Realized P&L
+$421
Unrealized P&L
-$763
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
11
Trades
7,990
lifetime
Volume
$252.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$320
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 15:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
52% 0% $-181
Other
39% 20% +$397
Tech
4%
Crypto
4% 50% +$205
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes -100 $-101 99¢ $-99 +$3 06-24 15:52
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +395 $144 21¢ $83 $-61 06-23 14:31
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes -200 $82 17¢ $-33 $-116 06-29 01:58
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? Yes +185 $28 16¢ $29 +$1 06-27 00:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +4,408 $390 $20 $-370 06-27 05:41
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +202 $7 $17 +$10 06-16 19:43
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -70 $-10 19¢ $-13 $-3 06-17 14:21
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes -20 $10 40¢ $-8 $-18 06-23 09:45
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +1,000 $96 $8 $-88 06-10 15:40
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +1,581 $27 $4 $-23 06-15 13:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $80 $2 $-77 06-16 01:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $100 $2 $-98 05-29 16:44
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,000 $-5 $-1 +$4 06-26 17:55
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? Yes -1,000 $-7 $-1 +$6 06-22 07:25
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +138 $-73 $0 +$73 06-22 04:15
Megaquake by June 30? Yes -5 $5 $-0 $-5 06-24 12:37