32
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	22	$24	102	0	+102	open	—	06-25 17:58
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	11	$24	45	45	+0	open	—	05-28 14:22
iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	06-27 22:53
iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	3	$21	19	19	+0	open	—	06-27 22:43
Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?	17	$20	100	0	+100	open	—	08-02 05:18
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	5	$18	25	0	+25	open	—	06-10 11:21
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	3	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	04-10 20:38
iran closes its airspace by june 15	4	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	06-07 22:52
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$14	15	4	+11	open	—	04-15 22:52
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	8	$14	26	0	+26	open	—	08-06 20:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	15	$13	267	272	-5	open	—	05-26 07:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	14	$12	1,890	500	+1,390	open	—	06-03 21:04
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$12	9,500	0	+9,500	open	—	05-21 17:17
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$11	11	1	+10	open	—	04-11 16:48
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	3	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	06-14 21:42
Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by April 30?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-08 20:36
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-15 15:04
zelenskyy of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 40 59	6	$9	14	14	+0	open	—	04-15 13:41
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	3	$9	9	8	+0	open	—	04-09 13:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	7	$8	15	15	+0	open	—	04-22 08:53
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	25	$8	2,355	40	+2,315	open	—	05-30 05:16
will starmer say european union during the next prime ministers questions event 20260602155554504	2	$8	70	0	+70	open	—	06-03 11:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 09:28:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4354b2…
08-10 08:12:01	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x091106…
08-09 08:25:49	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa7adcf…
08-08 03:18:42	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4162be…
08-07 20:54:21	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb3ac65…
08-07 12:13:06	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x530768…
08-06 20:41:12	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4e3e5b…
08-06 09:22:47	Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0ada58…
08-05 18:01:41	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8b833a…
08-05 15:11:11	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x930441…
08-05 13:32:32	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd8ced6…
08-05 13:32:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf72e07…
08-05 02:56:11	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd053eb…
08-05 02:08:42	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x12f40e…
08-04 22:01:51	will ng reach 3 40 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x8884d1…
08-04 16:58:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5b50fa…
08-04 11:45:00	will ng reach 3 40 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc8c9bd…
08-04 07:48:20	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb86a24…
08-04 07:31:44	Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x3cd392…
08-04 00:53:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x49d6a9…
08-04 00:25:38	Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x76369b…
08-03 18:52:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb4503a…
08-03 18:52:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x396863…
08-03 18:50:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x263f6f…
08-03 15:29:03	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x341f18…
08-03 14:41:23	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x690714…
08-03 14:39:11	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026 715	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbaf92d…
08-03 12:49:38	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xde9f71…
08-03 03:31:05	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8264fb…
08-02 22:00:09	will ng reach 3 20 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1aa373…
08-02 20:49:06	iran leadership change by august 31 669	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa93cb7…
08-02 17:44:54	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x182f44…
08-02 14:36:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xba0fc8…
08-02 05:28:18	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x050efe…
08-02 05:19:27	Will USD/JPY hit 130 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1f387b…
08-02 05:18:42	Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x701c9e…
08-02 02:35:47	will solana reach 140 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x1b68fd…
08-01 13:22:42	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xff1fa4…
08-01 13:20:57	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfc3910…
08-01 09:13:14	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe999c3…
07-31 14:57:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe8a4ed…
07-31 13:19:18	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf9d13c…
07-31 11:03:56	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9e481d…
07-31 06:04:09	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x611bef…
07-31 02:14:38	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfd62a3…
07-31 02:09:56	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x418978…
07-30 14:51:08	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3d4221…
07-29 09:09:45	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa5ef28…
07-28 11:28:43	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xeedd4b…
07-27 05:54:54	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x268d50…
07-26 22:02:09	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x1b1435…
07-26 19:51:52	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x048e33…
07-26 19:10:46	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1056a3…
07-25 10:34:33	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xd87394…
07-25 10:02:54	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x174a8a…
07-25 10:00:03	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x042847…
07-25 09:58:07	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x495d53…
07-25 08:40:40	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x818e6c…
07-25 08:32:58	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x59fcae…
07-25 05:43:18	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x27067e…
07-24 20:52:40	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xff97f9…
07-24 02:49:42	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xfa2d58…
07-23 23:29:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf3ea6c…
07-22 21:43:45	epstein client list released by july 31 20260626153134218	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x034207…
07-22 20:46:30	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd834ed…
07-22 19:03:27	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8f3d69…
07-22 17:47:42	will nvda reach 216 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	3	82¢	$3	0xe07c1d…
07-22 11:25:28	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd88b76…
07-22 09:12:51	will canada have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x75854f…
07-22 08:06:00	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa81d5c…
07-22 00:03:52	will ng reach 3 40 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xfbbf71…
07-20 21:53:58	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x2982da…
07-20 21:44:55	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xf58da4…
07-20 18:29:48	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf02779…
07-20 07:48:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x9ec695…
07-20 02:44:37	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x33589f…
07-20 01:11:16	ebola pandemic in 2026	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x67e4f9…
07-20 01:10:33	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xb726a1…
07-20 01:10:15	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xa1855d…
07-20 01:09:33	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xa49523…
07-20 01:08:48	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x76269c…
07-20 01:08:36	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x52e134…
07-19 20:29:04	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x102c5d…
07-19 19:11:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x57d118…
07-19 16:58:49	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x646952…
07-19 16:52:24	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x4032a1…
07-19 16:44:01	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x264354…
07-19 16:43:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xe711af…
07-19 16:41:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd1b023…
07-19 16:26:57	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x332f8d…
07-19 14:05:49	f1 belgian grand prix driver podium norris 2026 07 19	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x61ce3c…
07-19 13:03:00	f1 belgian grand prix driver podium norris 2026 07 19	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x896a64…
07-19 13:00:40	f1 belgian grand prix driver podium norris 2026 07 19	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x327458…
07-19 07:53:13	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd2ace3…
07-19 03:19:46	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x2c343b…
07-19 00:28:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xea2eaf…
07-18 23:59:27	will ng reach 3 40 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x5eea26…
07-18 23:45:49	will ng reach 3 40 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x50c36f…
07-18 18:26:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc8310d…
07-17 15:25:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x88f56f…