Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,541
$11 in 24h
Trades
77
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$3,747
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-14 17:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-19.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $228
vs crowd: 19% YES on $2.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $459 | $649 | $190 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 14 | $28 | $377 | $349 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $3 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $4 | — | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $228 | $228 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 2 | $42 | $18 | +$25 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $27 | $27 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $19 | — | +$19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $9 | $143 | $134 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $6 | $31 | $25 |
| unranked | 10 | $390 | $1.6K | $1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sardonic-Patty 0xe7bd…ebce | Yes | +1,571 | $386 | $386 | 2 | 06-09 06:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd0d…17b6 | No | +1,227 | $919 | $919 | 2 | 06-09 05:34 |
| Sardonic-Patty 0xe7bd…ebce | No | +725 | $601 | $601 | 2 | 06-09 06:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +108 | $18 | $36 | 7 | 06-14 16:11 |
| Sardonic-Archer 0xc9ad…79d0 | No | +100 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 06-01 03:55 |
| Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | +75 | $57 | $93 | 2 | 06-09 05:34 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +47 | $-6 | $89 | 10 | 06-14 16:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | No | +24 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-09 05:34 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-09 06:13 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $4 | 2 | 06-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2503…9be5 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-14 17:55 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | +7 | $1 | $6 | 3 | 06-14 10:33 |
| Actual-Submitter 0x42eb…2098 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 08:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xc644…ce67 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 14:03 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 22:53 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 03:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 17:55:27 | (anonymous) 0x68bc…46a9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x7c6e9e… |
| 06-14 17:55:27 | (anonymous) 0x2503…9be5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x7c6e9e… |
| 06-14 16:11:07 | Sparkling-Skating 0x606e…6b3a | Yes | SELL | 90 | 15¢ | $13 | 0x6b00ef… |
| 06-14 16:11:07 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x6b00ef… |
| 06-14 16:11:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 61 | 15¢ | $9 | 0x6b00ef… |
| 06-14 16:11:07 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 4 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x6b00ef… |
| 06-14 14:03:55 | (anonymous) 0xc644…ce67 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xd98a55… |
| 06-14 14:03:55 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xd98a55… |
| 06-14 10:33:42 | (anonymous) 0x2503…9be5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xdb9381… |
| 06-14 10:33:42 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xdb9381… |
| 06-12 22:53:49 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | SELL | 3 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x05c174… |
| 06-12 22:53:49 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x05c174… |
| 06-12 22:53:49 | Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x05c174… |
| 06-11 22:15:54 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x912335… |
| 06-11 22:15:54 | Mammoth-Hop 0x95dc…4b45 | No | SELL | 10 | 84¢ | $9 | 0x912335… |
| 06-09 08:29:28 | Actual-Submitter 0x42eb…2098 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xd5d528… |
| 06-09 08:29:28 | Vigilant-School 0x3cff…6fbd | No | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0xd5d528… |
| 06-09 06:14:04 | Sardonic-Patty 0xe7bd…ebce | Yes | BUY | 55 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x32a10a… |
| 06-09 06:14:04 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x32a10a… |
| 06-09 06:13:33 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xef6cbc… |
| 06-09 06:13:33 | Sardonic-Patty 0xe7bd…ebce | No | BUY | 660 | 84¢ | $551 | 0xef6cbc… |
| 06-09 06:13:33 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xef6cbc… |
| 06-09 06:13:33 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | SELL | 405 | 84¢ | $340 | 0xef6cbc… |
| 06-09 06:13:33 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xef6cbc… |
| 06-09 06:13:33 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 17¢ | $4 | 0xef6cbc… |
| 06-09 06:13:33 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 16¢ | $9 | 0xef6cbc… |
