Misty-Bark — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$559

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved

192

Trades

417

lifetime

Volume

$8.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 10-24 15:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

86% 44% +$391

Sports

7% 57% +$134

Crypto

6% 100% +$47

Politics

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	7	$453	281	281	+0	Yes	+$20	06-11 15:33
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	7	$332	198	198	+0	Yes	+$56	05-23 11:24
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	10	$304	200	200	+0	No	+$45	05-26 20:04
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	5	$291	182	182	+0	Yes	+$16	05-09 11:14
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	3	$253	133	133	+0	No	+$13	05-18 06:16
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	3	$251	147	147	+0	Yes	+$37	06-20 04:10
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	12	$246	1,224	224	+1,000	Yes	+$48	07-08 06:38
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	3	$242	143	143	+0	Yes	+$42	06-07 06:38
crint npl2 hon2 2026 06 08	2	$225	136	136	+0	Nepal	+$25	06-08 09:37
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$224	128	128	+0	Argentina	+$24	07-07 17:57
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	5	$214	151	151	+0	Yes	+$14	05-23 09:47
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	2	$202	102	102	+0	Yes	+$2	05-11 12:08
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	5	$190	124	124	+0	Yes	+$38	06-16 04:09
Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	4	$178	306	131	+174	No	-$62	10-02 12:19
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	2	$172	100	100	+0	Over	+$20	06-14 17:49
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	2	$169	89	89	+0	Delhi Capitals	+$9	05-17 22:14
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	3	$154	96	96	+0	Yes	+$34	07-07 18:03
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	3	$153	98	98	+0	Belgium	+$37	07-01 22:42
atp ruud augeral 2026 10 13	2	$134	93	93	+0	Casper Ruud	+$52	10-14 07:43
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$121	71	71	+0	Yes	+$21	05-30 18:10
fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 btts	2	$121	150	0	+150	No	-$2	06-14 05:51
France vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?	2	$112	62	62	+0	Yes	+$12	06-16 19:57
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	2	$110	60	60	+0	No	+$10	06-21 21:02
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	4	$106	120	50	+70	Under	+$9	06-19 20:54
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	1	$101	116	0	+116	Under	+$15	06-19 02:53
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	2	$99	60	60	+0	Yes	+$21	07-07 02:02
will cristiano ronaldo score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406402	1	$90	101	0	+101	Yes	+$11	06-17 17:04
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 4pt5	2	$88	50	50	+0	Over	+$11	06-20 18:24
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 8pt5	2	$84	50	50	+0	Under	+$6	06-14 18:34
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 9pt5	2	$82	51	51	+0	Over	+$20	06-29 22:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 15:42:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0xca13d3…
10-18 16:46:41	Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xf6b414…
10-15 01:09:47	nhl mon wsh 2026 10 14	Capitals	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8a9fc1…
10-15 01:09:46	nhl mon wsh 2026 10 14	Capitals	BUY	93	49¢	$46	0x81877a…
10-14 19:32:09	Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x0355ec…
10-14 19:31:09	Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0x2ec124…
10-14 19:31:03	Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb57f21…
10-14 19:29:57	Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x832455…
10-14 19:29:55	Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x02c37b…
10-14 11:47:17	cricwcl eng aus 2026 10 14	England Champions	BUY	93	41¢	$38	0x3e69b5…
10-14 10:43:16	wta volynet guo 2026 10 13	Katie Volynets	BUY	95	44¢	$42	0x0dc6f6…
10-14 08:34:01	Bangladesh Women Tour of Australia ODIs: Australia Women vs Bangladesh Women	Bangladesh Women	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf8465e…
10-14 07:43:13	atp ruud augeral 2026 10 13	Casper Ruud	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xf9b287…
10-14 07:10:43	atp ruud augeral 2026 10 13	Casper Ruud	BUY	93	44¢	$41	0xccf2c2…
10-14 04:15:22	Warriors vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xfdf2b5…
10-14 03:57:34	Warriors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x0b8520…
10-14 03:57:32	Warriors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9c7950…
10-14 00:29:52	Pacers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd223a9…
10-14 00:28:49	Pacers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcd04bf…
10-14 00:25:55	Pacers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x5f893b…
10-13 19:07:18	ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	KK Crvena Zvezda	BUY	102	44¢	$45	0x67b97d…
10-12 23:32:39	Nets vs. Wizards	Nets	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8f7ccf…
10-12 23:32:30	Nets vs. Wizards	Nets	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x038f8e…
10-12 23:22:38	Nets vs. Wizards	Nets	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x60b66a…
10-12 21:53:11	Timberwolves vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x4df7ab…
10-12 19:28:18	Timberwolves vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x250081…
10-12 19:24:24	Timberwolves vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xc23bb9…
10-12 18:50:56	Timberwolves vs. Knicks	Timberwolves	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5b8dd5…
10-12 18:49:14	Timberwolves vs. Knicks	Timberwolves	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xef76da…
10-11 16:02:48	Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb23e89…
10-11 10:16:50	Mavericks vs. Rockets	Mavericks	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x4041cf…
10-11 04:37:42	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xdfd1d1…
10-11 03:51:18	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x7201fe…
