Twin-Overhead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

Trades

271

lifetime

Volume

$5.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-25 02:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

98% 55% -$51

Politics

2% 50% -$1

Tech

0% 0% $0

Crypto

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	29	$954	806	695	+111	Yes	+$256	03-02 03:15
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	36	$678	728	902	-174	Yes	-$287	03-05 05:47
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	7	$258	459	459	+0	No	-$201	02-22 17:06
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	5	$253	155	155	+0	No	+$53	05-16 11:42
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	21	$246	393	393	+0	Yes	-$222	02-14 04:32
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	2	$238	141	141	+0	No	+$38	05-21 09:46
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	11	$237	134	134	+0	No	+$21	03-24 15:48
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	2	$215	115	115	+0	No	+$15	04-02 08:00
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	2	$203	104	104	+0	No	+$3	05-28 07:34
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	04-25 14:15
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	2	$191	112	112	+0	No	+$31	06-16 07:27
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$178	231	231	+0	No	-$4	10-08 09:17
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	2	$163	84	84	+0	No	+$3	06-26 11:02
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	1	$121	224	0	+224	Yes	+$103	02-02 14:44
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	3	$115	145	51	+94	No	-$11	06-26 11:42
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	1	$100	257	0	+257	No	+$157	03-26 14:36
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	1	$100	104	0	+104	No	+$4	06-07 23:43
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	20	$71	89	62	+28	Yes	+$3	01-30 03:35
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	22	$69	78	68	+9	Yes	+$4	03-11 19:33
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$67	50	50	+0	No	+$29	10-09 20:32
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	6	$65	70	70	+0	No	+$5	06-17 19:10
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	2	$48	42	42	+0	No	-$2	08-10 14:24
will uae strike iran by march 31	2	$44	32	32	+0	No	+$4	03-05 05:39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$44	71	71	+0	Yes	+$4	02-28 19:24
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$43	57	57	+0	open	—	10-25 02:17
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	2	$40	33	33	+0	Yes	+$20	05-24 14:14
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	2	$32	93	93	+0	No	+$12	05-21 09:48
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	2	$30	54	54	+0	No	-$30	06-18 02:14
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	1	$30	71	0	+71	No	-$30	06-24 22:15
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	1	$30	54	0	+54	No	-$30	06-24 22:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 02:17:27	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xeacacd…
10-25 02:17:27	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	57	25¢	$14	0x96e102…
10-25 02:11:33	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	57	50¢	$28	0x35396c…
10-25 02:11:33	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x251314…
10-22 14:51:03	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xc723ca…
10-22 14:41:03	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x199be2…
10-09 20:32:16	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x6954a4…
10-09 20:32:13	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	50	39¢	$19	0x6a3cba…
10-08 09:17:57	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	169	39¢	$66	0xeebf28…
10-08 09:17:57	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	62	34¢	$21	0x1e8355…
10-08 09:09:09	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	231	39¢	$91	0x50daa2…
09-26 13:33:41	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	60	18¢	$11	0x627def…
09-25 21:35:14	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0x32c2d2…
08-15 11:11:19	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x07a4d3…
08-15 11:11:12	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x9bbab6…
08-15 11:11:12	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x29b6a6…
08-10 14:24:01	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	SELL	42	54¢	$23	0x16868c…
08-10 13:04:27	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	No	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xb5e96c…
07-12 14:46:47	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xc75d9c…
07-11 10:34:53	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0xa0f2b0…
07-11 10:34:53	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x9f8a9f…
07-04 00:32:31	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	SELL	73	4¢	$3	0x909cc1…
07-03 23:32:55	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	SELL	70	13¢	$9	0x56a979…
07-03 21:53:58	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xab219d…
06-26 11:42:43	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x6858ec…
06-26 11:42:43	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x3af475…
06-26 11:42:41	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	94	85¢	$80	0x3242f0…
06-26 11:02:41	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0xbfabb9…
06-26 09:30:19	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	SELL	51	10¢	$5	0xfab3ac…
06-24 22:34:53	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xeb8456…
06-24 22:15:37	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xf53520…
06-24 22:15:37	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0xf07568…
06-24 22:15:37	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	84	96¢	$80	0x419c3d…
06-18 02:14:25	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x528f95…
06-17 19:10:25	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	SELL	52	50¢	$26	0x06e90b…
06-17 19:07:53	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x58e8b4…
06-17 19:07:50	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x133724…
06-17 19:07:49	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xfb2087…
06-17 19:07:49	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xd511a6…
06-16 07:27:33	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	No	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x97dbf4…
06-16 03:39:57	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	No	BUY	112	71¢	$80	0xf0690d…
06-16 03:39:57	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x8d0e8c…
06-16 03:39:57	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x5e3ae0…
06-11 08:59:09	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x86f117…
06-11 08:58:40	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x41feda…
06-07 23:43:36	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x8c211e…
06-07 23:43:36	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x0db2cf…
05-28 07:34:23	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x418732…
05-27 15:15:56	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0xc6ad90…
05-27 15:15:23	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	SELL	35	21¢	$7	0xaf4d4b…
05-25 21:59:09	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xa1b5cd…
05-25 21:59:09	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x42a3e7…
05-25 21:59:09	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	35	27¢	$9	0x360c1d…
05-24 14:14:41	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	SELL	33	92¢	$30	0x86d6b4…
05-21 09:48:48	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	SELL	93	24¢	$22	0x3e4b93…
05-21 09:46:46	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	SELL	141	98¢	$138	0xde3c53…
05-20 18:02:03	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xe90510…
05-20 18:02:03	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	93	11¢	$10	0xad7799…
05-20 18:02:03	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x3315d1…
05-16 11:42:20	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x46ed31…
05-16 11:41:25	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xe350f7…
05-16 11:36:10	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x43f158…
05-16 11:35:44	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed2f56…
05-15 14:35:16	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x09232a…
05-15 14:26:57	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x062896…
05-15 11:34:38	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0xdc4587…
05-15 11:34:38	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb52862…
05-15 11:34:38	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x61e8e7…
05-05 10:25:30	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x54ddf3…
04-29 21:02:20	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xc6c374…
04-29 21:02:20	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x868d32…
04-29 21:02:20	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x2e8945…
04-29 20:52:20	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb6a0c1…
04-29 20:52:18	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5c1d8a…
04-29 20:52:18	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x220deb…
04-29 20:51:38	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xa3104a…
04-29 20:50:54	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x22608e…
04-29 20:46:58	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3359be…
04-25 14:15:16	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x2683a9…
04-20 08:00:26	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x90f5b0…
04-02 08:00:43	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x5d9683…
04-01 22:54:29	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x5bdefc…
03-26 14:36:03	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	257	39¢	$100	0x83a78a…
03-24 15:48:19	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x7c63cf…
03-24 04:45:33	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xa20f1f…
03-23 18:50:43	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0xf53fcd…
03-23 18:31:11	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb97ecc…
03-23 18:31:05	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe2196b…
03-23 18:25:49	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc0597d…
03-23 18:24:45	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5f1684…
03-23 18:24:19	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4ca7f7…
03-23 18:23:55	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe6f6de…
03-23 18:23:09	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1db4e8…
03-23 18:19:55	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x873845…
03-21 17:27:13	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7321d2…
03-21 12:49:33	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x8e9932…
03-21 12:31:21	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa22319…
03-20 11:16:27	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0xbf8afc…
03-20 11:14:09	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdd8a46…
03-20 11:13:09	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb7d789…