Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?
open
Total volume
$8,427
$11 in 24h
Trades
304
Unique wallets
85
Liquidity
$3,747
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-30 16:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-14.5¢
(top1%: 5% YES on $240
vs crowd: 20% YES on $5.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $661 | $1.5K | $836 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 30 | $251 | $1.3K | $1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $22 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $35 | $73 | $38 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $12 | $228 | $216 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $134 | $110 | +$24 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $13 | $26 | $13 |
| Median | 6 | $148 | $502 | $354 |
| Below median | 13 | $83 | $172 | $90 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $32 | $287 | $255 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $59 | $99 | $40 |
| unranked | 32 | $460 | $2.6K | $2.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sardonic-Patty 0xe7bd…ebce | Yes | +1,571 | $386 | $386 | 2 | 06-09 06:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd0d…17b6 | No | +1,227 | $919 | $919 | 2 | 06-09 05:34 |
| Sardonic-Patty 0xe7bd…ebce | No | +1,108 | $927 | $927 | 3 | 06-22 16:58 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | +558 | $421 | $567 | 15 | 07-13 16:57 |
| Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | +507 | $70 | $70 | 12 | 07-06 23:30 |
| Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | +475 | $409 | $409 | 3 | 07-14 02:24 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +209 | $-0 | $281 | 39 | 07-30 16:10 |
| cheng 0xfb66…5e13 | No | +150 | $128 | $128 | 1 | 07-02 09:42 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | Yes | +104 | $16 | $16 | 5 | 07-05 18:41 |
| Sardonic-Archer 0xc9ad…79d0 | No | +100 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 06-01 03:55 |
| Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | +75 | $57 | $93 | 2 | 06-09 05:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | +37 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-28 11:27 |
| Married-Quantity 0xe768…d036 | Yes | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-22 01:56 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $4 | $23 | 13 | 07-15 16:09 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +24 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-08 05:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | No | +24 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-09 05:34 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-09 06:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b4a…4bfe | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-14 15:53 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-02 09:42 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | +7 | $1 | $6 | 3 | 06-14 10:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xc644…ce67 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | +5 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 07-13 16:22 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 03:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xb294…a90c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 13:30 |
| Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 07-30 16:10 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +1 | $0 | $19 | 4 | 07-08 05:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x19a3…2cc5 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $3 | 2 | 07-01 04:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 16:10:17 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4ca24c… |
| 07-30 16:10:17 | Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x4ca24c… |
| 07-28 11:27:20 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 37 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xbfd1e5… |
| 07-28 11:27:20 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xbfd1e5… |
| 07-24 14:08:16 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 43 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x05a8dc… |
| 07-24 14:08:16 | (anonymous) 0x334a…d8b4 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x05a8dc… |
| 07-22 08:49:25 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x16ef88… |
| 07-22 08:49:25 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 57 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x16ef88… |
| 07-22 08:49:24 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 28 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x615be5… |
| 07-22 08:49:24 | Bland-Protein 0xf4d6…d65f | Yes | SELL | 98 | 14¢ | $14 | 0x615be5… |
| 07-22 08:49:24 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 14¢ | $8 | 0x615be5… |
| 07-22 08:49:24 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x615be5… |
| 07-17 20:34:04 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xe6e0a4… |
| 07-17 20:34:04 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xe6e0a4… |
| 07-17 20:34:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xe6e0a4… |
| 07-17 13:36:28 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x542306… |
| 07-17 13:36:28 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x542306… |
| 07-17 13:36:28 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | No | SELL | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x542306… |
| 07-16 15:43:55 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | No | SELL | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x29bd5d… |
| 07-16 15:43:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x29bd5d… |
| 07-15 21:37:44 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 25 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x430fb4… |
| 07-15 21:37:44 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x430fb4… |
| 07-15 21:13:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 138 | 14¢ | $19 | 0xbef1ac… |
| 07-15 21:13:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 55 | 14¢ | $8 | 0xbef1ac… |
| 07-15 21:13:40 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 14¢ | $12 | 0xbef1ac… |
| 07-15 21:13:35 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 34 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xcefc3b… |
| 07-15 21:13:35 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | No | SELL | 19 | 85¢ | $16 | 0xcefc3b… |
| 07-15 21:13:35 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 53 | 15¢ | $8 | 0xcefc3b… |
