Any-Polenta — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$46

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

18,163

Trades

83,053

lifetime

Volume

$19.2M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$231

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-21 12:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 281 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 86% -$29,899

Other

8% 96% -$16,619

Sports

2% 98% +$7,192

Politics

0% 80% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$10

Tech

0% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 438 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+304	$55	3¢	$9	-$46	05-22 12:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 19:45 UTC	2	$37.6K	37,800	+37,800	Up	+$208	02-06 20:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 12:00 UTC	37	$36.1K	36,113	+36,113	Down	+$52	02-12 12:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 20:05 UTC	61	$35.0K	35,459	+35,459	Down	+$459	02-14 20:12
bitcoin up or down february 13 7pm et	1	$34.7K	34,753	+34,753	Up	+$35	02-14 01:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 00:00 UTC	69	$34.6K	35,205	+35,205	Up	+$626	02-14 00:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 14:30 UTC	315	$34.4K	34,391	+34,391	Down	+$34	02-12 14:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 13:15 UTC	16	$34.3K	34,373	+34,373	Down	+$34	02-12 13:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 14:30 UTC	17	$34.2K	34,229	+34,229	Down	+$34	02-17 14:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 18:00 UTC	60	$33.5K	33,534	+33,534	Down	+$34	02-11 18:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 00:15 UTC	2	$33.3K	33,302	+33,302	Down	+$33	02-16 00:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 10:15 UTC	8	$33.1K	33,126	+33,126	Down	+$33	02-18 10:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 04:45 UTC	1	$32.6K	32,602	+32,602	Down	+$33	02-12 05:00
bitcoin up or down february 12 10am et	39	$32.2K	32,258	+32,258	Down	+$32	02-12 16:12
bitcoin up or down february 17 10am et	2	$32.1K	32,107	+32,107	Up	+$32	02-17 16:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 12:00 UTC	75	$32.0K	32,351	+32,351	Up	+$324	02-11 12:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 18:05 UTC	3	$32.0K	32,466	+32,466	Up	+$442	02-18 18:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 07:25 UTC	10	$32.0K	32,049	+32,049	Down	+$32	02-17 07:30
ethereum up or down february 16 4pm et	19	$31.7K	31,711	+31,711	Up	+$32	02-16 22:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 12:15 UTC	53	$31.7K	31,700	+31,700	Down	+$32	02-12 12:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 04:45 UTC	7	$31.6K	31,910	+31,910	Up	+$319	02-11 05:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:00 UTC	12	$31.2K	31,583	+31,583	Down	+$423	02-11 02:15
bitcoin up or down february 15 5pm et	56	$31.1K	31,116	+31,116	Up	+$31	02-15 23:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 16:10 UTC	3	$31.0K	31,454	+31,454	Up	+$495	02-16 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 19:15 UTC	151	$30.9K	31,202	+31,202	Down	+$326	02-13 19:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 22:15 UTC	86	$30.8K	31,185	+31,185	Down	+$378	02-14 22:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:20 UTC	1	$30.7K	30,976	+30,976	Up	+$310	02-15 22:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 13:30 UTC	1	$30.6K	30,602	+30,602	Up	+$31	02-10 13:45
ethereum up or down february 18 3pm et	4	$30.5K	30,576	+30,576	Down	+$31	02-18 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:40 UTC	141	$30.5K	30,837	+30,837	Down	+$308	02-15 21:45
bitcoin up or down february 11 7am et	13	$30.4K	30,478	+30,478	Up	+$30	02-11 13:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 12:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xd0b49e…
10-21 06:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 21?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe6b47f…
10-21 05:58:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	536	98¢	$525	0xf86989…
10-21 05:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 21?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x422e00…
10-21 05:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 21?	No	BUY	561	99¢	$555	0x46822a…
10-21 05:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 21?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x1a58cb…
10-21 05:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 21?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x82471a…
10-21 03:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 21?	No	BUY	121	98¢	$119	0xcb4267…
10-21 02:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 21?	No	BUY	141	98¢	$139	0x1828f3…
10-21 02:50:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on October 21?	No	BUY	121	98¢	$119	0xce0d39…
10-21 02:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 21?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x9712c6…
10-21 02:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 21?	No	BUY	792	99¢	$783	0xf0966b…
10-21 02:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 21?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x57f99f…
10-20 09:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 20?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x768313…
10-20 09:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5357aa…
10-20 04:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xd3c775…
10-20 03:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe7d462…
10-20 03:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 20?	No	BUY	181	99¢	$178	0x9818bb…
10-20 03:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 20?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$149	0x0558c3…
10-20 03:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7699b2…
10-20 03:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 20?	No	BUY	151	98¢	$149	0x77d64b…
10-20 02:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3bff83…
10-20 02:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 20?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x72b53a…
10-20 02:51:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1,203	99¢	$1,189	0xa7efb2…
10-19 22:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	123	97¢	$119	0x1fdd0d…
10-19 16:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$99	0x5dc425…
10-19 16:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 20?	No	BUY	791	94¢	$743	0x56d8f3…
10-19 16:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 20?	No	BUY	190	99¢	$188	0x962511…
10-19 16:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 19?	No	BUY	190	99¢	$188	0x9cb7ef…
10-19 16:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 19?	No	BUY	331	99¢	$327	0xe54979…
