Realized P&L
+$28.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$924
Hit rate
63.5%
Resolved
1,250
Trades
13,447
lifetime
Volume
$372.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$3.23K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 21:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 240 days
Categories
Politics
46% 44% +$12,619
Other
46% 42% +$10,563
Tech
4% 37% +$2,950
Crypto
3% 33% +$3,084
Sports
1% 38% -$681
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +30,000 $305 2¢ $555 +$250 07-12 02:40
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -500 -$226 96¢ $-482 -$256 05-19 05:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $755 35¢ $352 -$403 08-31 03:59
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $488 34¢ $345 -$143 10-26 00:53
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $302 66¢ $332 +$30 10-22 14:07
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -6,987 -$157 4¢ $-245 -$88 07-23 10:20
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +1,100 $184 12¢ $132 -$52 10-14 22:24
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +1,000 $173 12¢ $115 -$58 10-12 17:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,000 $166 12¢ $115 -$51 10-15 07:22
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +2,000 $246 5¢ $91 -$155 10-26 19:28
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1,000 -$31 8¢ $85 +$116 09-14 21:54
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +1,000 $166 8¢ $76 -$91 10-22 19:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +200 $55 36¢ $72 +$17 10-26 14:01
next white house press secretary announced by october 31 2026 Yes +2,500 $222 3¢ $71 -$150 10-22 21:23
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +500 $50 7¢ $36 -$14 07-05 03:37
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +100 $41 33¢ $33 -$8 10-20 12:22
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 -$16 18¢ $18 +$34 10-13 16:34
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes -500 -$79 3¢ $-16 +$63 05-25 01:22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +735 $11 2¢ $15 +$4 05-09 18:29
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes -105 -$26 14¢ $-15 +$11 09-25 05:21
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $48 1¢ $12 -$37 07-15 06:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +2,295 $15 0¢ $9 -$6 10-28 01:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Yes +2,000 $120 0¢ $5 -$115 09-10 23:23
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -524 -$5 0¢ $-2 +$3 05-24 17:09
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922 No +0 -$95 30¢ $0 +$95 07-28 12:00
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 Yes +0 -$45 8¢ $0 +$45 07-11 03:39
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +0 -$4 4¢ $0 +$4 05-03 06:24
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 -$30 0¢ $0 +$30 09-10 10:17