Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$461
$30 in 24h
Trades
23
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$874
Latest YES mid
21¢
Latest NO mid
79¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-17 03:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -14.5¢ (top1%: 0% YES on $29 vs crowd: 15% YES on $440)
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐬 Dolphin 2 — $55 $55
🐟 Fish 5 — $106 $106
🦐 Shrimp 13 $64 $216 $152
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🎯 Top 1% 1 — $29 $29
🏆 Top 5% 2 $4 $186 $182
Median 6 $21 $32 $11
Below median 2 — $46 $46
⚠️ Bottom 10% 1 — $4 $4
🔻 Bottom 5% 2 — $79 $79
unranked 6 $39 — +$39
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Accomplished-Context 0x9060…790b No +200 $186 $186 1 05-09 23:49
Capital-Cockroach 0xe937…d46a Yes +113 $26 $26 1 05-16 10:51
Buzzing-Abacus 0x3a32…562e Yes +62 $20 $20 1 05-16 14:56
Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe No +59 $51 $51 1 05-17 02:13
Mountainous-Bird 0x0955…e141 Yes +46 $10 $10 1 05-15 11:34
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f No +32 $29 $29 1 05-10 22:40
Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad No +30 $26 $26 1 05-17 02:13
Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e No +30 $28 $28 1 05-14 21:42
(anonymous) 0xff36…d5b7 No +28 $24 $33 3 05-16 22:58
Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 No +20 $18 $18 1 05-17 02:13
Prize-Jar 0xdd1b…ff31 Yes +17 $4 $4 1 05-16 14:56
Flickering-Cousin 0x1643…6ec8 No +5 $4 $4 1 05-17 02:13
Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 No +5 $5 $5 1 05-14 17:59
Rectangular-Chip 0x9b11…6f51 Yes +5 $1 $1 1 05-15 17:52
United-Sentiment 0x9b31…82b4 Yes +4 $1 $1 1 05-17 03:42
Pale-Interpretation 0x4cfb…3990 No +1 $1 $1 1 05-16 22:27