Inferior-Implement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$421

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

Trades

9,310

lifetime

Volume

$299.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 06:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

50% 0% $-181

Other

42% 20% +$397

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

4% 50% +$205

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	53	$9.8K	12,042	12,529	-488	open	—	06-17 11:31
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	85	$4.1K	3,309	3,309	+0	open	—	07-28 12:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	22	$3.8K	6,000	7,000	-1,000	open	—	03-01 01:31
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	53	$3.2K	9,644	10,166	-523	open	—	05-14 13:25
starmer out by june 22 2026	39	$3.2K	3,081	3,081	+0	open	—	06-22 08:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	60	$3.1K	4,730	4,180	+550	open	—	04-07 05:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	38	$2.7K	6,924	7,000	-76	open	—	05-31 01:42
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	17	$2.5K	10,202	10,202	+0	open	—	07-16 00:45
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	30	$2.4K	1,475	1,475	+0	Yes	+$444	05-03 15:24
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	67	$2.2K	7,779	7,746	+33	open	—	05-31 07:52
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	25	$2.1K	1,874	2,074	-200	open	—	01-30 16:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	20	$2.1K	5,139	5,139	+0	open	—	05-31 15:18
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	11	$2.0K	1,347	1,347	+0	open	—	02-28 18:41
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	04-06 14:58
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	37	$1.9K	10,506	7,506	+3,000	open	—	04-12 13:24
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	32	$1.9K	8,733	9,595	-862	open	—	07-01 01:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	25	$1.9K	2,000	2,000	-0	open	—	06-16 20:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-29 20:37
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	62	$1.8K	5,049	4,549	+500	open	—	03-29 04:24
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 15	16	$1.7K	1,016	1,084	-68	open	—	01-30 16:08
will usd fall to 1pt7m iranian rials by june 30	13	$1.7K	1,609	1,294	+315	open	—	06-15 06:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	30	$1.6K	4,566	4,566	+0	open	—	05-21 10:35
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	23	$1.6K	4,986	4,803	+183	open	—	04-08 13:43
will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by june 30	11	$1.6K	1,467	1,467	+0	open	—	06-15 23:12
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	12	$1.6K	934	934	+0	open	—	03-24 08:13
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	29	$1.6K	5,655	4,285	+1,370	open	—	04-11 15:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	9	$1.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-01 17:01
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	27	$1.6K	4,417	2,417	+2,000	open	—	08-09 11:43
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	13	$1.5K	1,065	965	+100	open	—	04-11 01:13
Kash Patel out by April 30?	36	$1.5K	3,502	3,496	+6	open	—	04-26 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 08:11:22	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x520a56…
08-10 07:56:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xe7b251…
08-10 07:43:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xab55ef…
08-10 07:43:00	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x173f5f…
08-10 07:33:30	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xa25493…
08-10 07:33:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	299	13¢	$40	0x112da6…
08-10 06:06:07	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	Yes	BUY	121	1¢	$1	0x45ee63…
08-10 05:53:12	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	605	20¢	$121	0x5a59d4…
08-10 02:49:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xda59e1…
08-10 02:18:04	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	SELL	413	1¢	$5	0xecdb88…
08-10 02:16:55	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	156	24¢	$37	0x4951f2…
08-10 02:15:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x181ef7…
08-10 01:56:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xe34a9c…
08-10 01:56:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x5b995c…
08-10 01:55:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0xee4d32…
08-10 01:55:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x0cc26b…
08-10 00:53:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	114	12¢	$14	0x7d8b75…
08-10 00:42:33	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x14d432…
08-10 00:05:54	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	SELL	51	1¢	$1	0x93d2f6…
08-09 21:23:31	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xc04268…
08-09 21:09:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,000	18¢	$180	0x27b210…
08-09 20:21:19	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	SELL	1,125	1¢	$16	0x4b4324…
08-09 20:21:10	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	SELL	875	1¢	$12	0xba2d33…
08-09 19:59:37	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	SELL	1,000	20¢	$200	0x12f8f6…
08-09 19:57:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xe88a66…
08-09 19:50:42	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	99	12¢	$12	0xb0934a…
08-09 19:46:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x806419…
08-09 19:43:39	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3cddb6…
08-09 19:42:03	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x11b877…
08-09 19:41:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xf42fcf…
08-09 18:47:57	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x4cd702…
08-09 18:40:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xb1292f…