10-19 16:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 19?	No	BUY	131	98¢	$129	0xa1c185…
10-19 11:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 19?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa469ab…
10-19 08:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	192	98¢	$188	0x4c000f…
10-19 08:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 19?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x05109f…
10-19 08:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 19?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0e3a0f…
10-19 08:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 12°C on October 19?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xe6e89d…
10-19 06:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 12°C on October 19?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x235250…
10-19 06:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 19?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x4cf773…
10-19 05:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x882710…
10-19 05:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 19?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xa98593…
10-19 05:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	441	99¢	$436	0xa333cc…
10-19 05:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	271	99¢	$268	0x74e8f6…
10-19 04:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x4e06a1…
10-19 04:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf36f0c…
10-19 04:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe0de13…
10-19 04:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8bae5f…
10-19 04:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe723cd…
10-19 04:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x221574…
10-19 04:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x1d099a…
10-19 04:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xa06854…
10-19 04:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 19?	No	BUY	301	99¢	$297	0x2db608…
10-19 04:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	401	99¢	$396	0xe84320…
10-18 20:47:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x589ff8…
10-18 18:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	172	98¢	$168	0x0150dc…
10-18 18:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	161	97¢	$157	0x135906…
10-18 18:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	240	97¢	$233	0x081a5b…
10-18 16:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0xc65f8c…
10-18 16:44:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	522	95¢	$495	0x6e3e16…
10-18 16:44:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 18?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x56ea69…
10-18 16:44:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 18?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x3fb9e5…
10-18 16:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf6dc45…
10-18 16:38:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5aad10…
10-18 16:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 18?	No	BUY	161	99¢	$159	0xd4651f…
10-18 16:34:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	970	95¢	$922	0xddc939…
10-18 16:34:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	926	98¢	$910	0x5652e3…
10-18 16:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0xf485b5…
10-18 09:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$149	0x838501…
10-18 09:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 18?	No	BUY	113	96¢	$109	0xf5d63d…
10-18 08:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 18?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x561cf9…
10-18 06:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd33fab…
10-18 06:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	393	96¢	$377	0x5bc6cc…
10-18 06:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	167	95¢	$159	0xd102c4…
10-18 05:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	411	97¢	$396	0x92ff80…
10-18 05:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	573	97¢	$555	0xc867df…
10-18 04:54:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x249bc7…
10-18 04:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	717	95¢	$684	0xe9b048…
10-18 03:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xc1ac9e…
10-17 22:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	118	93¢	$110	0x493af8…
10-17 22:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x524fc7…
10-17 22:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x16a2e6…
10-17 22:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x541692…
10-17 22:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x18ceaf…
10-17 22:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 18?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d1f2d…
10-17 22:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3d2220…
10-17 22:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	483	95¢	$460	0x9016f4…
10-17 22:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 18?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x083044…
10-17 22:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	484	98¢	$476	0xb728e7…
10-17 20:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x055f5b…
10-17 17:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 18?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xdfd103…
10-17 17:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	232	98¢	$228	0xf6cdf5…
10-17 17:31:50	highest temperature in guangzhou on october 18 2026 35corhigher	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4116aa…
10-17 17:21:54	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on october 18 2026 34c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x919d31…
10-17 17:21:48	highest temperature in guangzhou on october 18 2026 35corhigher	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x8c4049…
10-17 17:15:56	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on october 18 2026 34c	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x24f4d8…
10-17 17:15:50	highest temperature in guangzhou on october 18 2026 35corhigher	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xb17e98…
10-17 17:15:39	highest temperature in beijing on october 18 2026 21c	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x4c4d93…
10-17 17:07:44	highest temperature in guangzhou on october 18 2026 35corhigher	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb48917…
10-17 17:01:50	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on october 18 2026 34c	No	BUY	71	98¢	$69	0x361a64…
10-17 17:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	172	98¢	$168	0xd3c76c…
10-17 17:01:06	highest temperature in panama city on october 17 2026 33corhigher	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xb0146c…