Capital-Cockroach — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.7%

Resolved

651

Trades

4,041

lifetime

Volume

$111.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-27 07:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Other

65% 38% +$9,279

Politics

21% 64% +$2,693

Crypto

6% 18% +$1

Tech

6% 61% +$533

Sports

1% 38% +$33

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	27	$5.6K	4,577	4,639	-62	Yes	+$2,712	06-08 23:25
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	66	$5.2K	3,649	3,618	+31	Yes	+$481	01-26 20:56
chatgpt outage by march 15	35	$2.3K	2,058	1,509	+550	No	+$126	03-13 19:03
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	40	$2.1K	1,546	1,364	+183	No	+$588	04-01 23:43
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	15	$2.0K	1,618	1,618	+0	Yes	+$1,040	10-06 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16?	17	$1.8K	4,807	2,807	+2,000	Down	-$28	06-16 11:34
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	14	$1.8K	1,564	1,564	+0	No	+$1,003	07-05 18:05
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	16	$1.6K	2,148	2,248	-100	Yes	+$974	04-19 22:23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.6K	796	796	+0	Yes	+$0	01-30 11:50
will groenlinks gl win the most seats in amsterdams 2026 municipal election	54	$1.5K	1,910	1,560	+350	Yes	+$1,425	03-19 13:18
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	15	$1.5K	1,347	1,347	+0	No	+$1,159	05-26 13:09
will claude go down 11 times in march	9	$1.5K	865	865	+0	Yes	+$228	03-26 15:40
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	27	$1.4K	1,732	2,064	-332	Yes	+$8	01-30 16:48
Will the US strike Somalia next?	22	$1.4K	1,355	1,933	-578	Yes	+$704	02-28 08:05
will israel strike lebanon on january 30 2026	24	$1.3K	1,504	1,323	+181	Yes	+$233	01-30 12:36
Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?	11	$1.2K	1,179	1,179	+0	Yes	+$653	10-02 22:12
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	15	$1.1K	1,757	1,757	+0	Yes	+$692	06-15 13:31
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in April 2026?	3	$1.0K	539	539	+0	No	+$37	03-30 11:24
will iran strike israel on march 4	47	$1.0K	6,042	6,437	-395	Yes	+$362	03-07 01:23
will the number of israel rocket alerts since operation lions roar be at least 20000 by march 20 423	27	$1.0K	4,364	0	+4,364	No	-$1,023	03-20 18:13
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	27	$994	1,585	1,585	+0	No	+$87	03-29 23:12
aws service disrupted by march 31 278	21	$965	608	608	+0	No	+$211	04-06 19:21
will democrats 66 d66 win the most seats in amsterdams 2026 municipal election	45	$965	1,048	555	+493	No	+$139	03-19 09:51
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	46	$939	4,879	712	+4,167	No	-$48	02-10 13:40
will israel strike gaza on february 2 2026	24	$932	1,013	912	+102	No	+$180	02-02 16:45
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	4	$920	741	741	+0	No	+$548	07-05 18:05
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	27	$910	2,385	595	+1,790	Yes	-$494	04-04 18:42
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	16	$908	635	635	+0	No	+$309	09-25 21:36
will khamenei tweet again by march 7 216	28	$900	641	690	-49	Yes	+$396	03-06 14:04
Will Memphis Depay be in Netherlands's Starting 11?	15	$895	756	756	+0	No	+$202	06-14 18:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:07:48	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa9dedb…
10-27 07:36:09	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0xbd973f…
10-27 07:30:48	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xf22298…
10-27 07:30:36	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x56574a…
10-27 04:00:03	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x134acb…
10-26 18:41:14	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xdc539b…
10-26 17:54:38	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0df788…
10-26 17:22:06	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x86e6b0…
10-26 17:21:56	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	218	0¢	$0	0xc82278…
10-26 16:26:39	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x0294a9…
10-26 15:54:32	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x5dde01…
10-26 15:54:09	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	95	80¢	$76	0x997d47…
10-26 15:29:15	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x616c1f…
10-26 15:29:03	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0xc3dbbb…
10-26 15:16:33	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	128	54¢	$69	0x4c73c1…
10-26 15:16:32	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x262333…
10-26 15:13:02	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x980521…
10-26 15:13:02	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x0ef12b…
10-26 15:09:41	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x0fda50…
10-26 15:09:33	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	108	6¢	$6	0xebf4de…
10-26 14:13:06	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xff4088…
10-26 13:31:32	Grok (Web) Outage by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x146b38…
10-26 10:22:11	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x8feb31…
10-26 10:00:29	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x60f40f…
10-26 08:50:11	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x1290ed…
10-26 05:04:50	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xeeb28c…
10-26 05:04:50	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xc2fdf8…
10-26 05:04:50	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9a2424…
10-26 04:47:54	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xfb9fee…
10-26 03:24:06	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x50e423…
10-26 02:51:47	Grok (Web) Outage by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	49¢	$32	0x659856…