| 07-15 21:13:34 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xad7278… |
| 07-15 21:13:34 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | No | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xad7278… |
| 07-15 21:13:34 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xad7278… |
| 07-15 21:13:34 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xad7278… |
| 07-15 21:13:31 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xc670a4… |
| 07-15 21:13:31 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 36 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xc670a4… |
| 07-15 21:13:31 | (anonymous) 0x7d94…3249 | Yes | SELL | 303 | 16¢ | $48 | 0xc670a4… |
| 07-15 21:13:31 | (anonymous) 0x8de0…7f22 | No | SELL | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0xc670a4… |
| 07-15 21:13:31 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xc670a4… |
| 07-15 21:13:31 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 216 | 16¢ | $35 | 0xc670a4… |
| 07-15 16:09:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbd9b6a… |
| 07-15 16:09:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbd9b6a… |
| 07-15 05:02:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x52d993… |
| 07-15 05:02:50 | Shrill-Maelstrom 0xea40…86b9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x52d993… |
| 07-15 01:21:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x622077… |
| 07-15 01:21:31 | (anonymous) 0x1bb8…a7ed | Yes | SELL | 15 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x622077… |
| 07-14 15:53:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xd73c5f… |
| 07-14 15:53:07 | (anonymous) 0x4b4a…4bfe | Yes | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xd73c5f… |
| 07-14 09:48:13 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xe2125e… |
| 07-14 09:48:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xe2125e… |
| 07-14 09:37:34 | (anonymous) 0xe768…f231 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x296997… |
| 07-14 09:37:34 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x296997… |
| 07-14 09:37:34 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x296997… |
| 07-14 02:24:46 | Reckless-Compassionate 0x3ea7…7fc0 | No | SELL | 50 | 81¢ | $40 | 0xb95009… |
| 07-14 02:24:46 | Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | BUY | 50 | 81¢ | $40 | 0xb95009… |
| 07-13 16:57:56 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x2aa9ec… |
| 07-13 16:57:56 | Pointed-Pronunciation 0x82cd…d7d8 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x2aa9ec… |
| 07-13 16:22:58 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xfa9be0… |
| 07-13 16:22:58 | Pointed-Pronunciation 0x82cd…d7d8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xfa9be0… |
| 07-13 16:22:56 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x6ca76e… |
| 07-13 16:22:56 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x6ca76e… |
| 07-13 16:22:56 | Curvy-Residue 0xd9e7…4cde | No | BUY | 25 | 81¢ | $20 | 0x6ca76e… |
| 07-12 17:10:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x741e18… |
| 07-12 17:10:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0x741e18… |
| 07-12 12:50:35 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x081907… |
| 07-12 12:50:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x081907… |
| 07-12 03:45:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 20¢ | $0 | 0xd2a6e8… |
| 07-12 03:45:52 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 0 | 80¢ | $0 | 0xd2a6e8… |
| 07-11 13:12:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xbd9695… |
| 07-11 13:12:49 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xbd9695… |
| 07-11 13:12:43 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xef39b9… |
| 07-11 13:12:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xef39b9… |
| 07-11 11:05:29 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xecd743… |
| 07-11 11:05:29 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 0 | 79¢ | $0 | 0xecd743… |
| 07-11 08:56:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x06f3aa… |
| 07-11 08:56:19 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 0 | 79¢ | $0 | 0x06f3aa… |
| 07-11 03:30:47 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0xdea948… |
| 07-11 03:30:47 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 21¢ | $9 | 0xdea948… |
| 07-11 03:30:47 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xdea948… |
| 07-10 12:01:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x003142… |
| 07-10 12:01:08 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x003142… |
| 07-10 12:01:08 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 24 | 82¢ | $20 | 0x003142… |
| 07-09 22:24:22 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x9749d7… |
| 07-09 22:24:22 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x9749d7… |
| 07-09 14:04:10 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x1a6dc8… |
| 07-09 14:04:10 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | No | SELL | 55 | 83¢ | $45 | 0x1a6dc8… |
| 07-08 16:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x8de0…7f22 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x3c2df5… |
| 07-08 16:33:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x3c2df5… |
| 07-08 12:41:01 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xe6f09f… |
| 07-08 12:41:01 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xe6f09f… |
| 07-08 12:41:01 | (anonymous) 0xab78…c611 | No | SELL | 50 | 83¢ | $42 | 0xe6f09f… |
| 07-08 12:41:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe6f09f… |
| 07-08 12:41:01 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xe6f09f… |
| 07-08 05:03:35 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 24 | 85¢ | $20 | 0xdc060d… |
| 07-08 05:03:35 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xdc060d… |
| 07-08 05:03:35 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xdc060d… |
| 07-08 03:24:25 | (anonymous) 0xe768…f231 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x30e0ba… |
| 07-08 03:24:25 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x30e0ba… |
| 07-08 03:24:25 | Black-University 0x0044…cb2c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x30e0ba… |
| 07-08 03:24:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x30e0ba… |
| 07-08 03:22:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x426d66… |
| 07-08 03:22:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x426d66… |