| 06-09 06:13:33 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xef6cbc… |
| 06-09 06:13:33 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 105 | 18¢ | $19 | 0xef6cbc… |
| 06-09 05:54:42 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 22 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xa03c67… |
| 06-09 05:54:42 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 43 | 23¢ | $10 | 0xa03c67… |
| 06-09 05:54:42 | Sardonic-Patty 0xe7bd…ebce | No | BUY | 65 | 77¢ | $50 | 0xa03c67… |
| 06-09 05:34:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0xb1ff22… |
| 06-09 05:34:16 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 25 | 73¢ | $18 | 0xb1ff22… |
| 06-09 05:34:13 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | Yes | SELL | 19 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xae4844… |
| 06-09 05:34:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 30 | 26¢ | $8 | 0xae4844… |
| 06-09 05:34:13 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xae4844… |
| 06-09 05:34:13 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 37 | 26¢ | $10 | 0xae4844… |
| 06-09 05:34:13 | Sardonic-Patty 0xe7bd…ebce | Yes | BUY | 1,516 | 25¢ | $377 | 0xae4844… |
| 06-09 05:34:13 | (anonymous) 0xdd0d…17b6 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 75¢ | $750 | 0xae4844… |
| 06-09 05:34:13 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | BUY | 100 | 75¢ | $75 | 0xae4844… |
| 06-09 05:34:13 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 300 | 76¢ | $228 | 0xae4844… |
| 06-04 00:03:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x0c1067… |
| 06-04 00:03:49 | (anonymous) 0x9672…e185 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x0c1067… |
| 06-01 17:16:48 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 25 | 24¢ | $6 | 0x2369de… |
| 06-01 17:16:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x2369de… |
| 06-01 17:16:48 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 24¢ | $8 | 0x2369de… |
| 06-01 15:32:00 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | No | BUY | 19 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x3e5df6… |
| 06-01 15:32:00 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 19 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x3e5df6… |
| 06-01 14:05:58 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 26 | 75¢ | $20 | 0xe3101a… |
| 06-01 14:05:58 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 25¢ | $6 | 0xe3101a… |
| 06-01 13:53:04 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x9ff4f6… |
| 06-01 13:53:04 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 26¢ | $9 | 0x9ff4f6… |
| 06-01 13:53:04 | Beautiful-Exploration 0x70f3…9580 | No | SELL | 63 | 75¢ | $48 | 0x9ff4f6… |
| 06-01 13:53:04 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 25¢ | $6 | 0x9ff4f6… |
| 06-01 13:53:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x9ff4f6… |
| 06-01 13:53:04 | (anonymous) 0xdd0d…17b6 | No | BUY | 227 | 75¢ | $169 | 0x9ff4f6… |
| 06-01 13:53:04 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 75 | 75¢ | $56 | 0x9ff4f6… |
| 06-01 07:57:53 | Pointed-Pronunciation 0x82cd…d7d8 | No | SELL | 30 | 69¢ | $21 | 0x69779a… |
| 06-01 07:57:53 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0x69779a… |
| 06-01 06:16:16 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 31¢ | $8 | 0xaabca4… |
| 06-01 06:16:16 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 25 | 69¢ | $17 | 0xaabca4… |
| 06-01 03:56:02 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 42 | 68¢ | $29 | 0x586c50… |
| 06-01 03:56:02 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 42 | 32¢ | $13 | 0x586c50… |
| 06-01 03:55:37 | Beautiful-Exploration 0x70f3…9580 | No | SELL | 2 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x827b81… |
| 06-01 03:55:37 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x827b81… |
| 06-01 03:55:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x1aedfd… |
| 06-01 03:55:35 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | SELL | 34 | 32¢ | $11 | 0x1aedfd… |
| 06-01 03:55:35 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 25 | 70¢ | $18 | 0x1aedfd… |
| 06-01 03:55:35 | Tremendous-Penalty 0xdf08…cf97 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x1aedfd… |
| 06-01 03:55:35 | Sardonic-Archer 0xc9ad…79d0 | No | BUY | 100 | 74¢ | $74 | 0x1aedfd… |
| 06-01 03:55:35 | Blank-Civilization 0x1719…5cea | No | SELL | 400 | 73¢ | $290 | 0x1aedfd… |
| 06-01 03:55:35 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 45 | 74¢ | $33 | 0x1aedfd… |
| 06-01 03:55:35 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x1aedfd… |
| 06-01 03:55:35 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 42 | 73¢ | $31 | 0x1aedfd… |
| 06-01 03:55:35 | Pointed-Pronunciation 0x82cd…d7d8 | No | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x1aedfd… |
| 06-01 03:55:35 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x1aedfd… |
| 06-01 03:55:35 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 25 | 74¢ | $18 | 0x1aedfd… |