10-11 03:51:17	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x27b38e…
10-11 03:50:57	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	BUY	36	49¢	$18	0x138306…
10-11 03:39:33	Spurs vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x835fa6…
10-02 12:19:06	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xf7bc02…
10-02 11:41:26	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	SELL	131	44¢	$58	0x6ba9e3…
10-02 05:41:11	over 45m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	182	44¢	$80	0xeeb433…
10-02 05:39:42	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xe864b3…
09-30 13:01:06	over 50m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xd636b0…
07-19 21:46:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xcb8fdc…
07-19 21:32:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	37	66¢	$24	0x4a3d5a…
07-19 21:29:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x211364…
07-19 19:40:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x47fb4b…
07-19 19:25:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xab6155…
07-19 19:12:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe0fda9…
07-18 20:27:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x938185…
07-18 20:27:22	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners total 12pt5	Over	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xeb8227…
07-15 20:14:58	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x594a33…
07-15 20:11:53	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x87fe60…
07-15 20:06:17	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners team home 4pt5	Over	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x0ced30…
07-15 19:31:14	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners team home 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xac50ad…
07-15 19:22:29	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners team home 4pt5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9807af…
07-15 19:17:47	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners team home 4pt5	Over	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x006cac…
07-15 19:11:31	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xab8b63…
07-15 19:09:55	Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x92283c…
07-14 20:30:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xbbcf9c…
07-14 19:09:05	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x32880a…
07-10 20:54:07	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xa45975…
07-10 19:34:37	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x4e397f…
07-10 19:31:58	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x1c6d87…
07-10 19:20:38	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners odd even	Odd	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc75683…
07-10 19:09:59	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x173705…
07-10 19:07:04	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeee46d…
07-10 19:03:07	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x7b6456…
07-09 14:01:35	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xe4ea1c…
07-08 15:58:16	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xb79539…
07-08 11:46:47	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5d36ff…
07-08 11:37:41	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x0d41f4…
07-08 06:38:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1ebbfc…
07-07 22:36:37	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 corners odd even	Odd	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf20466…
07-07 22:35:46	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x25bafe…
07-07 20:23:01	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9929d3…
07-07 20:16:19	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 corners odd even	Odd	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xe90cb8…
07-07 20:11:23	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x17bfa8…
07-07 20:08:07	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 corners odd even	Odd	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x42fcd2…
07-07 20:06:35	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 corners odd even	Odd	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb3fa17…
07-07 20:03:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x47ffa6…
07-07 18:29:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	76	27¢	$21	0xd143d7…
07-07 18:13:13	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xac4215…
07-07 18:08:07	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners odd even	Odd	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xd8a15b…
07-07 18:03:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	96	98¢	$94	0xa7e747…
07-07 18:00:58	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	28	19¢	$5	0x9d6ead…
07-07 17:58:04	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x13ff57…
07-07 17:57:46	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	128	97¢	$124	0xf7f737…
07-07 17:51:35	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xd19e3f…
07-07 17:43:47	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	61	32¢	$19	0x0d3440…
07-07 17:43:40	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x2bb510…
07-07 17:38:34	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xfda9e5…
07-07 17:11:13	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xbf16b3…
07-07 17:07:38	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners odd even	Odd	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbbec41…
07-07 17:01:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xfe2250…
07-07 16:50:05	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	32	56¢	$18	0x5df8c4…
07-07 16:39:22	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd42207…
07-07 16:39:20	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x96953b…
07-07 16:31:41	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xd3d14f…
07-07 16:27:50	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6a070c…
07-07 16:21:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x889cfc…
07-07 16:09:59	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x52d7f4…