10-25 21:44:17	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	49	68¢	$33	0xae965c…
10-25 18:49:44	ChatGPT Full Outage by November 30?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x093a57…
10-25 10:12:02	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x12a11f…
10-25 10:12:00	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x796d4f…
10-25 07:40:14	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xf903cb…
10-25 07:39:54	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0ca326…
10-25 07:39:47	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0x192285…
10-25 05:53:24	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	159	67¢	$106	0x2a4e44…
10-25 05:52:59	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	195	22¢	$42	0x2e3ea2…
10-25 05:51:45	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	33	47¢	$16	0x81c9be…
10-25 05:51:00	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0x680f5f…
10-25 04:06:45	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	380	3¢	$10	0x097d04…
10-25 04:01:08	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x3c06a8…
10-25 03:51:26	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xf899e4…
10-25 03:44:35	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	18	60¢	$10	0x1201d0…
10-25 03:42:39	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x6f544b…
10-25 03:39:06	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb9ffa3…
10-25 03:35:36	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xfbc879…
10-25 03:33:45	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfb6b31…
10-25 03:29:18	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	105	30¢	$32	0xfa90dc…
10-25 03:28:53	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	585	30¢	$173	0x2272a7…
10-25 03:26:15	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x426783…
10-25 02:52:03	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x01c098…
10-25 02:50:53	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb0ce96…
10-25 02:38:15	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x7698ee…
10-25 02:26:20	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	87	51¢	$44	0x5fca60…
10-25 02:26:17	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x7de372…
10-25 02:22:15	Real Salt Lake vs. St. Louis City SC: Real Salt Lake 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0xdc5924…
10-25 02:22:15	Real Salt Lake vs. St. Louis City SC: Real Salt Lake 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x0d108e…
10-25 01:50:32	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	42	21¢	$9	0xe36ee0…
10-25 01:34:23	Real Salt Lake vs. St. Louis City SC: Real Salt Lake 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x1d35fc…
10-25 01:27:26	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	SELL	105	85¢	$89	0xdc8848…
10-25 01:18:38	Grok (Web) Outage by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xba518f…
10-25 01:16:59	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	75	30¢	$23	0x8230b0…
10-24 20:49:39	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	429	77¢	$330	0x649eeb…
10-24 20:45:14	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0x29d7b4…
10-24 13:01:53	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	193	4¢	$7	0x532e80…
10-24 13:01:44	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$99	0x11eebc…
10-24 11:52:11	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	BUY	105	52¢	$55	0xcc2ac0…
10-24 11:51:03	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xdb4f1b…
10-24 11:51:02	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xb309d8…
10-24 08:49:15	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x8ef8a6…
10-24 08:48:36	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	427	1¢	$4	0x073e7a…
10-24 08:44:06	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xb9c373…
10-24 08:41:42	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xf21f7b…
10-24 07:02:51	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x8d5825…
10-24 03:32:15	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x8b0bec…
10-24 02:56:30	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd70ab6…
10-24 02:56:30	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xafd18a…
10-24 02:56:29	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x6b4ec0…
10-24 02:46:20	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xc4549e…
10-23 23:02:39	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc4e687…
10-23 23:02:39	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1eab5c…
10-23 23:02:38	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xc1cda8…
10-23 23:02:38	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x69a6ed…
10-23 23:02:36	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xfb527f…
10-23 23:02:35	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x141029…
10-23 23:02:35	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x13f9c0…
10-23 23:02:35	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x0214e8…
10-23 23:02:32	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1f6ceb…
10-23 23:01:59	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9476ad…
10-23 23:01:57	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x4334b1…
10-23 23:01:57	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	34	48¢	$16	0x21458e…
10-23 23:01:57	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x170327…
10-23 23:01:56	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x39c910…
10-23 23:01:53	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0xb93ab2…
10-23 23:01:53	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xaffafb…
10-23 23:00:53	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x25139b…
10-23 23:00:51	Boyacá Chicó FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: CA Bucaramanga 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x11a9e0…