Realized P&L
+$421
Unrealized P&L
-$190
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
11
Trades
8,767
lifetime
Volume
$277.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$1.15K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 23:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
50% 0% $-181
Other
40% 20% +$397
Tech
5%
Crypto
4% 50% +$205
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +1,899 $487 23¢ $437 $-50 07-20 17:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $260 17¢ $170 $-90 07-17 15:28
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +714 $151 21¢ $150 $-1 07-15 16:02
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +250 $38 36¢ $91 +$53 07-10 14:23
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +500 $80 16¢ $82 +$2 07-12 15:33
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +203 $122 40¢ $80 $-42 07-10 06:24
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? Yes +307 $43 15¢ $46 +$3 07-06 23:30
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +500 $50 $42 $-7 07-05 03:37
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +351 $18 $25 +$7 07-14 12:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,000 $80 $14 $-66 07-11 21:15
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -70 $-10 12¢ $-8 +$1 06-17 14:21
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? Yes +90 $5 $4 $-1 07-06 19:58