Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
open
Total volume
$1,230
$67 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$2,101
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-17 10:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $0 | $6 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $18 | $78 | $60 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $14 | $694 | $680 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $19 | $616 | $598 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 6 | $2 | $34 | $32 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| unranked | 7 | $12 | $120 | $108 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | +542 | $427 | $427 | 2 | 05-16 15:11 |
| Nocturnal-Period 0x73ab…5468 | Yes | +100 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-12 00:48 |
| Wonderful-Involvement 0x8087…3a18 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-17 04:38 |
| Prize-Jar 0xdd1b…ff31 | No | +99 | $87 | $87 | 2 | 05-16 15:37 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +57 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 05-17 07:35 |
| Foolhardy-Overload 0x7c76…9349 | Yes | +53 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 19:27 |
| Any-Polenta 0x7c59…0c2c | Yes | +36 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 20:46 |
| Pristine-Soul 0x5edc…bbad | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 20:46 |
| Opulent-Communicant 0x7f15…52f1 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-12 22:48 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 21:51 |
| Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 20:46 |
| Misty-Bark 0x85b5…c3bc | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 05:33 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 18:00 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 02:42 |
| Warped-Follower 0x7803…16ad | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 15:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e32…a727 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-16 15:37 |
| Barren-Warlord 0x37c7…100c | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 06:05 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 15:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 10:10:37 | Accomplished-Context 0x9060…790b | Yes | SELL | 500 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5aeb07… |
| 05-17 07:35:08 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x9ca591… |
| 05-17 05:57:25 | Parched-Original 0x33b5…f944 | No | SELL | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0xc8a281… |
| 05-17 04:38:59 | Wonderful-Involvement 0x8087…3a18 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x7d85b8… |
| 05-16 19:46:49 | Questionable-Wardrobe 0x4760…9899 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x807bf1… |
| 05-16 19:27:13 | Foolhardy-Overload 0x7c76…9349 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb6fedd… |
| 05-16 15:56:43 | Accomplished-Context 0x9060…790b | Yes | SELL | 1,825 | 0¢ | $9 | 0xa9d161… |
| 05-16 15:39:50 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x492ccf… |
| 05-16 15:39:48 | Grounded-Concept 0xa39a…980d | No | SELL | 112 | 99¢ | $111 | 0xacc734… |
| 05-16 15:39:46 | Intrepid-Stone 0x2845…b637 | No | SELL | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xf6ef57… |
| 05-16 15:37:54 | (anonymous) 0x6e32…a727 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x813924… |
| 05-16 15:37:54 | Prize-Jar 0xdd1b…ff31 | No | BUY | 49 | 87¢ | $42 | 0x4dfcd3… |
| 05-16 15:26:41 | (anonymous) 0x6e32…a727 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xd69785… |
| 05-16 15:26:41 | Prize-Jar 0xdd1b…ff31 | No | BUY | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0x24e434… |
| 05-16 15:11:50 | Warped-Follower 0x7803…16ad | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x733392… |
| 05-16 15:11:46 | Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | BUY | 524 | 79¢ | $413 | 0xc0bdcf… |
| 05-16 15:11:46 | Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | BUY | 18 | 78¢ | $14 | 0xefec1b… |
| 05-15 12:34:43 | Accomplished-Context 0x9060…790b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x03b9b1… |
| 05-15 05:33:49 | Misty-Bark 0x85b5…c3bc | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xa5e35b… |
| 05-14 20:46:57 | Pristine-Soul 0x5edc…bbad | No | BUY | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0x8e6214… |
| 05-14 20:46:55 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0x491554… |
| 05-14 20:46:55 | Any-Polenta 0x7c59…0c2c | Yes | BUY | 36 | 51¢ | $18 | 0x9707fb… |
| 05-14 20:46:55 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xdbd487… |
| 05-13 03:21:01 | Grizzled-Filth 0xd9c9…7e10 | No | SELL | 137 | 85¢ | $117 | 0x390082… |
| 05-13 02:42:01 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xe3d097… |
| 05-12 22:48:12 | Opulent-Communicant 0x7f15…52f1 | No | BUY | 12 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xf6908e… |
| 05-12 22:46:14 | Grizzled-Filth 0xd9c9…7e10 | No | BUY | 47 | 88¢ | $41 | 0xfa35f6… |
| 05-12 22:46:02 | Grizzled-Filth 0xd9c9…7e10 | No | SELL | 64 | 86¢ | $56 | 0x7a687f… |
| 05-12 21:51:02 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x4d26c5… |
| 05-12 06:05:46 | Barren-Warlord 0x37c7…100c | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x8492cf… |
| 05-12 00:48:12 | Nocturnal-Period 0x73ab…5468 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0x5337e6… |
| 05-11 17:13:15 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x713c11… |
| 05-10 18:00:31 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x62a802… |