08-09 18:02:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$33	0x527267…
08-09 18:00:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$32	0x6ad572…
08-09 17:54:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	500	9¢	$45	0x4f469e…
08-09 17:46:46	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x474f13…
08-09 17:34:45	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xdf057c…
08-09 17:34:43	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xe50169…
08-09 17:34:42	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x97c459…
08-09 17:34:42	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x011ba0…
08-09 17:34:39	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	SELL	1,532	1¢	$22	0xb9608c…
08-09 17:34:03	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	Yes	SELL	703	7¢	$49	0x88a708…
08-09 17:32:00	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xad9ff9…
08-09 17:31:00	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	Yes	BUY	903	8¢	$72	0x94ace4…
08-09 17:29:39	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$18	0xa1847b…
08-09 17:29:00	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	BUY	3,000	2¢	$52	0x3c341d…
08-09 17:20:25	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	344	28¢	$96	0x16eba0…
08-09 11:43:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0xc035b9…
08-09 10:17:09	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	391	24¢	$94	0x064369…
08-09 03:48:49	will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260807123536607	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x6f7a81…
08-09 03:38:43	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x604573…
08-08 23:45:40	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x84352a…
08-08 22:41:19	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x1c5a8e…
08-08 18:23:09	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x1f290e…
08-08 18:10:45	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x4897d8…
08-08 17:52:10	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	248	6¢	$15	0x908ee9…
08-08 15:33:00	Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	SELL	103	20¢	$21	0x9f0ec8…
08-08 14:17:43	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x68a88e…
08-08 14:09:55	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x435793…
08-08 14:09:52	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	440	6¢	$26	0xb6c0bf…
08-08 14:09:36	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xe77e39…
08-08 11:30:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0xd63636…
08-08 11:28:22	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	SELL	69	34¢	$24	0x436a99…
08-08 11:28:12	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	SELL	60	22¢	$13	0x5b5eb3…
08-08 11:27:28	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741055	Yes	SELL	149	16¢	$24	0xff32be…
08-08 11:26:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,000	27¢	$270	0xaf2829…
08-08 11:25:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,000	12¢	$120	0x1fc6a7…
08-07 14:38:27	will congress override any veto in 2026 20260624150337322	Yes	SELL	129	8¢	$10	0x82b677…
08-07 10:05:22	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x783222…
08-07 09:59:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0x22176d…
08-07 09:59:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,000	27¢	$270	0xa0a226…
08-07 09:59:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	411	11¢	$45	0x1fe89e…
08-07 09:57:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	562	11¢	$62	0xa2a5e2…
08-07 09:57:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	3,000	1¢	$27	0x5e2224…
08-07 09:55:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xcf1f8c…
08-07 04:47:03	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x1f0f62…
08-07 04:05:16	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	198	10¢	$20	0x3e8897…
08-07 02:42:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	500	18¢	$90	0xfbdc32…
08-06 11:16:14	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x42bdc6…
08-05 18:32:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x16bc9e…
08-05 18:32:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0xa09ae7…
08-05 14:57:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x735419…
08-05 14:44:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xdebbaa…
08-05 02:50:14	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$0	0x039ce8…
08-05 01:15:17	will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260801211847597	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xab32f6…
08-04 19:37:36	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x6a9554…
08-04 18:10:08	will russia target kyiv by august 7 2026 20260801211334044	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xf4de6b…
08-04 17:53:39	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x362101…
08-04 17:42:06	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xfbb400…
08-04 17:12:39	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	149	25¢	$37	0x9b0974…
08-04 17:11:12	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xc1458e…
08-04 17:02:47	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xb8ecd2…
08-04 16:53:36	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase august 4 10	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0x5f8b21…
08-04 16:20:30	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	341	26¢	$89	0x357413…
08-04 16:17:38	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741056	Yes	BUY	163	6¢	$10	0x4c81c3…
08-04 15:54:12	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa196c4…
08-04 15:51:45	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x176b90…
08-04 15:50:56	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x31bf74…
08-04 15:50:44	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	570	7¢	$40	0x0f5ebd…
08-04 15:47:17	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	66	7¢	$5	0x1f7a74…